Get emailed when SES changes direction
Mkt Cap $422M
52wk $0.68 - $3.73
Factor Model (net -1.7)
Factor Model
net -1.7
Est. Revisions
-0.2
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0
Analysis pending — waiting for first signal cycle.
▼
$1.16
2026-04-15
Event Predictions
bearish
Q1 2026 earnings on 2026-04-23
2d
SES likely to sell off post-earnings; mean reversion risk high
-0.9%
$1.16
→ $1.15
Thesis
SES is at 52w high ($1.16) after an extreme 18.37% 1-week spike, creating classic mean-reversion risk (30-40% pullback expected over days 2-5 per compute_event_features). Heavy insider selling ($2.1M, 15 sells in 90 days) into this strength suggests insiders lack confidence. Estimate revisions are down 3%, options show heavy put buying (P/C 1.73), and sell-the-news probability is 50%. No analyst coverage or bullish targets to defend the stock. First earnings or very new company adds execution risk.
Evidence
6d ago
SES AI (SES) is Building a Broader Battery Business Beyond a Single Chemistry Bet
yahoo-finance
Fundamentals & Data ▾
SES AI Corporation
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Mkt Cap
$422M
Beta
0.85
52w Range
$0.68 - $3.73
Short Interest
13.1M 4.56%
Days to Cover
1.4 -8%
Technicals
downtrend
from 52w Hi
-5.0%
1w return
+4.5%
Insiders
selling
0B / 15S
EPS Estimate
$-0.03
-3.0% 30d
0up / 1dn
Est. Dispersion
124%
2 analysts
Analyst Target
$3
$1 - $4
Options P/C
0.05
Insider Cluster
strong sell
0B / 6S
Fund Convergence
strong
Two Sigma, Renaissance, Citadel
Financials
Revenue
$5M +124% YoY
FCF
$-11M
Gross Margin
11%
Op Margin
-388%
Momentum:
decelerating
Top Holders
Two Sigma
$6M
Renaissance
$5M
Citadel
$4M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade
57
net selling
· $10,556,988 sold
13 insiders · 57 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
PILKINGTON KYLE · sell · $30,000
GAN HONG · sell · $624,705
GAN HONG · exercise · $40,000
GAN HONG · sell · $197,890
GAN HONG · exercise · $15,067
GAN HONG · sell · $285,225
GAN HONG · exercise · $22,500
BOYD ANDREW J · award
LI GANG · award
NOONEN MICHAEL · award
MA JIONG · award
LUO ERIC · award
NEALIS JING · award
GAN HONG · award
HU QICHAO · award
CHOI JANGWOOK · award
PILKINGTON KYLE · award
XU KANG · award
NEALIS JING · sell · $94,866
GAN HONG · sell · $60,439
PILKINGTON KYLE · sell · $51,597
LI GANG · sell · $18,634
NEALIS JING · sell · $51,000
NEALIS JING · exercise · $8,000
NEALIS JING · sell · $213,000
NEALIS JING · exercise · $24,000
SK INC. · sell · $292,055
SK INC. · sell · $362,964
SK INC. · sell · $180,513
SK INC. · sell · $199,254
SK INC. · sell · $160,000
SK INC. · sell · $61,289
SK INC. · sell · $98,254
SK INC. · sell · $87,874
SK INC. · sell · $156,507
SK INC. · sell · $11,880
SK INC. · sell · $260,376
SK INC. · sell · $325,236
SK INC. · sell · $528,154
SK INC. · sell · $589,000
SK INC. · sell · $364,195
SK INC. · sell · $470,588
SK INC. · sell · $358,000
SK INC. · sell · $44,242
SK INC. · sell · $110,457
SK INC. · sell · $146,723
SK INC. · sell · $603,812
TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRIVATE LIMITED · sell · $630,517
TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRIVATE LIMITED · sell · $2,443,948
NEALIS JING · sell · $50,416
TEMASEK HOLDINGS PRIVATE LIMITED · sell · $241,408
NEALIS JING · sell · $52,510
PILKINGTON KYLE · sell · $3,470
GAN HONG · sell · $29,220
GAN HONG · exercise · $3,750
GAN HONG · sell · $31,152
GAN HONG · sell · $35,618
event: -0.9% | 2 signals · latest 6d ago
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