GEMI likely to disappoint; estimates down 7.9%, insiders selling
Expected move: 5–12% from event-day close
Full thesis
GEMI faces a bearish setup with estimates revised down 7.9%, zero analyst upgrades and one downgrade (0% bullish revisions), and $12.4M in insider selling across three executives in the past 10 days. The sector peer MS sold off 2.2% after earnings, establishing a bearish pattern. While the stock has already dropped 8.73% in one week (suggesting some priced-in risk), the uniform negative signals and rising short interest (up 26% to 17.4% of float) indicate further downside risk on earnings.
GEMI Earnings
Thursday, May 14 2026
EPS Estimate
$-1.20
$-1.50 – $-0.91
Revenue Estimate
$50M
Current Price
$4.14
Data Signal Summary
0 bullish
3 bearish
Estimates down -8%
Insider selling cluster
Price downtrend
Key Context
Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-12.3%
Est. Revisions (30d)
-7.9% 0up/1dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$9 $4–$27 +114%
Options P/C Ratio
1.05
Est. Dispersion
49% 3 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Recent Activity
insider trades
13 transactions
Sell
·
JAITLY SACHIN CHAND (Director)
·39,708 shares
·$354,306
Award
·
STOJANOVIC DANIJELA (Chief Financial Officer)
·132,275 shares
Award
·
JAITLY SACHIN CHAND (Director)
·42,855 shares
Award
·
BEARD MARSHALL EDMUND (Chief Operating Officer)
·1,986,532 shares
Sell
·
BEARD MARSHALL EDMUND (Chief Operating Officer)
·258,901 shares
·$6,796,151
8 more
Award
·
FILIPAKIS MARIA
·16,052 shr
Award
·
MEADE TYLER ROBERTS
·1,487,377 shr
Other
·
MEADE TYLER ROBERTS
·64,396 shr
Sell
·
MEADE TYLER ROBERTS
·199,463 shr
·$5,235,904
Other
·
CHEN DANIEL N
·535,714 shr
Other
·
DURHAM JONATHAN
·79,265 shr
Other
·
ESPOSITO JAMES ANTHONY
·7,142 shr
Award
·
STOJANOVIC DANIJELA
·25,559 shr
analyst ratings
2 ratings
Citigroup
→Sell
1d ago
Evercore ISI Group
→In-Line
8d ago
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