CF CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

bullish track record → $115.94 +3.26 (+2.9%)
Get emailed when CF changes direction
Mkt Cap $18B P/E 12.9 fwd 13.2 52wk $73.56 - $141.96 Earnings 2026-05-06 47d ago
Insider selling: $80,171,668 sold by 21 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: +5.4% (3 up, 0 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +1.8)

Factor Model

net +1.8 3.7 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.3
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Q4 beat drives 4.8% pop, lands on CNBC final trades

Watch: Next catalyst is Q1 guidance or any update on fertilizer pricing and demand trends heading into spring planting season. Volume and margin visibility will tell whether this beat was a one-off or the start of a recovery cycle.

CF Industries Holdings reported Q4 earnings on February 18 that cleared the bar on both lines. EPS came in at $2.99 versus the $2.54 estimate. Revenue hit $1.872 billion against a $1.787 billion consensus. Shares jumped 4.8% to close at $104.30 on March 2, and Joseph M. Terranova named it his final trade on CNBC.

The beat signals solid execution in a tough macro environment for fertilizer producers. Getting the nod on CNBC's final trades after a post-earnings rally suggests near-term momentum and institutional interest.

Our Trades

Full track record →
-100.0%

Long Call · The Veteran

7d held
2026-04-17
+36.4%

Long Call · The Veteran

7d held
2026-04-16
+5.4%

Long Call · The Veteran

7d held
2026-04-15
-4.9%

Long Call · Trail Blazer

4d held
2026-04-14
+12.4%

Long Call · Wide Runner

7d held
2026-04-13

Evidence

1d ago Scotiabank main CF: Sector Perform → Sector Perform
4d ago Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Royal Caribbean, Exxon Mobil, Critical Metals, Netflix & more cnbc-finance
4d ago Barclays main CF: Overweight → Overweight
7d ago Goldman Sachs main CF: Neutral → Neutral
8d ago Insider sell by WILL W ANTHONY (CF): $11,216,816
8d ago Insider sell by WILL W ANTHONY (CF): $24,365,179
8d ago Insider sell by WILL W ANTHONY (CF): $10,333,625
15d ago Jim Cramer Explains How Persian Gulf Being Blocked Off Benefits CF Industries yahoo-finance
7 older signals
23d ago Oil and Fertilizer Prices May Soon Have Ripple Effects on These 3 Commodities Stocks
27d ago RBC Capital Lowers its Price Target on FactSet Research Systems (FDS) to $243 from $320
32d ago Is CF Industries Stock Outperforming the Dow?
38d ago CF Industries (CF) Soars to All-Time High as Middle East Tensions to Benefit Firm
41d ago Oil Shock Didn't Just Move Energy Stocks — It May Lift This Fertilizer Giant's Earnings
47d ago Middle east conflict shakes markets: Airline stocks fall while oil and defense shares surge - The Economic Times
49d ago Netflix, CF Industries And An Industrial Stock: CNBC's 'Final Trades'
Fundamentals & Data ▾
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs
Mkt Cap
$18B
P/E
12.9 fwd 13.2
Beta
0.52
Div Yield
177.00%
52w Range
$73.56 - $141.96
Short Interest
7.2M 5.63%
Days to Cover
1.0 -33%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-13.3%
1w return
-4.7%
Insiders
selling 0B / 7S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$2.55 +5.4% 30d 3up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
54% 6 analysts
Analyst Target
$118 $85 - $150
Options P/C
0.49
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 8S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Two Sigma, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$1.9B +23% YoY
FCF
$313M
Gross Margin
41%
Op Margin
36%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $77M
Two Sigma $76M
D.E. Shaw $34M
Renaissance $12M
Bridgewater $2M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 104
net selling · $80,171,668 sold
21 insiders · 104 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
FROST BERT A · sell · $264,000
HOKER RICHARD A. · sell · $438,705
FROST BERT A · sell · $756,000
MAYER ERIK M. · sell · $187,035
WILL W ANTHONY · sell · $10,333,625
WILL W ANTHONY · award
FROST BERT A · sell · $854,316
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $2,454,713
FROST BERT A · sell · $1,833,194
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK · sell · $427,089
MAYER ERIK M. · sell · $255,749
WILL W ANTHONY · sell · $6,272,966
HOKER RICHARD A. · sell · $676,097
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $799,200
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · sell · $270,729
DEMPSEY LINDA M · sell · $213,000
ARZBAECHER ROBERT C · other
WILL W ANTHONY · sell · $7,009,894
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $415,250
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK · sell · $291,426
WILL W ANTHONY · sell · $24,365,179
FROST BERT A · sell · $540,761
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $713,232
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · sell · $889,696
WILL W ANTHONY · award
HOKER RICHARD A. · award
HOKER RICHARD A. · other
HOKER RICHARD A. · sell · $553,574
FROST BERT A · award
MENZEL SUSAN L · award
BOHN CHRISTOPHER D · award
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · award
DEMPSEY LINDA M · award
DEMPSEY LINDA M · sell · $100,000
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK · award
MAYER ERIK M. · award
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $311,859
WILL W ANTHONY · sell · $11,216,816
HOKER RICHARD A. · award
FROST BERT A · award
MENZEL SUSAN L · award
BOHN CHRISTOPHER D · award
DEMPSEY LINDA M · award
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK · award
HOKER RICHARD A. · other
HOKER RICHARD A. · other
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $1,002,300
FROST BERT A · sell · $2,568,715
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · sell · $549,535
ARZBAECHER ROBERT C · other
WHITE CELSO L · award
EAVES JOHN W · award
TOELLE MICHAEL · award
WAGLER THERESA E. · award
NOONAN ANNE P · award
ELLERBUSCH SUSAN A. · award
AHMED JAVED · award
DEHAAS DEBORAH L. · award
MADRAZO YRIS JESUS · award
ARZBAECHER ROBERT C · award
HAGGE STEPHEN J · award
WILL W ANTHONY · award
HOKER RICHARD A. · award
HOKER RICHARD A. · other
FROST BERT A · award
MENZEL SUSAN L · award
BOHN CHRISTOPHER D · award
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · award
DEMPSEY LINDA M · award
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK · award
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $276,300
FROST BERT A · sell · $285,000
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $142,500
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · sell · $844,457
HOKER RICHARD A. · other
HOKER RICHARD A. · other
WILL W ANTHONY · award
HOKER RICHARD A. · award
FROST BERT A · award
MENZEL SUSAN L · award
BOHN CHRISTOPHER D · award
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · award
DEMPSEY LINDA M · award
CAMERON GREGORY D · award
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK · award
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $325,000
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · sell · $635,487
WILL W ANTHONY · other
FROST BERT A · sell · $270,000
MENZEL SUSAN L · sell · $180,000
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN · sell · $648,269
FROST BERT A · award
CAMERON GREGORY D · award
WHITE CELSO L · award
EAVES JOHN W · award
TOELLE MICHAEL · award
WAGLER THERESA E. · award
NOONAN ANNE P · award
ELLERBUSCH SUSAN A. · award
AHMED JAVED · award
DEHAAS DEBORAH L. · award
MADRAZO YRIS JESUS · award
ARZBAECHER ROBERT C · award
HAGGE STEPHEN J · award
ae trade 9
4 more
15 signals · latest 1d ago

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