ASML ASML Holding N.V.

bullish · high conviction 1/2 shifts correct ↓ $1612.76 +6.99 (+0.4%)
Mkt Cap $629B P/E 54.3 fwd 34.4 52wk $683.48 - $1653.53 Earnings beating Updated Saturday
Est. revisions: +0.9% (6 up, 6 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net +0.9)

Factor Model

net +0.9 2.5 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.1
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.9
Analyst Rev.
+0.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

ASML expands in India, faces Nikon pricing pressure

Watch: Progress on India fab deployment and ASML’s Taiwan workforce ramp will reveal ability to maintain leadership amid pricing pressure.

ASML leads lithography with over 80% market share, shipping 48 EUV and 131 immersion DUV systems in 2025. Nikon aims to disrupt ASML’s monopoly by undercutting prices on ArF systems, planning a new platform by 2028. ASML struck a strategic partnership with Tata Electronics to build India’s first 300mm semiconductor fab, supplying advanced lithography tools. The EU’s Chips Act 2.0 commits €120B by 2035 to boost chip production, strengthening demand for ASML’s tech. ASML plans to increase Taiwan workforce to 4,500 in 2026 amid global expansion.

Nikon’s pricing challenge and India fab partnership highlight competitive risks but also underpin ASML’s growth via market expansion and strong EU government backing.

Related Stocks

Evidence

7 older signals
Fundamentals & Data ▾
ASML Holding N.V. Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Mkt Cap
$629B
P/E
54.3 fwd 34.4
Beta
1.37
Div Yield
54.00%
52w Range
$683.48 - $1653.53
Short Interest
730,102 0.19%
Days to Cover
0.4 +5%
Technicals uptrend
vs 20d MA
+4.7%
vs 50d MA
+10.8%
from 52w Hi
-1.2%
Vol (20d)
52%
1w return
+1.3%
1m return
+15.7%
3m return
+11.2%
Vol ratio
0.8x
Analysts
mixed
Earnings
beating 3B / 1M
EPS Estimate
$6.86 +0.9% 30d 6up / 6dn
Est. Dispersion
12% 13 analysts
Analyst Target
$1669 $902 - $2007
Options P/C
0.72 1C / 0P unusual
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Bridgewater, Appaloosa, Renaissance
Financials
Revenue
$8.8B +13% YoY
FCF
$-2.6B
Gross Margin
53%
Op Margin
36%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $2.3B
D.E. Shaw $1.2B
Bridgewater $92M
Appaloosa $67M
Renaissance
Recent Filings & Data
congress trade 4
Michael T. McCaul (Republican-TX) · sell · $1K-$15K
Michael T. McCaul (Republican-TX) · sell · $1K-$15K
Jared Moskowitz (Democrat-FL) · buy · $1K-$15K
Jared Moskowitz (Democrat-FL) · buy · $1K-$15K
Transcript Analysis (2026Q1) ▾
Hedging
0.00 (low)
Confidence
0.00 (low)
Specificity
0.00 (low)
Active Voice
0.00
Prepared vs Q&A Gap
+0.00
Question Avoidance
0 (none)
Track Record (1/2 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/2 correct at 5 days
2026-05-04 bullish +13.0%
2026-04-08 bearish +4.3%
ASML is listed outside the US — no SEC insider filings
ASML does not file 10-K/10-Q with the SEC
bullish for 1d | 15 signals · latest Updated Sunday

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