AXTI AXT, Inc.

bullish track record → $82.56 +0.78 (+0.9%)
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Mkt Cap $4B 52wk $1.13 - $71.49 Earnings 2026-04-30 41d ago
Insider selling: $48,938,215 sold by 6 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: +8.0% (2 up, 1 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +1.7)

Factor Model

net +1.7 4.2 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.5
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.6
Narrative Gap
+0.0

25-year high followed by profit-taking pullback

Watch: Q1 2026 earnings for proof of sequential growth and whether export permit wins translate into actual orders. If revenue re-accelerates and losses continue contracting, the stock has room to fill higher; if Q1 disappoints, the bounce was a false signal.

AXT hit a 25-year peak of $41.19 on February 26 — its first time that high since September 2000 — before retreating 9.4% as investors cashed in. The rally was fueled by 2025 results showing net losses narrowed 31% in Q4 to $3.5 million, plus newly secured export permits for indium phosphide chips destined for AI infrastructure. Full-year 2025 revenue fell 11% to $88 million and the company posted an $21.26 million loss, but management signaled sequential Q1 growth driven by AI-related demand.

AXTI is threading a tight needle: declining revenue and mounting annual losses offset by narrowing quarterly losses and emerging AI tailwinds. The export permits unlock a meaningful revenue stream, but the stock's 25-year breakout followed by immediate profit-taking suggests conviction is fragile—traders are buying the narrative, not the fundamentals yet.

Our Trades

Full track record →
+55.3%

Long Call · The Veteran

7d held
2026-04-14
+49.2%

Long Call · Quick Draw

7d held
2026-04-13
+39.5%

Long Call · Risk Manager

3d held
2026-04-10
+34.0%

Long Call · Risk Manager

3d held
2026-04-09

Evidence

4d ago Insider sell by FISCHER GARY L (AXTI): $16,798,934
4d ago Insider buy by YOUNG MORRIS S (AXTI): $40,929
6d ago AXT Inc. (AXT) Up 21.5% Ahead of Earnings yahoo-finance
9d ago AXT Inc. (AXT) Surges 8.26% as Traders Gear Up for Earnings yahoo-finance
10d ago B. Riley Says “Incrementally Cautious” on AXT (AXTI) yahoo-finance
14d ago AXT Inc. (AXTI) Jumps 12% on Bargain-Hunting yahoo-finance
32d ago Fastly (FSLY) Surges 22% on Tech Surge yahoo-finance
36d ago AXT Inc. (AXTI) Climbs 14.9% After Series of Losses yahoo-finance
2 older signals
44d ago AXT Inc (AXTI) Loses 9.4% After 25-Year High
48d ago AXT Inc (AXTI) Loses 9.4% After 25-Year High
Fundamentals & Data ▾
AXT, Inc. Technology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials
Mkt Cap
$4B
Beta
1.51
52w Range
$1.13 - $71.49
Short Interest
6.2M 11.75%
Days to Cover
0.7 +1%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
0.0%
1w return
+28.6%
Insiders
selling 1B / 9S
EPS Estimate
$-0.05 +8.0% 30d 2up / 1dn
Est. Dispersion
44% 5 analysts
Analyst Target
$31 $21 - $45
Options P/C
1.38 1C / 0P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong sell 1B / 5S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$23M -8% YoY
FCF
$1M
Gross Margin
21%
Op Margin
-11%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $16M
Renaissance $1M
Two Sigma
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 53
net selling · $48,938,215 sold · $40,929 bought
6 insiders · 53 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
FISCHER GARY L · award
CHEN JESSE · sell · $700,040
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $1,938,018
CHEN JESSE · sell · $1,353,047
CHANG DAVID C · sell · $919,918
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $1,405,908
CHEN JESSE · sell · $542,595
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $4,865,327
CHANG DAVID C · sell · $1,539,114
CHEN JESSE · sell · $768,196
CHEN JESSE · sell · $961,810
YOUNG MORRIS S · other
FISCHER GARY L · sell · $16,798,934
YOUNG MORRIS S · other
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $6,911,466
FISCHER GARY L · exercise · $1,270,249
FISCHER GARY L · award
YOUNG MORRIS S · award
CHANG DAVID C · sell · $371,025
YOUNG MORRIS S · other
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $462,902
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $421,750
YOUNG MORRIS S · exercise · $299,996
CHANG DAVID C · sell · $576,250
YOUNG MORRIS S · other
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $344,386
YOUNG MORRIS S · exercise · $364,700
FISCHER GARY L · sell · $1,026,949
LEBLANC LEONARD J · sell · $30,587
FISCHER GARY L · sell · $201,177
CHANG DAVID C · sell · $894,040
FISCHER GARY L · sell · $707,783
YOUNG MORRIS S · sell · $691,848
YOUNG MORRIS S · other
FISCHER GARY L · award
YOUNG MORRIS S · award
FISCHER GARY L · exercise · $22,410
LEBLANC LEONARD J · award
CHANG DAVID C · award
CHEN JESSE · award
CHRISTINE RUSSELL · award
YOUNG MORRIS S · buy · $40,929
FISCHER GARY L · sell · $4,505,145
YOUNG MORRIS S · award
FISCHER GARY L · award
YOUNG MORRIS S · award
FISCHER GARY L · award
YOUNG MORRIS S · award
FISCHER GARY L · award
YOUNG MORRIS S · award
CHANG DAVID C · award
CHEN JESSE · award
CHRISTINE RUSSELL · award
ae trade 4
10 signals · latest 4d ago

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