JD Earnings
Thursday, May 07 2026
EPS Estimate
$3.64
$3.22 – $4.19
Revenue Estimate
$311.0B
Current Price
$30.52
Our Position
neutralJD beats revenue, swings to Q4 loss on costs
structured data
est. revisions rising
(+13.4pp / 30d)
JD's topline beat proves pricing power and platform stickiness in a macro-challenged China market, but the earnings collapse reveals a deteriorating margin profile that threatens return on capital. At $27.03, the stock prices in the bullish case and leaves limited upside to the $38 target if profitability doesn't rebound.
Watch: Q2 2026 guidance and management commentary on margin recovery trajectory. Profit inflection above $1B per quarter would validate the growth-at-cost thesis.
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
2 bearish
Estimates up +9%
Put/call 1.7 (bearish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
mixed
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-3.4%
P/E Ratio
16.6
Est. Revisions (30d)
+8.6% 7up/4dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$40 $25–$61 +31%
Options P/C Ratio
1.71
Est. Dispersion
27% 18 analysts
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Appaloosa, Soros, D.E. Shaw, Tiger Global
Recent Activity
insider trades
3 transactions
Other
·
XU RAN (Chief Executive Officer)
·44,510 shares
Other
·
ZHANG PANG (Officer)
·28,861 shares
Other
·
SHAN SU (Chief Financial Officer)
·11,250 shares
analyst ratings
3 ratings
Bernstein
→Outperform
6d ago
Barclays
→Overweight
7d ago
Citigroup
→Buy
8d ago
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