SES likely to sell off post-earnings; mean reversion risk high
Expected move: 20–35% from event-day close
Full thesis
SES is at 52w high ($1.16) after an extreme 18.37% 1-week spike, creating classic mean-reversion risk (30-40% pullback expected over days 2-5 per compute_event_features). Heavy insider selling ($2.1M, 15 sells in 90 days) into this strength suggests insiders lack confidence. Estimate revisions are down 3%, options show heavy put buying (P/C 1.73), and sell-the-news probability is 50%. No analyst coverage or bullish targets to defend the stock. First earnings or very new company adds execution risk.
SES Earnings
Thursday, Apr 23 2026
EPS Estimate
$-0.03
$-0.05 – $-0.01
Revenue Estimate
$4M
Current Price
$1.15
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
3 bearish
Estimates down -3%
Insider selling cluster
Put/call 0.1 (bullish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-5.0%
Est. Revisions (30d)
-3.0% 0up/1dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$3 $1–$4 +130%
Options P/C Ratio
0.05
Est. Dispersion
124% 2 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Fund Convergence
strong Two Sigma, Renaissance, Citadel
Recent Activity
insider trades
57 transactions
Sell
·
PILKINGTON KYLE (Officer)
·25,000 shares
·$30,000
Sell
·
GAN HONG (Officer)
·250,000 shares
·$624,705
Exercise
·
GAN HONG (Officer)
·250,000 shares
·$40,000
Sell
·
GAN HONG (Officer)
·100,000 shares
·$197,890
Exercise
·
GAN HONG (Officer)
·100,000 shares
·$15,067
52 more
Sell
·
GAN HONG
·150,000 shr
·$285,225
Exercise
·
GAN HONG
·150,000 shr
·$22,500
Award
·
BOYD ANDREW J
·296,296 shr
Award
·
LI GANG
·150,000 shr
Award
·
NOONEN MICHAEL
·160,000 shr
Award
·
MA JIONG
·160,000 shr
Award
·
LUO ERIC
·160,000 shr
Award
·
NEALIS JING
·950,000 shr
Award
·
GAN HONG
·500,000 shr
Award
·
HU QICHAO
·2,100,000 shr
Award
·
CHOI JANGWOOK
·160,000 shr
Award
·
PILKINGTON KYLE
·400,000 shr
Award
·
XU KANG
·250,000 shr
Sell
·
NEALIS JING
·80,992 shr
·$94,866
Sell
·
GAN HONG
·51,600 shr
·$60,439
Sell
·
PILKINGTON KYLE
·44,051 shr
·$51,597
Sell
·
LI GANG
·15,909 shr
·$18,634
Sell
·
NEALIS JING
·50,000 shr
·$51,000
Exercise
·
NEALIS JING
·50,000 shr
·$8,000
Sell
·
NEALIS JING
·150,000 shr
·$213,000
Exercise
·
NEALIS JING
·150,000 shr
·$24,000
Sell
·
SK INC.
·726,460 shr
·$292,055
Sell
·
SK INC.
·917,857 shr
·$362,964
Sell
·
SK INC.
·415,508 shr
·$180,513
Sell
·
SK INC.
·416,120 shr
·$199,254
Sell
·
SK INC.
·550,000 shr
·$160,000
Sell
·
SK INC.
·170,248 shr
·$61,289
Sell
·
SK INC.
·257,220 shr
·$98,254
Sell
·
SK INC.
·204,461 shr
·$87,874
Sell
·
SK INC.
·347,794 shr
·$156,507
Sell
·
SK INC.
·21,450 shr
·$11,880
Sell
·
SK INC.
·452,982 shr
·$260,376
Sell
·
SK INC.
·540,703 shr
·$325,236
Sell
·
SK INC.
·788,290 shr
·$528,154
Sell
·
SK INC.
·900,000 shr
·$589,000
Sell
·
SK INC.
·610,500 shr
·$364,195
Sell
·
SK INC.
·764,898 shr
·$470,588
Sell
·
SK INC.
·600,000 shr
·$358,000
Sell
·
SK INC.
·73,737 shr
·$44,242
Sell
·
SK INC.
·182,429 shr
·$110,457
Sell
·
SK INC.
·244,538 shr
·$146,723
Sell
·
SK INC.
·979,354 shr
·$603,812
Sell
·
TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRIVATE LIMITED
·720,262 shr
·$630,517
Sell
·
TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRIVATE LIMITED
·2,380,656 shr
·$2,443,948
Sell
·
NEALIS JING
·50,000 shr
·$50,416
Sell
·
TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRIVATE LIMITED
·233,429 shr
·$241,408
Sell
·
NEALIS JING
·50,000 shr
·$52,510
Sell
·
PILKINGTON KYLE
·4,276 shr
·$3,470
Sell
·
GAN HONG
·25,000 shr
·$29,220
Exercise
·
GAN HONG
·25,000 shr
·$3,750
Sell
·
GAN HONG
·25,000 shr
·$31,152
Sell
·
GAN HONG
·25,000 shr
·$35,618
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