Earnings · OWL
OWL

OWL Earnings Preview

Blue Owl Capital Inc. · Financial Services · $15B

9d until earnings

Our Call

bearish · high Full prediction →

OWL earnings likely to disappoint; stretched valuation, insider selling

Expected move: 7–14% from event-day close

Full thesis

OWL faces a bearish earnings setup despite recent 19% momentum. Analysts have revised estimates down 3.3% with 0 upgrades and 4 downgrades, signaling consensus pessimism. Insiders have sold $1.48B vs $7.1M in buys over 90 days, suggesting they are cashing out ahead of earnings. The stock trades at an extreme P/E of 82.3 at its 52-week high, leaving no room for error. Options positioning is extremely bullish (P/C 0.13), a contrarian sell signal. Mean reversion risk is high after a 19% 1-week rally.

OWL Earnings

Thursday, Apr 30 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.18
$0.17 – $0.19
Revenue Estimate
$694M
Current Price
$9.89

Our Position

bearish · high

PIMCO Buys Entire $400M Blue Owl Bonds Amid Scrutiny

structured data est. revisions falling (-2.5pp / 30d)

The full bond buyout by PIMCO amid elevated fund redemptions and rising market scrutiny implies stress on Blue Owl's liquidity and valuation, heightening risk despite institutional support.

Watch: Monitor upcoming asset sale prices and redemption caps for impact on NAV and liquidity risks this quarter.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
2 bearish
Estimates down -5% Insider buying cluster Put/call 0.3 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-0.3%
P/E Ratio
98.5
Est. Revisions (30d)
-4.8% 1up/6dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$14 $9–$23 +37%
Options P/C Ratio
0.31
Est. Dispersion
11% 12 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong buy (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Soros, Renaissance, D.E. Shaw

Recent Activity

insider trades 31 transactions
Award · REDDY NEENA (General Counsel) ·145,768 shares
Award · POLLAND ANDREW ROBERT (Chief Operating Officer) ·192,790 shares
Award · BROUSE JENNIFER (Director) ·146,617 shares
Buy · LIPSCHULTZ MARC S (Chief Executive Officer) ·158,000 shares ·$2,379,469
Buy · OSTROVER DOUGLAS I. (Chief Executive Officer) ·158,000 shares ·$2,379,469
26 more
Buy · PACKER CRAIG W ·125,000 shr ·$1,882,492
Buy · KIRSHENBAUM ALAN ·33,670 shr ·$500,808
Sell · REES MICHAEL DOUGLASS ·20,000,000 shr ·$399,600,000
Other · REES MICHAEL DOUGLASS ·20,000,000 shr
Award · HOLZ CLAUDIA A ·10,905 shr
Award · BASH-POLLEY STACY ELLEN ·10,905 shr
Award · UGWONALI DANA WEEKS ·10,905 shr
Award · REDDY NEENA ·51,144 shr
Award · WARD SEAN JASON ·135,293 shr
Award · POLLAND ANDREW ROBERT ·84,140 shr
Sell · REES MICHAEL DOUGLASS ·30,166,206 shr ·$705,889,220
Other · REES MICHAEL DOUGLASS ·30,166,206 shr
Sell · WARD SEAN JASON ·30,166,206 shr ·$705,889,220
Other · WARD SEAN JASON ·30,166,206 shr
Sell · POLLAND ANDREW ROBERT ·49,647 shr ·$816,092
Other · POLLAND ANDREW ROBERT ·49,647 shr
Award · HOLZ CLAUDIA A ·10,887 shr
Award · BASH-POLLEY STACY ELLEN ·10,887 shr
Award · UGWONALI DANA WEEKS ·10,887 shr
Sell · POLLAND ANDREW ROBERT ·124,335 shr ·$2,289,007
Sell · REES MICHAEL DOUGLASS ·19,600,000 shr ·$360,444,000
Other · REES MICHAEL DOUGLASS ·19,600,000 shr
Sell · WARD SEAN JASON ·19,600,000 shr ·$360,444,000
Other · WARD SEAN JASON ·19,600,000 shr
Sell · LAURINO ANDREW CHARLES ·19,600,000 shr ·$360,444,000
Other · LAURINO ANDREW CHARLES ·19,600,000 shr
analyst ratings 1 rating
Oppenheimer →Outperform 7d ago

Explore more

full analysis → Our calls → Earnings calendar →

Other Upcoming Earnings

RTX RTX Earnings today TSLA TSLA Earnings tomorrow BA BA Earnings tomorrow GOOGL GOOGL Earnings 2d INTC INTC Earnings 2d
See all upcoming earnings →