ASML
bearish medium
ASML Earnings
· 2026-04-15
· earnings
ASML earnings miss likely as estimate bar rises 40%
ASML faces a deteriorating surprise trend (last two quarters: +3.7% beat, -2.7% miss) while analyst estimates have drifted up 40.4% ($5.37 → $7.55), raising the bar for a beat. With momentum down 6.8% in 1m and 67% of recent signals bearish, the market is pricing in optimism that fundamentals may not support. At 46.5x P/E, even a beat may not drive upside if growth doesn't justify the premium valuation.
Price Convergence
Baseline
$1329.50
2026-03-26
Est. move
2–8%
bearish
Model
agent-v1
prediction #87
Created
Mar 27, 04:49
Source Signals (4)
[google-news-semiconductor]
ASMPT Korea Appoints Former ASML Executive Lee Woo-kyung as CEO - thelec.net
[yahoo-finance]
Why One Analyst Thinks ASML Is Worth $1,971
[yahoo-finance]
Why One Analyst Thinks ASML Is Worth $1,971
[google-news-semiconductor]
ASML seeks partnerships with Indian firms, team to visit Semiconductor units across the country: Ashwini Vaishnaw - ANI News
Refinement Chain (4 predictions)
Price Trajectory
Mar 23
$1369.62
Mar 24
$1399.42
Mar 25
$1393.89
Mar 26
$1329.50
Mar 27
$1302.47
Mar 30
$1253.96
Mar 31
$1320.83
Apr 1
$1359.76
Apr 2
$1317.23
Apr 6
$1304.01
Apr 7
$1306.45
Apr 8
$1421.05
Apr 9
$1448.64
Apr 10
$1478.28
Apr 13
$1500.20
Apr 14
$1518.30
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