BA

bearish medium Active

BA Earnings · 2026-04-22 · earnings

BA earnings miss likely; deteriorating surprise momentum and analyst downgrades

Boeing faces a high-probability earnings miss or disappointing beat on 2026-04-22. Estimate revisions have collapsed 38.1% with analyst revisions uniformly negative (0up/4down), while surprise momentum is decelerating sharply (+2448% Q-4 → +62.4% Q-1 → +2.4% Q-2 → -214% Q-3 miss). Insiders are net selling ($4.98M vs $0.6M buy), and the stock is down 8.4% in 1m and 17.42% from 52w high. Despite a 75% historical beat rate, the deteriorating trend suggests analysts have caught up to reality, and the next beat (if it occurs) will likely fail to surprise. The 35% sell-the-news probability indicates the market has already priced in downside, leaving limited upside cushion.

Price Convergence

Baseline

$220.06

2026-04-09

Est. move

4–8%

bearish

Model

agent-v1

prediction #117

Created

Apr 10, 04:51

Source Signals (2)

[reddit-stocks] Are yall bullish on SpaceX going public soon

[yahoo-finance] Why Wells Fargo Thinks Boeing (BA) Could See a Sharp Free Cash Flow Recovery

Refinement Chain (4 predictions)

#99 ▼ BA faces earnings miss risk as estimates slashed 53.5% invalidated view

#107 ▼ BA faces earnings miss risk as estimates slashed 53.5% invalidated view

#109 ▼ BA earnings miss likely; deteriorating surprise momentum and... invalidated view

Share on X

Price Trajectory

Apr 6

$212.30

Apr 7

$210.00

Apr 8

$217.80

Apr 9

$220.06

Apr 10

$217.63

Apr 13

$222.14

Apr 14

$223.77

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