VVV

VVV Earnings Preview

Valvoline Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · $4B

14d until earnings

VVV Earnings

Thursday, May 07 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.34
$0.31 – $0.36
Revenue Estimate
$495M
Current Price
$33.79

Our Position

neutral

Strong Q1 Growth Marred by Large Fund Exit

structured data est. revisions stable (-0.5pp / 30d)

The fund exit is a notable warning signal. When a major institutional holder sells this size of position right after upbeat earnings, it suggests either valuation concern or competing capital allocation priorities — neither is encouraging for momentum. The strong operational metrics (14% EBITDA growth, network expansion) show the business is executing, but they're not enough to retain institutional commitment at current levels.

Watch: Next quarterly earnings and guidance. If growth acceleration slows below 10% or same-store sales decelerate, the fund's exit looks prescient. Watch whether other institutions follow Wasatch's lead or if this was a one-off rebalance.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
1 bearish
Insider buying cluster Put/call 0.1 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-3.1%
P/E Ratio
50.2
Est. Revisions (30d)
+0.0% 3up/7dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$42 $35–$48 +24%
Options P/C Ratio
0.13
Est. Dispersion
16% 14 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong buy (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Two Sigma

Recent Activity

insider trades 67 transactions
Other · FLEES LORI ANN (Chief Executive Officer) ·6,700 shares
Other · DENNY JORDAN M. (Officer) ·3,543 shares
Sell · CALDWELL JONATHAN L (Officer) ·3,662 shares ·$137,924
Exercise · CALDWELL JONATHAN L (Officer) ·8,877 shares ·$180,114
Exercise · STURGEON DIONE R (Officer) ·287 shares ·$10,849
62 more
Sell · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·4,312 shr ·$166,228
Exercise · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·15,810 shr ·$363,788
Exercise · MANAGER VADA O ·3,750 shr ·$123,150
Other · PACIOUS PATRICK S ·3,750 shr
Other · CALDWELL JONATHAN L ·595 shr
Other · FLEES LORI ANN ·2,643 shr
Other · STURGEON DIONE R ·398 shr
Other · FULCHER LINNE ·794 shr
Other · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·1,058 shr
Sell · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·3,200 shr ·$102,016
Buy · FLEES LORI ANN ·4,500 shr ·$138,690
Other · CALDWELL JONATHAN L ·656 shr
Other · FLEES LORI ANN ·6,033 shr
Other · STURGEON DIONE R ·503 shr
Other · FULCHER LINNE ·1,006 shr
Buy · WILLIS JOHN KEVIN ·10,000 shr ·$314,100
Other · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·856 shr
Award · CALDWELL JONATHAN L ·3,080 shr
Award · FLEES LORI ANN ·13,690 shr
Award · STURGEON DIONE R ·1,027 shr
Award · FULCHER LINNE ·2,054 shr
Award · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·5,476 shr
Other · CALDWELL JONATHAN L ·873 shr
Other · STURGEON DIONE R ·670 shr
Other · FULCHER LINNE ·1,340 shr
Other · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·1,140 shr
Buy · WILLIS JOHN KEVIN ·12,725 shr ·$501,506
Buy · FLEES LORI ANN ·3,000 shr ·$101,353
Other · FLEES LORI ANN ·5,462 shr
Other · STURGEON DIONE R ·278 shr
Other · DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS ·710 shr
Other · STURGEON DIONE R ·287 shr
Sell · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·6,000 shr ·$224,430
Sell · KRUSE CAROL H. ·3,740 shr ·$136,847
Other · PACIOUS PATRICK S ·3,740 shr
Other · KRUSE CAROL H. ·3,740 shr
Sell · DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS ·1,914 shr ·$76,560
Other · CALDWELL JONATHAN L ·594 shr
Other · FLEES LORI ANN ·2,641 shr
Other · DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS ·792 shr
Other · STURGEON DIONE R ·396 shr
Other · FULCHER LINNE ·792 shr
Other · MEIXELSPERGER MARY E ·2,179 shr
Other · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·1,057 shr
Buy · FLEES LORI ANN ·2,500 shr ·$99,100
Buy · SONSTEBY CHARLES M ·10,000 shr ·$395,000
Other · DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS ·603 shr
Other · MEIXELSPERGER MARY E ·2,346 shr
Award · CALDWELL JONATHAN L ·4,138 shr
Award · FLEES LORI ANN ·21,216 shr
Award · DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS ·2,759 shr
Award · MEIXELSPERGER MARY E ·15,170 shr
Award · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·7,360 shr
Other · CALDWELL JONATHAN L ·555 shr
Other · DOBBINS ROBERT TRAVIS ·738 shr
Other · STURGEON DIONE R ·494 shr
Other · MEIXELSPERGER MARY E ·2,026 shr
Other · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·983 shr
Other · FULCHER LINNE ·5,060 shr
Sell · O'DANIEL JULIE MARIE ·2,500 shr ·$102,768
Other · PACIOUS PATRICK S ·2,000 shr
Other · FLEES LORI ANN ·5,461 shr