USAR USA Rare Earth, Inc.

bearish · high conviction track record → $18.43 +0.08 (+0.4%)
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Mkt Cap $4B 52wk $8.00 - $43.98 Earnings 2026-05-13 2h ago
Insider selling: $32,946,622 sold by 8 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: analyst_revisions bullish vs estimate_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: -33.3% (2 up, 0 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net -0.6)

Factor Model

net -0.6 2.3 / 10
Est. Revisions
-1.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

USAR faces $1.6B funding risk amid scrutiny

Watch: Watch for updates on private capital raises and government funding decisions, as these will determine USAR's financing viability and project progress.

USA Rare Earth received a nonbinding letter of intent from the U.S. Department of Commerce for up to $1.6 billion in funding and loans, contingent on raising $1.5 billion in private capital. Concerns from Rep. Zoe Lofgren about potential conflicts of interest threaten this federal support. Insider selling totals nearly $33 million while insiders bought about $2.2 million, reflecting mixed confidence amid high financing risks for this early-stage, pre-revenue miner.

Federal funding uncertainty and regulatory scrutiny heighten financing risk, casting doubt on USAR's ability to scale its rare-earth supply chain and meet market expectations tied to critical minerals demand.

Evidence

4d ago Insider sell by BLITZER MICHAEL (USAR): $32,946,622
4d ago Insider buy by TRABUCO CAROLYN L. (USAR): $29,379
4d ago Insider buy by BLITZER MICHAEL (USAR): $2,143,860
Fundamentals & Data ▾
USA Rare Earth, Inc. Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Mkt Cap
$4B
Beta
1.37
52w Range
$8.00 - $43.98
Short Interest
26.9M 13.42%
Days to Cover
2.1 +1%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
0.0%
1w return
+10.2%
Insiders
buying 2B / 1S
EPS Estimate
$-0.05 -33.3% 30d 2up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
169% 3 analysts
Analyst Target
$32 $25 - $45
Options P/C
0.22 2C / 0P unusual
Insider Cluster
buy cluster 2B / 1S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$2M
FCF
$-52M
Op Margin
-1590%
Top Holders
Citadel $40M
Renaissance $13M
Bridgewater $3M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 11
net selling · $32,946,622 sold · $2,173,239 bought
8 insiders · 11 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
BLITZER MICHAEL · buy · $2,143,860
TRABUCO CAROLYN L. · buy · $29,379
BLITZER MICHAEL · sell · $32,946,622
BLITZER MICHAEL · other
KERN PAUL J · award
GUTNICK MORDECHAI ZEV · award
SMITH TREADY · award
RIDGE STEPHEN JAMES · award
KRONENFELD DAVID THOMAS · award
INFLECTION POINT HOLDINGS II LLC · other
INFLECTION POINT HOLDINGS II LLC · other
8 signals · latest 2h ago

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