JD JD.com, Inc.

neutral track record → $30.52 -0.85 (-2.7%)
Get emailed when JD changes direction
Mkt Cap $46B P/E 16.6 fwd 7.5 52wk $24.51 - $38.08 Earnings 2026-05-07 43d ago
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, analyst_revisions bullish vs options_sentiment bearish
Est. revisions: +8.6% (7 up, 4 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +1.4)

Factor Model

net +1.4 3.3 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.5
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.5
Narrative Gap
+0.0

JD beats revenue, swings to Q4 loss on costs

Watch: Q2 2026 guidance and management commentary on margin recovery trajectory. Profit inflection above $1B per quarter would validate the growth-at-cost thesis.

JD reported Q4 revenue of $50.38B, beating the $50.22B consensus, and full-year revenues up 18% to $187.2B. However, Q4 swung to a $388M loss versus $1.35B profit a year ago, and full-year net income halved to $2.8B from $5.67B. Benchmark reaffirmed its 'buy' rating with a $38 price target, prompting a 6% stock jump. The profit collapse despite revenue growth signals margin pressure from competitive intensity and operational investments, not demand weakness.

JD's topline beat proves pricing power and platform stickiness in a macro-challenged China market, but the earnings collapse reveals a deteriorating margin profile that threatens return on capital. At $27.03, the stock prices in the bullish case and leaves limited upside to the $38 target if profitability doesn't rebound.

Evidence

6d ago Bernstein main JD: Outperform → Outperform
7d ago Barclays main JD: Overweight → Overweight
8d ago Michael Burry is Loading Up on JD.com Stock. Should You? yahoo-finance
8d ago Citigroup main JD: Buy → Buy
17d ago JD.com (JD) Announces Pricing of CNY10B Offshore Notes Offering yahoo-finance
28d ago JD.com (JD) Launches Joybuy Marketplace in Europe, Acquires Ceconomy to Challenge Amazon yahoo-finance
35d ago JD.com (JD) and BYD Enters a Strategic Partnership yahoo-finance
41d ago JD.com, Inc. (JD) Partners with DHL to Popularize German Brands amid Mixed 2025 Financial Results yahoo-finance
3 older signals
45d ago JD.com (JD) Climbs 6% on Analyst ‘Buy’ Reco
48d ago Archer, Riot, Rigetti and More Stocks With Earnings This Week - Benzinga
51d ago Archer, Riot, Rigetti and More Stocks With Earnings This Week - Benzinga
Fundamentals & Data ▾
JD.com, Inc. Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Mkt Cap
$46B
P/E
16.6 fwd 7.5
Beta
0.37
Div Yield
316.00%
52w Range
$24.51 - $38.08
Short Interest
25.6M 2.14%
Days to Cover
2.0 +3%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-3.4%
1w return
-2.3%
Insiders
mixed 0B / 0S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$3.64 +8.6% 30d 7up / 4dn
Est. Dispersion
27% 18 analysts
Analyst Target
$40 $25 - $61
Options P/C
1.71
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Appaloosa, Soros, D.E. Shaw, Tiger Global
Financials
Revenue
$352.3B +2% YoY
FCF
$6.7B
Gross Margin
16%
Op Margin
-1%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $381M
Appaloosa $119M
Soros $41M
D.E. Shaw $22M
Tiger Global $10M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 3
net selling
3 insiders · 3 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
XU RAN · other
ZHANG PANG · other
SHAN SU · other
11 signals · latest 6d ago

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