CARR Earnings
Thursday, Apr 30 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.51
$0.50 – $0.52
Revenue Estimate
$5.0B
Current Price
$61.71
Our Position
neutralEarnings miss, cautious guidance amid housing slowdown
structured data
est. revisions stable
(-0.6pp / 30d)
The earnings miss and cautious outlook reveal near-term headwinds in a key market segment. Housing weakness typically requires cyclical recovery, not operational fixes — meaning Carrier's near-term trajectory depends heavily on residential construction stabilizing, not on company execution alone.
Watch: Monitor housing starts and residential construction indices in the coming quarters. If that sector accelerates, CARR's pent-up demand could drive upside. If it continues to stall, the stock's 16% YTD gain may face pressure.
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
2 bearish
Insider selling cluster
Analysts: bullish
Price downtrend
Key Context
Analyst Consensus
bullish
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-4.6%
P/E Ratio
36.5
Est. Revisions (30d)
-0.7% 2up/5dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$71 $55–$90 +15%
Options P/C Ratio
0.70
Est. Dispersion
5% 21 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma, D.E. Shaw
Recent Activity
insider trades
36 transactions
Exercise
·
TIMPERMAN JURGEN (Officer)
·267,455 shares
·$6,653,494
Other
·
GIERGES MICHAEL LOTFY (Officer)
·5,320 shares
Other
·
HEIM THOMAS (Officer)
·50 shares
Award
·
GITLIN DAVID L (Chief Executive Officer)
·90,872 shares
Award
·
GORIS PATRICK P (Chief Financial Officer)
·40,750 shares
31 more
Award
·
VILLENEUVE NADIA
·15,194 shr
Award
·
AGRAWAL AJAY
·5,705 shr
Award
·
PANDYA GAURANG
·5,705 shr
Award
·
CAMPBELL FRANCESCA
·1,958 shr
Other
·
HEIM THOMAS
·13,797 shr
Buy
·
GITLIN DAVID L
·19,300 shr
·$1,015,572
Other
·
PANDYA GAURANG
·66 shr
Other
·
PANDYA GAURANG
·19,190 shr
Other
·
DRYDEN EDWARD C
·6,791 shr
Sell
·
VIESSMANN MAXIMILIAN
·4,267,425 shr
·$299,999,978
Sell
·
CROCKETT KYLE
·18,945 shr
·$1,234,884
Exercise
·
CROCKETT KYLE
·45,620 shr
·$1,942,083
Award
·
GITLIN DAVID L
·152,361 shr
Award
·
GORIS PATRICK P
·49,395 shr
Award
·
VILLENEUVE NADIA
·22,972 shr
Award
·
CROCKETT KYLE
·7,625 shr
Award
·
AGRAWAL AJAY
·11,226 shr
Award
·
PANDYA GAURANG
·8,567 shr
Award
·
CAMPBELL FRANCESCA
·3,856 shr
Sell
·
CROCKETT KYLE
·11,647 shr
·$889,082
Exercise
·
CROCKETT KYLE
·17,500 shr
·$447,650
Sell
·
O'CONNOR KEVIN J
·167,183 shr
·$12,281,698
Exercise
·
O'CONNOR KEVIN J
·249,150 shr
·$6,088,640
Sell
·
AGRAWAL AJAY
·62,382 shr
·$4,026,758
Exercise
·
AGRAWAL AJAY
·93,320 shr
·$1,999,848
Sell
·
CROCKETT KYLE
·4,611 shr
·$306,134
Exercise
·
CROCKETT KYLE
·7,500 shr
·$191,850
Sell
·
O'CONNOR KEVIN J
·20,000 shr
·$1,314,624
Sell
·
VILLENEUVE NADIA
·98,428 shr
·$6,437,664
Exercise
·
VILLENEUVE NADIA
·106,797 shr
·$2,183,459
Sell
·
TIMPERMAN JURGEN
·198,773 shr
·$12,302,251
analyst ratings
2 ratings
BNP Paribas
·init
→Neutral
7d ago
Evercore ISI Group
·init
→Outperform
8d ago
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