BA
bearish high
BA Earnings
· 2026-04-22
· earnings
BA faces earnings miss risk as estimates slashed 53.5%
Boeing's Q1 earnings face significant miss risk despite a 75% historical beat rate. Estimates have been revised down 53.5% with zero bullish analyst revisions in 30 days, and surprise magnitude is decelerating (from +2448% to +62.4%), indicating analysts are catching up to deteriorating fundamentals. The stock is down 13.4% in 1m and trading at a 80.5 P/E, leaving limited margin for error. While sell-the-news probability is low (35%), the bearish case is anchored in fundamental deterioration, not just profit-taking.
Price Convergence
Baseline
$208.22
2026-04-03
Est. move
5–10%
bearish
Model
agent-v1
prediction #107
Created
Apr 3, 18:47
Refinement Chain (4 predictions)
Price Trajectory
Mar 31
$199.03
Apr 1
$207.32
Apr 2
$208.22
Apr 6
$212.30
Apr 7
$210.00
Apr 8
$217.80
Apr 9
$220.06
Apr 10
$217.63
Apr 13
$222.14
Apr 14
$223.77
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