Earnings · GPK
GPK

GPK Earnings Preview

Graphic Packaging Holding Company · Consumer Cyclical · $3B

8d until earnings

Our Call

bearish · medium Full prediction →

GPK likely to sell off on earnings; estimates cut 15.8%

Expected move: 7–14% from event-day close

Full thesis

GPK faces a 50% sell-the-news probability with estimates revised down 15.8% and analyst downgrades (2 down vs 1 up in 30d) signaling deteriorating fundamentals. Insiders have sold $2.07M with zero buys in 90 days, and extreme bullish options positioning (P/C 0.02) is a contrarian sell signal. The stock is at its 52w high ($9.84) but in a downtrend, limiting upside and increasing reversal risk.

GPK Earnings

Thursday, Apr 30 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.07
$0.04 – $0.10
Revenue Estimate
$2.0B
Current Price
$9.74

Our Position

bearish

Einhorn Boosts GPK Stake 80%

est. revisions rising (+24.6pp / 30d)

Einhorn's sizable buy signals confidence amid ongoing transformation and sustainability initiatives, positioning GPK to capitalize on growing demand for eco-friendly packaging and solid free cash flow outlook.

Watch: Watch Q1 2026 earnings for signs of revenue growth acceleration or leverage changes to validate Einhorn's conviction.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
2 bearish
Estimates down -16% Insider buying cluster Put/call 0.1 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-2.0%
P/E Ratio
6.7
Est. Revisions (30d)
-15.7% 1up/2dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$12 $8–$21 +26%
Options P/C Ratio
0.05
Est. Dispersion
33% 9 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong buy (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Two Sigma, Citadel, Bridgewater

Recent Activity

insider trades 64 transactions
Other · FARRELL MICHAEL JAMES (Officer) ·4,176 shares
Award · VENTURELLI LARRY M (Director) ·5,885 shares
Award · RHINEHART MARY K (Director) ·5,885 shares
Other · SPENCE ELIZABETH (Officer) ·7,630 shares
Other · FALLAN SCOTT (Officer) ·1,258 shares
59 more
Buy · RIETBROEK ROBBERT ·44,278 shr ·$501,099
Buy · VENTURELLI LARRY M ·17,531 shr ·$199,194
Other · YOST JOSEPH P. ·5,421 shr
Other · FARRELL MICHAEL JAMES ·4,057 shr
Other · SPENCE ELIZABETH ·3,627 shr
Other · FALLAN SCOTT ·603 shr
Other · NARVEKAR NIKHIL ·402 shr
Other · LISCHER CHARLES D ·2,214 shr
Award · YOST JOSEPH P. ·11,401 shr
Other · YOST JOSEPH P. ·23,969 shr
Award · TASHMA LAUREN S. ·9,811 shr
Other · TASHMA LAUREN S. ·21,317 shr
Award · FARRELL MICHAEL JAMES ·8,669 shr
Other · FARRELL MICHAEL JAMES ·18,159 shr
Award · SPENCE ELIZABETH ·6,965 shr
Other · SPENCE ELIZABETH ·14,888 shr
Award · NARVEKAR NIKHIL ·622 shr
Other · NARVEKAR NIKHIL ·1,433 shr
Award · LISCHER CHARLES D ·4,376 shr
Other · LISCHER CHARLES D ·9,423 shr
Sell · YOST JOSEPH P. ·30,000 shr ·$681,600
Sell · MARTENS PHILIP R ·63,752 shr ·$1,392,063
Other · DOSS MICHAEL P ·1,333,927 shr
Award · CALLAHAN ANDREW P ·7,015 shr
Award · BRLAS MARY LAURIE ·7,015 shr
Award · MARTENS PHILIP R ·7,015 shr
Award · VENTURELLI LARRY M ·7,015 shr
Other · SPENCE ELIZABETH ·7,654 shr
Award · YOST JOSEPH P. ·83,462 shr
Other · YOST JOSEPH P. ·20,866 shr
Award · TASHMA LAUREN S. ·67,022 shr
Other · TASHMA LAUREN S. ·16,756 shr
Award · SCHERGER STEPHEN R. ·110,734 shr
Other · SCHERGER STEPHEN R. ·27,683 shr
Award · FARRELL MICHAEL JAMES ·64,068 shr
Other · FARRELL MICHAEL JAMES ·16,017 shr
Award · BIDLINGMAIER MARGIE KAY ·83,462 shr
Other · BIDLINGMAIER MARGIE KAY ·20,866 shr
Award · SPENCE ELIZABETH ·42,622 shr
Other · SPENCE ELIZABETH ·10,655 shr
Award · LISCHER CHARLES D ·27,762 shr
Other · LISCHER CHARLES D ·6,941 shr
Award · DOSS MICHAEL P ·448,102 shr
Other · DOSS MICHAEL P ·112,026 shr
Other · YOST JOSEPH P. ·5,580 shr
Other · TASHMA LAUREN S. ·5,491 shr
Other · SCHERGER STEPHEN R. ·8,331 shr
Other · BIDLINGMAIER MARGIE KAY ·7,014 shr
Other · SPENCE ELIZABETH ·3,655 shr
Other · LISCHER CHARLES D ·2,365 shr
Other · DOSS MICHAEL P ·31,698 shr
Other · BIDLINGMAIER MARGIE KAY ·80,128 shr
Award · YOST JOSEPH P. ·12,926 shr
Sell · LISCHER CHARLES D ·12,000 shr ·$355,800
Sell · FARRELL MICHAEL JAMES ·25,900 shr ·$750,841
Sell · DOSS MICHAEL P ·300,000 shr ·$8,434,425
Sell · VENTURELLI LARRY M ·5,885 shr ·$163,897
Award · BRLAS MARY LAURIE ·5,885 shr
Award · MARTENS PHILIP R ·5,885 shr
analyst ratings 3 ratings
Truist Securities →Hold 6d ago
Citigroup →Neutral 7d ago
Wells Fargo →Underweight 7d ago

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