Insider selling: $76,292,089 sold by 12 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence:
DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions bullish vs analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions:
+4.0%
(1 up, 5 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.8)
Factor Model
net -0.8
Est. Revisions
+0.3
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-0.9
Narrative Gap
+0.0
Upstart nets $3.9M insider buy amid undervaluation
Watch: Watching May 5 earnings for guidance on sustaining profitability and AI-driven loan growth momentum.
Upstart's GU PAUL bought $3.9M shares near $39.22, signaling bullish insider confidence. UPST trades at a price-to-sales ratio below 3, well under fintech peers' 5-7 range, despite a 40% YTD stock decline. The company posted $53.6M GAAP net income last year and automates 91% of loans using a robust AI model trained on 50M repayment events.
The insider buy and strong fundamentals highlight undervaluation and potential for a rebound despite recent heavy market sell-off and high short interest of 33%.
Evidence
1d ago
Insider buy by GU PAUL (UPST): $3,922,800
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Fundamentals & Data ▾
Upstart Holdings, Inc.
Financial Services · Credit Services
Mkt Cap
$3B
P/E
65.6 fwd 9.3
Beta
2.16
52w Range
$23.96 - $87.30
Short Interest
27.8M 33.44%
Days to Cover
4.8 +18%
Technicals
downtrend
from 52w Hi
-0.8%
1w return
+20.7%
Insiders
selling
0B / 11S
EPS Estimate
$0.43
+4.0% 30d
1up / 5dn
Est. Dispersion
55%
7 analysts
Analyst Target
$45
$20 - $80
Options P/C
0.18
Insider Cluster
strong sell
1B / 6S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong
Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$276M +31% YoY
FCF
$105M
Momentum:
decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel
$184M
D.E. Shaw
$23M
Two Sigma
$1M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade
132
net selling
· $76,292,089 sold
· $3,922,800 bought
12 insiders · 132 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $400,210
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $10,148
DARLING SCOTT L · award
DATTA SANJAY · award
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · award
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $24,932
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $205,192
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $238,375
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $18,925
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $99,996
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · award
O'KELLY CIARAN · award
BERNARD PETER · award
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $50,000
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $13,220
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $369,600
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $26,440
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · sell · $75,000
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $29,649
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $282,480
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $498,323
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $30,063
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · exercise · $245,502
GU PAUL · buy · $3,922,800
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $55,012
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $54,640
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $70,010
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $2,705,545
GIROUARD DAVID · exercise · $34,584
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $277,654
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $52,880
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · sell · $34,605
GU PAUL · sell · $343,059
GU PAUL · exercise · $31,700
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $99,593
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $435,336
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $95,183
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · exercise · $9,454
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $419,158
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $823,452
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $65,944
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $2,636,434
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $313,806
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $28,457
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $3,127,831
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $66,100
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $320,270
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · exercise · $103,600
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $477,296
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $92,540
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $457,675
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · exercise · $157,756
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $2,501,983
GU PAUL · exercise · $95,000
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $180,000
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $39,660
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $2,504,524
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $369,166
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · sell · $23,460
HUBER JEFFREY T · award
TERRY HILLIARD C III · award
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · award
HENTGES MARY M. · award
O'KELLY CIARAN · award
BERNARD PETER · award
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $59,215
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $316,246
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $634,674
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $35,874
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $100,427
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · award
GU PAUL · exercise · $653,640
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $1,145,544
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $126,436
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · sell · $34,045
DARLING SCOTT L · award
DARLING SCOTT L · other
GU PAUL · award
DATTA SANJAY · award
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $90,321
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $378,934
GU PAUL · sell · $948,826
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $357,444
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $1,269,865
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $62,746
BERNARD PETER · award
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $3,526,908
GU PAUL · exercise · $166,500
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $2,608,236
GU PAUL · exercise · $66,203
HUBER JEFFREY T · award
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · award
HENTGES MARY M. · award
O'KELLY CIARAN · award
GU PAUL · exercise · $107,500
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · exercise · $4,725
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $3,470,228
GU PAUL · sell · $5,450,069
GU PAUL · exercise · $84,708
SINGH CASSIDY SUKHINDER · sell · $2,233,278
SINGH CASSIDY SUKHINDER · exercise · $84,100
COOPER KERRY WHORTON · sell · $37,295
GU PAUL · sell · $6,078,466
GU PAUL · exercise · $102,492
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $228,514
GU PAUL · sell · $4,463,815
GU PAUL · exercise · $68,780
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $109,162
GU PAUL · sell · $2,673,757
GU PAUL · exercise · $24,820
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $446,285
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $305,248
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $1,300,002
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $105,546
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $102,840
GU PAUL · sell · $4,327,774
GU PAUL · exercise · $76,050
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $2,725,423
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $119,310
GIROUARD DAVID · sell · $2,714,455
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $72,990
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $527,376
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $211,771
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $77,550
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $80,715
DARLING SCOTT L · sell · $5,101,519
DARLING SCOTT L · exercise · $1,255,900
GU PAUL · sell · $1,005,134
GU PAUL · exercise · $23,400
DATTA SANJAY · sell · $73,020
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · sell · $240,023
MIRGORODSKAYA NATALIA · exercise · $5,850
7 signals · latest 1d ago
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