OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc.

bearish track record → $10.28 +0.35 (+3.5%)
Mkt Cap $16B P/E 83.8 fwd 10.2 52wk $7.95 - $21.08 12d ago
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: price_momentum, narrative_gap bullish vs estimate_revisions, analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: -3.4% (2 up, 4 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.0)

Factor Model

net -0.0 2.0 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.2
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.9
Analyst Rev.
-0.6
Narrative Gap
+0.5

Co-founder exits Commanders deal amid credit stress

Watch: Upcoming earnings release to assess Blue Owl's revenue growth resilience and liquidity management amid ongoing private credit sector challenges.

Blue Owl co-founder Ostrover sold his entire remaining stake in the $6 billion Commanders deal in 2026. Shares have halved since early 2025, dropping from about $25 to $11 amid turbulence in private credit and removal of shares as collateral on loans. Blue Owl and BlackRock capped withdrawals in funds due to liquidity strains and redemption pressures in private credit, especially impacting exposure to IT and software sectors. Short interest is steady at about 20.4% of float with 4 days to cover.

Large insider exit and liquidity caps highlight stress in Blue Owl's private credit exposure, signaling persistent headwinds for share price recovery and investor confidence despite a TD Cowen buy rating.

Evidence

12d ago Blue Owl Co-Founder Sells Off Final Piece Of $6 Billion Commanders Deal benzinga
14d ago The Asset Manager Whose Private Credit Fund Just Capped Withdrawals. Should BlackRock Investors Worry? yahoo-finance
14d ago Short interest dropped 0% to 120,611,302 shares
14d ago Blue Owl Raises Stakes With Second $400 Million Bond Offering benzinga
14d ago TD Cowen reit OWL: Buy → Buy
23d ago Fed: Risks from private credit are 'limited and manageable' yahoo-finance
25d ago Blue Owl Capital Inc (OWL) Management: Current Market Trends Are Favorable yahoo-finance
25d ago Blue Owl Preps Credit Secondaries Strategy benzinga
7 older signals
30d ago Brown University cuts stake in Blue Owl private credit fund by over 50%
31d ago UBS main OWL: Neutral → Neutral
31d ago JP Morgan main OWL: Neutral → Neutral
31d ago Here is Why UWM Holdings (UWMC) is One of the Most Undervalued Stocks Under $10 to Buy Right Now
31d ago Barclays main OWL: Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
32d ago Blue Owl shares surge after private credit firm cites 10X gains from SpaceX
33d ago JP Morgan main OWL: Neutral → Neutral
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Blue Owl Capital Inc. Financial Services · Asset Management
Mkt Cap
$16B
P/E
83.8 fwd 10.2
Beta
1.18
Div Yield
915.00%
52w Range
$7.95 - $21.08
Short Interest
120.6M 20.4%
Days to Cover
4.0 +1%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+3.0%
from 52w Hi
-4.4%
Vol (20d)
44%
1w return
+0.8%
1m return
+15.8%
Vol ratio
0.7x
Insiders
selling 0B / 7S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$0.22 -3.4% 30d 2up / 4dn
Est. Dispersion
10% 12 analysts
Analyst Target
$13 $9 - $21
Options P/C
0.66 2C / 1P unusual
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Soros, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$754M +10% YoY
FCF
$89M
Gross Margin
50%
Op Margin
14%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $68M
Renaissance $55M
Soros $18M
D.E. Shaw
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 3
net selling
3 insiders · 3 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
BASH-POLLEY STACY ELLEN · award
UGWONALI DANA WEEKS · award
HOLZ CLAUDIA A · award
Track Record (0/1 correct) ▾

Direction History

0/1 correct at 5 days
2026-05-20 bearish +2.1% ✗
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15 signals · latest 12d ago

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