AXTI

AXTI Earnings Preview

AXT, Inc. · Technology · $4B

12d until earnings

AXTI Earnings

Thursday, Apr 30 2026
EPS Estimate
$-0.05
$-0.06 – $-0.04
Revenue Estimate
$26M
Current Price
$82.56

Our Position

bullish

25-year high followed by profit-taking pullback

structured data est. revisions stable

AXTI is threading a tight needle: declining revenue and mounting annual losses offset by narrowing quarterly losses and emerging AI tailwinds. The export permits unlock a meaningful revenue stream, but the stock's 25-year breakout followed by immediate profit-taking suggests conviction is fragile—traders are buying the narrative, not the fundamentals yet.

Watch: Q1 2026 earnings for proof of sequential growth and whether export permit wins translate into actual orders. If revenue re-accelerates and losses continue contracting, the stock has room to fill higher; if Q1 disappoints, the bounce was a false signal.

Data Signal Summary

1 bullish
3 bearish
Estimates up +8% Insider selling cluster Put/call 1.4 (bearish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
0.0%
Est. Revisions (30d)
+8.0% 2up/1dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$31 $21–$45 -63%
Options P/C Ratio
1.38 1C/0P unusual
Est. Dispersion
44% 5 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma

Recent Activity

insider trades 53 transactions
Award · FISCHER GARY L (Officer) ·92,350 shares
Sell · CHEN JESSE (Director) ·14,086 shares ·$700,040
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S (Chief Executive Officer) ·37,905 shares ·$1,938,018
Sell · CHEN JESSE (Director) ·29,000 shares ·$1,353,047
Sell · CHANG DAVID C (Director) ·20,000 shares ·$919,918
48 more
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S ·30,832 shr ·$1,405,908
Sell · CHEN JESSE ·14,452 shr ·$542,595
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S ·134,193 shr ·$4,865,327
Sell · CHANG DAVID C ·40,000 shr ·$1,539,114
Sell · CHEN JESSE ·19,947 shr ·$768,196
Sell · CHEN JESSE ·22,327 shr ·$961,810
Other · YOUNG MORRIS S ·3,780 shr
Sell · FISCHER GARY L ·405,233 shr ·$16,798,934
Other · YOUNG MORRIS S ·27,200 shr
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S ·159,536 shr ·$6,911,466
Exercise · FISCHER GARY L ·247,828 shr ·$1,270,249
Award · FISCHER GARY L ·75,718 shr
Award · YOUNG MORRIS S ·218,170 shr
Sell · CHANG DAVID C ·25,000 shr ·$371,025
Other · YOUNG MORRIS S ·7,800 shr
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S ·37,160 shr ·$462,902
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S ·35,000 shr ·$421,750
Exercise · YOUNG MORRIS S ·69,204 shr ·$299,996
Sell · CHANG DAVID C ·50,000 shr ·$576,250
Other · YOUNG MORRIS S ·15,000 shr
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S ·33,130 shr ·$344,386
Exercise · YOUNG MORRIS S ·70,000 shr ·$364,700
Sell · FISCHER GARY L ·101,297 shr ·$1,026,949
Sell · LEBLANC LEONARD J ·3,637 shr ·$30,587
Sell · FISCHER GARY L ·22,675 shr ·$201,177
Sell · CHANG DAVID C ·100,000 shr ·$894,040
Sell · FISCHER GARY L ·80,235 shr ·$707,783
Sell · YOUNG MORRIS S ·80,000 shr ·$691,848
Other · YOUNG MORRIS S ·30,000 shr
Award · FISCHER GARY L ·37,500 shr
Award · YOUNG MORRIS S ·100,000 shr
Exercise · FISCHER GARY L ·10,280 shr ·$22,410
Award · LEBLANC LEONARD J ·29,112 shr
Award · CHANG DAVID C ·55,172 shr
Award · CHEN JESSE ·55,172 shr
Award · CHRISTINE RUSSELL ·55,172 shr
Buy · YOUNG MORRIS S ·30,000 shr ·$40,929
Sell · FISCHER GARY L ·89,032 shr ·$4,505,145
Award · YOUNG MORRIS S ·256,854 shr
Award · FISCHER GARY L ·38,800 shr
Award · YOUNG MORRIS S ·111,795 shr
Award · FISCHER GARY L ·13,009 shr
Award · YOUNG MORRIS S ·22,003 shr
Award · FISCHER GARY L ·17,645 shr
Award · YOUNG MORRIS S ·39,792 shr
Award · CHANG DAVID C ·23,323 shr
Award · CHEN JESSE ·23,323 shr
Award · CHRISTINE RUSSELL ·23,323 shr
ae trade 4
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