GPK Graphic Packaging Holding Company

neutral track record → $11.21 -0.05 (-0.4%)
Mkt Cap $3B P/E 11.1 fwd 8.7 52wk $8.79 - $23.76 8d ago
Insider buying: $514,001 bought by 7 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: insider_activity, price_momentum, narrative_gap bullish vs estimate_revisions, analyst_r
Est. revisions: -24.6%
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -1.6)

Factor Model

net -1.6 4.0 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.9
Insider Activity
+0.5
Momentum
+0.9
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.5

Shapiro Capital Cuts $20M in Graphic Packaging

Watch: Monitor next earnings for margin and revenue trends to gauge turnaround sustainability against ongoing market pressure.

Shapiro Capital sold 1.58 million shares of Graphic Packaging (GPK) worth $19.92 million, reducing its position to 4.27 million shares valued at $42.46 million. Shares closed at $10.17, down 55% over the past year while the S&P 500 advanced 28%. Q1 net sales rose 2% YoY to $2.16 billion with reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance at $8.4-$8.6 billion. Insider buying totaling over $514K persists amid stabilizing revenue growth of 1.7%.

Shapiro's reduction signals investor caution while insider buying and stable revenue guidance suggest the turnaround remains under evaluation with mixed sentiment.

Evidence

12d ago Insider buy by STAFEIL JEFFREY M (GPK): $160,008
15d ago Short interest at 16.3% of float, up 4%
21d ago Insider buy by HAGEMANN ROBERT A. (GPK): $153,992
22d ago Insider buy by STAFEIL JEFFREY M (GPK): $200,001
26d ago UBS main GPK: Neutral → Neutral
7 older signals
27d ago Citigroup main GPK: Neutral → Neutral
36d ago Short interest at 17.7% of float, up 3%
49d ago Truist Securities main GPK: Hold → Hold
49d ago Citigroup main GPK: Neutral → Neutral
50d ago Wells Fargo main GPK: Underweight → Underweight
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Graphic Packaging Holding Company Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Mkt Cap
$3B
P/E
11.1 fwd 8.7
Beta
0.62
Div Yield
433.00%
52w Range
$8.79 - $23.76
Short Interest
42.3M 16.34%
Days to Cover
7.0 +7%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+9.3%
from 52w Hi
-2.3%
Vol (20d)
65%
1w return
+12.2%
1m return
+17.3%
Vol ratio
0.9x
Insiders
selling 3B / 5S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$0.14 -24.6% 30d 0up / 8dn
Est. Dispersion
59% 10 analysts
Analyst Target
$12 $8 - $18
Options P/C
25.69
Insider Cluster
buy cluster 2B / 0S
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma, Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$2.2B +2% YoY
FCF
$-253M
Gross Margin
14%
Op Margin
4%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $99M
Two Sigma $18M
Citadel $18M
Renaissance $12M
Bridgewater $2M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 8
net buying · $514,001 bought
7 insiders · 8 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
VENTURELLI LARRY M · award
BRLAS MARY LAURIE · award
MARTENS PHILIP R · award
STAFEIL JEFFREY M · buy · $200,001
HAGEMANN ROBERT A. · buy · $153,992
STAFEIL JEFFREY M · buy · $160,008
CALLAHAN ANDREW P · award
MASELLI ALESSANDRO · award
15 signals · latest 8d ago

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