VVV Valvoline Inc.

neutral track record → $33.79 -0.85 (-2.5%)
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Mkt Cap $4B P/E 50.2 fwd 17.3 52wk $28.50 - $41.33 Earnings 2026-05-07 48d ago
Insider buying: $1,549,749 bought by 13 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: insider_activity bullish vs analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: +0.0% (3 up, 7 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.6)

Factor Model

net -0.6 2.3 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.0
Insider Activity
+0.5
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-0.7
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Strong Q1 Growth Marred by Large Fund Exit

Watch: Next quarterly earnings and guidance. If growth acceleration slows below 10% or same-store sales decelerate, the fund's exit looks prescient. Watch whether other institutions follow Wasatch's lead or if this was a one-off rebalance.

Valvoline posted solid Q1 results with 11% revenue growth to $462 million and same-store sales up 5.8%, adding 200 net stores in the quarter. That strength didn't stop Wasatch Advisors from selling 2.08 million shares ($67 million) in mid-February, cutting its stake to 1.4% of AUM — a move that reads more like portfolio rebalancing than conviction loss, though the optics are mixed.

The fund exit is a notable warning signal. When a major institutional holder sells this size of position right after upbeat earnings, it suggests either valuation concern or competing capital allocation priorities — neither is encouraging for momentum. The strong operational metrics (14% EBITDA growth, network expansion) show the business is executing, but they're not enough to retain institutional commitment at current levels.

Evidence

9d ago Insider buy by SONSTEBY CHARLES M (VVV): $395,000
9d ago Insider buy by FLEES LORI ANN (VVV): $99,100
9d ago Insider buy by FLEES LORI ANN (VVV): $101,353
9d ago Insider buy by WILLIS JOHN KEVIN (VVV): $501,506
9d ago Insider buy by WILLIS JOHN KEVIN (VVV): $314,100
9d ago Insider buy by FLEES LORI ANN (VVV): $138,690
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Valvoline Inc. Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Mkt Cap
$4B
P/E
50.2 fwd 17.3
Beta
1.19
52w Range
$28.50 - $41.33
Short Interest
13.3M 11.71%
Days to Cover
7.5 +12%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-3.1%
1w return
+2.0%
Insiders
selling 2B / 3S
EPS Estimate
$0.34 +0.0% 30d 3up / 7dn
Est. Dispersion
16% 14 analysts
Analyst Target
$42 $35 - $48
Options P/C
0.13
Insider Cluster
strong buy 3B / 4S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$462M +12% YoY
FCF
$7M
Gross Margin
37%
Op Margin
5%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $176M
Citadel $75M
Two Sigma
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 67
net buying · $946,773 sold · $1,549,749 bought
13 insiders · 67 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
FLEES LORI ANN · other
DENNY JORDAN M. · other
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · sell · $137,924
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · exercise · $180,114
STURGEON DIONE R · exercise · $10,849
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · sell · $166,228
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · exercise · $363,788
MANAGER VADA O · exercise · $123,150
PACIOUS PATRICK S · other
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · other
FLEES LORI ANN · other
STURGEON DIONE R · other
FULCHER LINNE · other
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · other
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · sell · $102,016
FLEES LORI ANN · buy · $138,690
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · other
FLEES LORI ANN · other
STURGEON DIONE R · other
FULCHER LINNE · other
WILLIS JOHN KEVIN · buy · $314,100
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · other
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · award
FLEES LORI ANN · award
STURGEON DIONE R · award
FULCHER LINNE · award
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · award
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · other
STURGEON DIONE R · other
FULCHER LINNE · other
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · other
WILLIS JOHN KEVIN · buy · $501,506
FLEES LORI ANN · buy · $101,353
FLEES LORI ANN · other
STURGEON DIONE R · other
DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS · other
STURGEON DIONE R · other
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · sell · $224,430
KRUSE CAROL H. · sell · $136,847
PACIOUS PATRICK S · other
KRUSE CAROL H. · other
DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS · sell · $76,560
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · other
FLEES LORI ANN · other
DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS · other
STURGEON DIONE R · other
FULCHER LINNE · other
MEIXELSPERGER MARY E · other
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · other
FLEES LORI ANN · buy · $99,100
SONSTEBY CHARLES M · buy · $395,000
DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS · other
MEIXELSPERGER MARY E · other
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · award
FLEES LORI ANN · award
DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS · award
MEIXELSPERGER MARY E · award
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · award
CALDWELL JONATHAN L · other
DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS · other
STURGEON DIONE R · other
MEIXELSPERGER MARY E · other
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · other
FULCHER LINNE · other
O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE · sell · $102,768
PACIOUS PATRICK S · other
FLEES LORI ANN · other
8 signals · latest 9d ago

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