Get emailed when ARES changes direction
Mkt Cap $38B
P/E 68.0 fwd 15.7
52wk $95.80 - $195.26
Factor Model (net -2.1)
Factor Model
net -2.1
Est. Revisions
-0.4
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0
Analysis pending — waiting for first signal cycle.
▼
$116.22
2026-04-17
Event Predictions
bearish
ARES earnings on 2026-05-01
13d
ARES likely to sell off on earnings; estimates cut, insiders selling
+1.3%
$116.22
→ $117.78
Thesis
ARES faces a high-probability sell-the-news event. Estimates have been revised down 6.2%, analysts are 0 up / 6 down in recent period, and insiders have sold $104.3M in the past 90 days (including $33.1M by Antony Ressler). The stock has rallied 13.78% in one week to reach its 52-week high, creating mean reversion risk and suggesting the market has already priced in a beat. With a P/E of 68.0 and 13 bearish vs 1 bullish signal in 72h, downside risk is asymmetric.
Evidence
Updated Thursday
Apollo, Ares, Sixth Street Circle Early Talks On Multi-Billion NBA Europe Play
benzinga
5d ago
Oppenheimer main ARES: Outperform → Outperform
5d ago
Insider sell by RESSLER ANTONY P (ARES): $33,101,095
5d ago
Insider sell by RESSLER ANTONY P (ARES): $18,880,987
5d ago
Insider sell by AROUGHETI MICHAEL J (ARES): $37,006,688
5d ago
Insider sell by ROSENTHAL BENNETT (ARES): $14,041,185
5d ago
Insider sell by KAPLAN DAVID B (ARES): $17,511,466
5d ago
Insider sell by ROSENTHAL BENNETT (ARES): $19,790,618
7 older signals
5d ago
Insider sell by KAPLAN DAVID B (ARES): $16,492,637
5d ago
Insider sell by AROUGHETI MICHAEL J (ARES): $11,916,861
5d ago
Insider sell by KAPLAN DAVID B (ARES): $11,858,291
5d ago
Insider sell by ROSENTHAL BENNETT (ARES): $10,728,918
5d ago
Insider sell by ROSENTHAL BENNETT (ARES): $13,671,865
5d ago
Insider sell by AROUGHETI MICHAEL J (ARES): $13,454,008
5d ago
Insider sell by KAPLAN DAVID B (ARES): $13,575,309
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Ares Management Corporation
Financial Services · Asset Management
Mkt Cap
$38B
P/E
68.0 fwd 15.7
Beta
1.54
Div Yield
453.00%
52w Range
$95.80 - $195.26
Short Interest
13.8M 6.56%
Days to Cover
3.2 +14%
Technicals
downtrend
from 52w Hi
-1.3%
1w return
+17.2%
Insiders
selling
1B / 12S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$1.35
-6.2% 30d
0up / 6dn
Est. Dispersion
21%
13 analysts
Analyst Target
$147
$104 - $205
Options P/C
1.63
Insider Cluster
buy cluster
2B / 5S
Fund Convergence
strong
D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$1.5B +20% YoY
FCF
$-499M
Gross Margin
60%
Op Margin
17%
Momentum:
decelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw
$973M
Citadel
$139M
Bridgewater
$2M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade
119
net selling
· $1,269,338,131 sold
· $2,739,126 bought
15 insiders · 119 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
OLIAN JUDY D. · buy · $59,726
BHUTANI ASHISH · buy · $1,266,100
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · sell · $529,032
DEVEER ROBERT KIPP III · award
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · award
PHILLIPS JARROD · award
JACOBSON BLAIR VICTOR · award
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · award
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · sell · $299,239
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · award
PHILLIPS JARROD · award
KAPLAN DAVID B · other
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · other
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · other
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $45,274,799
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $45,380,330
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · other
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · sell · $3,275,370
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · sell · $3,746,321
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $22,971,970
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $47,742,182
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $82,605,017
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $49,896,005
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $50,528,376
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $55,114,999
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $7,975,789
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $47,915,943
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $47,957,144
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $51,725,056
RESSLER ANTONY P · other
JACOBSON BLAIR VICTOR · other
OLIAN JUDY D. · award
BUSH ANTOINETTE COOK · award
LYNTON MICHAEL M · award
BHUTANI ASHISH · award
NAUGHTON EILEEN · award
JOUBERT PAUL G · award
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $14,347,484
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $5,472,902
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $4,845,343
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $42,299,762
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $56,406,351
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $10,584,827
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $6,774,878
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · other
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $16,977,649
BHUTANI ASHISH · buy · $1,413,300
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $16,098,997
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $16,100,103
KAPLAN DAVID B · other
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · other
DEVEER ROBERT KIPP III · sell · $14,998,894
BERRY RYAN · award
DEVEER ROBERT KIPP III · award
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · award
PHILLIPS JARROD · award
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · award
SAGATI AGHILI NASEEM · award
PHILLIPS JARROD · award
OLIAN JUDY D. · other
BERRY RYAN · sell · $2,622,571
DEVEER ROBERT KIPP III · sell · $53,146,778
BERRY RYAN · sell · $980,502
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $5,404,447
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $5,366,612
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $5,127,237
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $15,195,297
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $15,206,846
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $15,229,437
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $13,575,309
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $13,454,008
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $13,671,865
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $9,344,356
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $9,488,457
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $9,485,894
KAPLAN DAVID B · other
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · other
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · other
KAPLAN DAVID B · other
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · other
BERRY RYAN · sell · $292,425
RESSLER ANTONY P · other
BERRY RYAN · sell · $3,210,874
BERRY RYAN · sell · $6,719,793
BERRY RYAN · sell · $3,201,400
BERRY RYAN · sell · $7,664,883
BERRY RYAN · sell · $4,766,691
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $10,728,918
BERRY RYAN · sell · $9,513,892
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $3,791,691
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $8,104,234
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $8,099,471
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $7,049,630
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $11,858,291
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $11,916,861
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $7,892,108
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $7,870,440
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $5,985,756
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $8,517,974
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $8,487,181
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $8,492,699
DEVEER ROBERT KIPP III · other
OLIAN JUDY D. · award
BUSH ANTOINETTE COOK · award
LYNTON MICHAEL M · award
BHUTANI ASHISH · award
NAUGHTON EILEEN · award
JOUBERT PAUL G · award
DEVEER ROBERT KIPP III · sell · $6,260,152
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $16,492,637
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $19,790,618
OLIAN JUDY D. · sell · $457,865
KAPLAN DAVID B · sell · $17,511,466
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $14,041,185
RESSLER ANTONY P · other
AROUGHETI MICHAEL J · sell · $37,006,688
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $18,880,987
RESSLER ANTONY P · sell · $33,101,095
ROSENTHAL BENNETT · sell · $6,485,848
event: +1.3% | 15 signals · latest Updated Thursday
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