USAR

USAR Earnings Preview

USA Rare Earth, Inc. · Basic Materials · $4B

25d until earnings

USAR Earnings

Wednesday, May 13 2026
EPS Estimate
$-0.05
$-0.10 – $-0.01
Revenue Estimate
$4M
Current Price
$18.43

Our Position

bearish · high

USAR faces $1.6B funding risk amid scrutiny

est. revisions falling (-33.3pp / 30d)

Federal funding uncertainty and regulatory scrutiny heighten financing risk, casting doubt on USAR's ability to scale its rare-earth supply chain and meet market expectations tied to critical minerals demand.

Watch: Watch for updates on private capital raises and government funding decisions, as these will determine USAR's financing viability and project progress.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
2 bearish
Estimates down -33% Insider buying cluster Put/call 0.2 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Insider Activity
buying
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
0.0%
Est. Revisions (30d)
-33.3% 2up/0dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$32 $25–$45 +73%
Options P/C Ratio
0.22 2C/0P unusual
Est. Dispersion
169% 3 analysts
Insider Cluster
buy cluster
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater

Recent Activity

insider trades 11 transactions
Buy · BLITZER MICHAEL (Chairman of the Board) ·100,000 shares ·$2,143,860
Buy · TRABUCO CAROLYN L. (Director) ·1,300 shares ·$29,379
Sell · BLITZER MICHAEL (Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security) ·2,091,849 shares ·$32,946,622
Other · BLITZER MICHAEL (Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security) ·2,091,849 shares
Award · KERN PAUL J (Director) ·163,125 shares
6 more
Award · GUTNICK MORDECHAI ZEV ·13,671,026 shr
Award · SMITH TREADY ·15,528,008 shr
Award · RIDGE STEPHEN JAMES ·66,162 shr
Award · KRONENFELD DAVID THOMAS ·72,870 shr
Other · INFLECTION POINT HOLDINGS II LLC ·50,000 shr
Other · INFLECTION POINT HOLDINGS II LLC ·6,200,000 shr