CF

CF Earnings Preview

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. · Basic Materials · $18B

14d until earnings

CF Earnings

Wednesday, May 06 2026
EPS Estimate
$2.55
$2.28 – $2.83
Revenue Estimate
$1.8B
Current Price
$115.94

Our Position

bullish

Q4 beat drives 4.8% pop, lands on CNBC final trades

structured data est. revisions falling (-15.4pp / 30d)

The beat signals solid execution in a tough macro environment for fertilizer producers. Getting the nod on CNBC's final trades after a post-earnings rally suggests near-term momentum and institutional interest.

Watch: Next catalyst is Q1 guidance or any update on fertilizer pricing and demand trends heading into spring planting season. Volume and margin visibility will tell whether this beat was a one-off or the start of a recovery cycle.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
2 bearish
Estimates up +5% Insider selling cluster Put/call 0.5 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-13.3%
P/E Ratio
12.9
Est. Revisions (30d)
+5.4% 3up/0dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$118 $85–$150 +2%
Options P/C Ratio
0.49
Est. Dispersion
54% 6 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Two Sigma, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Bridgewater

Recent Activity

insider trades 104 transactions
Sell · FROST BERT A (Officer) ·3,000 shares ·$264,000
Sell · HOKER RICHARD A. (Officer) ·3,499 shares ·$438,705
Sell · FROST BERT A (Officer) ·6,000 shares ·$756,000
Sell · MAYER ERIK M. (Officer) ·1,500 shares ·$187,035
Sell · WILL W ANTHONY (Director) ·81,651 shares ·$10,333,625
99 more
Award · WILL W ANTHONY ·96,858 shr
Sell · FROST BERT A ·6,250 shr ·$854,316
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·18,041 shr ·$2,454,713
Sell · FROST BERT A ·15,534 shr ·$1,833,194
Sell · MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK ·3,666 shr ·$427,089
Sell · MAYER ERIK M. ·2,200 shr ·$255,749
Sell · WILL W ANTHONY ·57,364 shr ·$6,272,966
Sell · HOKER RICHARD A. ·6,184 shr ·$676,097
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·7,200 shr ·$799,200
Sell · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·2,439 shr ·$270,729
Sell · DEMPSEY LINDA M ·2,000 shr ·$213,000
Other · ARZBAECHER ROBERT C ·11,600 shr
Sell · WILL W ANTHONY ·64,273 shr ·$7,009,894
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·3,914 shr ·$415,250
Sell · MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK ·2,766 shr ·$291,426
Sell · WILL W ANTHONY ·237,416 shr ·$24,365,179
Sell · FROST BERT A ·5,102 shr ·$540,761
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·6,858 shr ·$713,232
Sell · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·8,631 shr ·$889,696
Award · WILL W ANTHONY ·40,647 shr
Award · HOKER RICHARD A. ·3,484 shr
Other · HOKER RICHARD A. ·1,973 shr
Sell · HOKER RICHARD A. ·5,620 shr ·$553,574
Award · FROST BERT A ·9,871 shr
Award · MENZEL SUSAN L ·6,968 shr
Award · BOHN CHRISTOPHER D ·10,452 shr
Award · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·4,064 shr
Award · DEMPSEY LINDA M ·2,322 shr
Sell · DEMPSEY LINDA M ·1,000 shr ·$100,000
Award · MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK ·1,258 shr
Award · MAYER ERIK M. ·968 shr
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·3,215 shr ·$311,859
Sell · WILL W ANTHONY ·111,890 shr ·$11,216,816
Award · HOKER RICHARD A. ·3,331 shr
Award · FROST BERT A ·10,762 shr
Award · MENZEL SUSAN L ·7,687 shr
Award · BOHN CHRISTOPHER D ·38,437 shr
Award · DEMPSEY LINDA M ·2,562 shr
Award · MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK ·6,150 shr
Other · HOKER RICHARD A. ·1,066 shr
Other · HOKER RICHARD A. ·540 shr
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·10,000 shr ·$1,002,300
Sell · FROST BERT A ·26,003 shr ·$2,568,715
Sell · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·5,498 shr ·$549,535
Other · ARZBAECHER ROBERT C ·13,175 shr
Award · WHITE CELSO L ·2,074 shr
Award · EAVES JOHN W ·2,074 shr
Award · TOELLE MICHAEL ·2,074 shr
Award · WAGLER THERESA E. ·2,074 shr
Award · NOONAN ANNE P ·2,074 shr
Award · ELLERBUSCH SUSAN A. ·2,074 shr
Award · AHMED JAVED ·2,074 shr
Award · DEHAAS DEBORAH L. ·2,074 shr
Award · MADRAZO YRIS JESUS ·2,074 shr
Award · ARZBAECHER ROBERT C ·2,074 shr
Award · HAGGE STEPHEN J ·3,293 shr
Award · WILL W ANTHONY ·80,773 shr
Award · HOKER RICHARD A. ·6,213 shr
Other · HOKER RICHARD A. ·3,499 shr
Award · FROST BERT A ·18,639 shr
Award · MENZEL SUSAN L ·12,115 shr
Award · BOHN CHRISTOPHER D ·18,639 shr
Award · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·7,456 shr
Award · DEMPSEY LINDA M ·4,348 shr
Award · MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK ·2,278 shr
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·2,850 shr ·$276,300
Sell · FROST BERT A ·3,000 shr ·$285,000
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·1,500 shr ·$142,500
Sell · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·8,889 shr ·$844,457
Other · HOKER RICHARD A. ·596 shr
Other · HOKER RICHARD A. ·1,024 shr
Award · WILL W ANTHONY ·36,655 shr
Award · HOKER RICHARD A. ·5,842 shr
Award · FROST BERT A ·9,622 shr
Award · MENZEL SUSAN L ·35,510 shr
Award · BOHN CHRISTOPHER D ·13,746 shr
Award · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·4,124 shr
Award · DEMPSEY LINDA M ·2,291 shr
Award · CAMERON GREGORY D ·10,997 shr
Award · MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK ·4,124 shr
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·3,500 shr ·$325,000
Sell · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·7,000 shr ·$635,487
Other · WILL W ANTHONY ·17,654 shr
Sell · FROST BERT A ·3,000 shr ·$270,000
Sell · MENZEL SUSAN L ·2,000 shr ·$180,000
Sell · MALIK ASHRAF KHAN ·7,201 shr ·$648,269
Award · FROST BERT A ·45,125 shr
Award · CAMERON GREGORY D ·25,270 shr
Award · WHITE CELSO L ·2,010 shr
Award · EAVES JOHN W ·2,010 shr
Award · TOELLE MICHAEL ·2,010 shr
Award · WAGLER THERESA E. ·2,010 shr
Award · NOONAN ANNE P ·2,010 shr
Award · ELLERBUSCH SUSAN A. ·2,010 shr
Award · AHMED JAVED ·2,010 shr
Award · DEHAAS DEBORAH L. ·2,010 shr
Award · MADRAZO YRIS JESUS ·2,010 shr
Award · ARZBAECHER ROBERT C ·2,010 shr
Award · HAGGE STEPHEN J ·3,267 shr
analyst ratings 3 ratings
Scotiabank Sector Perform 1d ago
Barclays Overweight 4d ago
Goldman Sachs Neutral 7d ago
ae trade 9
5d ago
6d ago
7d ago