Get emailed when UNH changes direction
Mkt Cap $295B
P/E 24.5 fwd 16.1
52wk $234.60 - $453.50
12h ago
Insider buying: $32,119,275 bought by 19 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions:
+2.9%
(8 up, 3 down in 30d)
Next event:
Upcoming event
(est. 3–6% move)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +1.8)
Factor Model
net +1.8 4.9 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.2
Insider Activity
+0.5
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.7
Narrative Gap
+0.0
UnitedHealth raises profit forecast after Q1 beat
Watch: Q1 earnings details and Medicare Advantage performance will signal if UnitedHealth can sustain margin and revenue growth amid cost pressures.
UnitedHealth reported Q1 2026 earnings and revenue above Wall Street expectations, leading it to raise its annual profit forecast. The company navigated elevated medical costs hitting a peak and showed strong performance in its Medicare Advantage and Optum Health segments. However, consensus forecasts anticipate EPS at $6.61, down from $7.20 last year, reflecting some earnings pressure despite a slight revenue increase to $109.66 billion.
The raised guidance signals confidence in managing cost trends and Medicare growth, offsetting the EPS decline and supporting near-term stability despite analyst caution.
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$323.48
2026-04-21
Event Predictions
bearish
Q1 2026 earnings on 2026-04-21
due now
UNH Faces Downside Risk on Analyst Estimate Cuts
+7.0%
$323.48
→ $346.01
Thesis
UnitedHealth faces a bearish earnings setup with 8 analyst downgrades vs 1 upgrade (11% bullish) and estimates revised down 3.4% ahead of Q1 earnings. Benzinga's "most accurate analysts" explicitly warn of lower Q1 earnings. The stock is at its 52w high with low priced-in risk (0.20), creating a classic sell-the-news dynamic. The recent 1w bounce (+3.09%) appears to be a relief rally into disappointing results, not fundamental conviction. Zero insider buys in 90 days provide no support.
Our Trades
Full track record →
+0.0%
Long Call · The Indexer
UNH: analyst targets imply 34% upside.
0d held
2026-03-25
2026-03-25
Evidence
18h ago
Instant View: UnitedHealth's strong first quarter, forecast raise cheer Wall Street
yahoo-finance
1d ago
Jefferies main UNH: Buy → Buy
2d ago
UnitedHealth Likely To Report Lower Q1 Earnings; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
benzinga
5d ago
Falling Stock Price, Rising Dividend: UnitedHealth Fits the Dogs of the Dow Profile
yahoo-finance
8d ago
Insider buy by FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK (UNH): $511,575
8d ago
Insider buy by FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK (UNH): $491,786
7 older signals
8d ago
Insider buy by GIL KRISTEN (UNH): $1,003,329
8d ago
Insider buy by REX JOHN F (UNH): $4,999,919
8d ago
Insider buy by HEMSLEY STEPHEN J (UNH): $25,019,019
8d ago
Insider buy by NOSEWORTHY JOHN H (UNH): $93,647
Fundamentals & Data ▾
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated
Healthcare · Healthcare Plans
Mkt Cap
$295B
P/E
24.5 fwd 16.1
Beta
0.41
Div Yield
272.00%
52w Range
$234.60 - $453.50
Short Interest
17.7M 1.95%
Days to Cover
2.0 +20%
Technicals
downtrend
from 52w Hi
0.0%
1w return
+10.1%
Insiders
buying
1B / 0S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$4.65
+2.9% 30d
8up / 3dn
Est. Dispersion
18%
21 analysts
Analyst Target
$363
$278 - $440
Options P/C
0.63
14C / 13P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong buy
5B / 2S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong
Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Elliott, Renaissance, Tiger Global
Financials
Revenue
$113.2B +12% YoY
FCF
$160M
Gross Margin
16%
Op Margin
0%
Momentum:
decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel
$7.3B
D.E. Shaw
$5.2B
Berkshire
$1.7B
Elliott
$395M
Renaissance
$263M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade
143
net buying
· $189,258 sold
· $32,119,275 bought
19 insiders · 143 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
GOTTLIEB SCOTT · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
DEVEYDT WAYNE S · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
GOTTLIEB SCOTT · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
ZAETTA CHRISTOPHER R · award
NOEL TIMOTHY JOHN · award
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D. · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
MCSWEENEY ERIN L · award
DEVEYDT WAYNE S · award · $2,500,121
ZAETTA CHRISTOPHER R · award
NOEL TIMOTHY JOHN · award
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D. · award
MCSWEENEY ERIN L · award
ROOS THOMAS E · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
GOTTLIEB SCOTT · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · other
DEVEYDT WAYNE S · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
ZAETTA CHRISTOPHER R · award
NOEL TIMOTHY JOHN · award
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D. · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
MCSWEENEY ERIN L · award
ROOS THOMAS E · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
DEVEYDT WAYNE S · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
ZAETTA CHRISTOPHER R · award
NOEL TIMOTHY JOHN · award
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D. · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
MCSWEENEY ERIN L · award
ROOS THOMAS E · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
BAKER CHARLES D · sell · $9,613
DEVEYDT WAYNE S · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
ZAETTA CHRISTOPHER R · award
NOEL TIMOTHY JOHN · award
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D. · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
MCSWEENEY ERIN L · award
ROOS THOMAS E · award
REX JOHN F · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D. · sell · $179,645
CONWAY PATRICK HUGH M.D. · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · other
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · buy · $25,019,019
REX JOHN F · buy · $4,999,919
GIL KRISTEN · buy · $1,003,329
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · buy · $491,786
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · buy · $93,647
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
CIANFROCCO HEATHER · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
ZAETTA CHRISTOPHER R · award
NOEL TIMOTHY JOHN · award
WITTY ANDREW PHILIP · award
MONTGOMERY RICE VALERIE C · award
GIL KRISTEN · award
MCNABB FREDERICK WILLIAM III · award
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · award
MCSWEENEY ERIN L · award
ROOS THOMAS E · award
REX JOHN F · award
NOSEWORTHY JOHN H · award
CIANFROCCO HEATHER · award
ZAETTA CHRISTOPHER R · award
NOEL TIMOTHY JOHN · award
WITTY ANDREW PHILIP · award
MCSWEENEY ERIN L · award
ROOS THOMAS E · award
REX JOHN F · award
REX JOHN F · exercise · $2,779,171
FLYNN TIMOTHY PATRICK · buy · $511,575
HOOPER MICHELE J. · award
BAKER CHARLES D · award
HEMSLEY STEPHEN J · award
GARCIA PAUL REU · award
ae trade
1
event: +7.0% | 15 signals · latest 12h ago
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