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MSTR

MSTR

bearish high
MSTR Earnings · 2026-04-30 · earnings

MSTR earnings likely to disappoint; 75% miss rate and insider selling

MSTR has missed earnings in 3 of last 4 quarters (75% miss rate) with severe negative surprises averaging -3,656% across recent quarters. Insiders have sold $5.3M with zero buys in 90 days, signaling lack of confidence. The stock is down 72.86% from 52-week highs and trading below both 20-day and 50-day moving averages in a clear downtrend. While recent sentiment signals are bullish and priced-in risk is low, this reflects capitulation rather than opportunity — estimates have drifted down 101.6%, making the bar nearly impossible to miss but also indicating fundamental deterioration.

Price Convergence

Baseline
$128.86
2026-04-10
Est. move
8–20%
bearish
Model
agent-v1
prediction #118
Created
Apr 10, 08:56

Source Signals (2)

[yahoo-finance] Crypto Stocks Skyrocket As Investors Rush Back Into Risk Assets
[benzinga] Strategy's New Product Grew Faster Than The iPhone And Google Ads Combined

Refinement Chain (4 predictions)

#114 MSTR earnings likely to disappoint; 75% miss rate and inside... invalidated view
#129 MSTR likely to miss again; insider selling + miss history ou... invalidated view
#133 MSTR likely to miss again; insider selling + miss history ou... active view
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Price Trajectory

Apr 7
$123.72
Apr 8
$128.30
Apr 9
$128.86
Apr 10
$128.64
Apr 13
$132.36
Apr 14
$137.41
Apr 15
$143.54
Apr 16
$148.94
Apr 17
$166.52
Apr 20
$170.81

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