CARR Carrier Global Corporation

neutral track record → $61.71 +0.06 (+0.1%)
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Mkt Cap $52B P/E 36.5 fwd 19.4 52wk $50.24 - $81.09 Earnings 2026-04-30 45d ago
Insider selling: $338,793,073 sold by 13 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -0.7% (2 up, 5 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -1.0)

Factor Model

net -1.0 2.6 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-0.7
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Earnings miss, cautious guidance amid housing slowdown

Watch: Monitor housing starts and residential construction indices in the coming quarters. If that sector accelerates, CARR's pent-up demand could drive upside. If it continues to stall, the stock's 16% YTD gain may face pressure.

Carrier Global missed both revenue and EPS expectations in its most recent earnings report, with weakness in North American residential construction cited as the culprit. Management's full-year guidance reflects this caution. Despite the miss, CARR has climbed 16% year-to-date in 2026, suggesting the market may have priced in recovery potential.

The earnings miss and cautious outlook reveal near-term headwinds in a key market segment. Housing weakness typically requires cyclical recovery, not operational fixes — meaning Carrier's near-term trajectory depends heavily on residential construction stabilizing, not on company execution alone.

Evidence

7d ago BNP Paribas init CARR: Neutral
8d ago Insider sell by VIESSMANN MAXIMILIAN (CARR): $299,999,978
8d ago Insider buy by GITLIN DAVID L (CARR): $1,015,572
8d ago Evercore ISI Group init CARR: Outperform
8d ago Insider sell by TIMPERMAN JURGEN (CARR): $12,302,251
8d ago Insider sell by O'CONNOR KEVIN J (CARR): $12,281,698
22d ago Carrier Global (CARR) Slid on Lowering Guidance yahoo-finance
47d ago Carrier CEO: North American Data Center Orders Surged 400% in Q4 yahoo-finance
1 older signals
47d ago Jim Cramer Calls Carrier Global Corporation’s Full-Year Forecast “Justifiably a Little Cautious”
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Carrier Global Corporation Industrials · Building Products & Equipment
Mkt Cap
$52B
P/E
36.5 fwd 19.4
Beta
1.32
Div Yield
156.00%
52w Range
$50.24 - $81.09
Short Interest
20.3M 2.95%
Days to Cover
2.9 +0%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-4.6%
1w return
-4.6%
Insiders
selling 0B / 7S
Analysts
bullish 2 up / 0 down
EPS Estimate
$0.51 -0.7% 30d 2up / 5dn
Est. Dispersion
5% 21 analysts
Analyst Target
$71 $55 - $90
Options P/C
0.70
Insider Cluster
strong sell 1B / 6S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$4.8B -6% YoY
FCF
$909M
Gross Margin
20%
Op Margin
1%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $295M
Renaissance $65M
Two Sigma $32M
D.E. Shaw
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 36
net selling · $338,793,073 sold · $1,015,572 bought
13 insiders · 36 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
TIMPERMAN JURGEN · exercise · $6,653,494
GIERGES MICHAEL LOTFY · other
HEIM THOMAS · other
GITLIN DAVID L · award
GORIS PATRICK P · award
VILLENEUVE NADIA · award
AGRAWAL AJAY · award
PANDYA GAURANG · award
CAMPBELL FRANCESCA · award
HEIM THOMAS · other
GITLIN DAVID L · buy · $1,015,572
PANDYA GAURANG · other
PANDYA GAURANG · other
DRYDEN EDWARD C · other
VIESSMANN MAXIMILIAN · sell · $299,999,978
CROCKETT KYLE · sell · $1,234,884
CROCKETT KYLE · exercise · $1,942,083
GITLIN DAVID L · award
GORIS PATRICK P · award
VILLENEUVE NADIA · award
CROCKETT KYLE · award
AGRAWAL AJAY · award
PANDYA GAURANG · award
CAMPBELL FRANCESCA · award
CROCKETT KYLE · sell · $889,082
CROCKETT KYLE · exercise · $447,650
O'CONNOR KEVIN J · sell · $12,281,698
O'CONNOR KEVIN J · exercise · $6,088,640
AGRAWAL AJAY · sell · $4,026,758
AGRAWAL AJAY · exercise · $1,999,848
CROCKETT KYLE · sell · $306,134
CROCKETT KYLE · exercise · $191,850
O'CONNOR KEVIN J · sell · $1,314,624
VILLENEUVE NADIA · sell · $6,437,664
VILLENEUVE NADIA · exercise · $2,183,459
TIMPERMAN JURGEN · sell · $12,302,251
analyst rating 2
BNP Paribas init → Neutral 7d ago
Evercore ISI Group init → Outperform 9d ago
9 signals · latest 7d ago

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