LCID

LCID Earnings Preview

Lucid Group, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · $3B

14d until earnings

Our Call

bullish · medium Full prediction →

Lucid earnings beat on revised estimates, CEO catalysts support upside

Expected move: 7–15% from event-day close

Full thesis

LCID has seen 14.2% upward estimate revisions with 100% bullish analyst sentiment (1 up, 0 down), supported by recent catalysts including new CEO, Saudi PIF funding, and Uber partnership. While the stock is down 5.68% from 52w high and has extreme bullish options positioning (contrarian signal), the 40% sell-the-news probability is moderate and priced-in risk is low, suggesting limited downside is priced in. First-time earnings event with no historical baseline, but positive fundamental momentum outweighs technical weakness.

LCID Earnings

Tuesday, May 05 2026
EPS Estimate
$-1.85
$-2.62 – $-1.05
Revenue Estimate
$434M
Current Price
$7.30

Our Position

bullish

Lucid's Q1 deliveries hit by 29-day supply snag

structured data est. revisions rising (+9.0pp / 30d)

The supply hiccup delayed deliveries but the firm’s maintenance of full-year guidance and large insider purchase underpin confidence in a production rebound and strategic vehicle rollouts.

Watch: Watch next quarterly delivery and production figures for confirmation of supply normalization and demand recovery.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
1 bearish
Estimates up +3% Put/call 0.6 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
mixed
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-21.8%
Est. Revisions (30d)
+2.9% 1up/0dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$13 $8–$30 +76%
Options P/C Ratio
0.59 1C/4P unusual
Est. Dispersion
84% 4 analysts
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Soros, D.E. Shaw

Recent Activity

insider trades 36 transactions
Other · DHINGRA GAGAN (Officer) ·533,333 shares
Other · BACH ERIC (Officer) ·600,000 shares
Other · WINTERHOFF MARC (Chief Executive Officer) ·666,666 shares
Award · DHINGRA GAGAN (Officer) ·34,952 shares
Award · DHINGRA GAGAN (Officer) ·40,801 shares
31 more
Award · WINTERHOFF MARC ·89,967 shr
Award · BOUSSAID TAOUFIQ ·57,625 shr
Other · LIVERIS ANDREW N ·113,544 shr
Other · WONG JANET S ·116,765 shr
Other · MAYNARD-ELLIOTT NICHELLE ·108,713 shr
Other · LAMBERT LISA MARIE ·116,765 shr
Other · ALNOWAISER TURQI A ·115,155 shr
Other · WINITZER ORI ·108,713 shr
Other · NOURI CHABI ·108,713 shr
Other · GRIMM DOUGLAS J ·150,990 shr
Other · DHINGRA GAGAN ·270,730 shr
Other · BACH ERIC ·974,637 shr
Other · WINTERHOFF MARC ·1,386,704 shr
Other · DHINGRA GAGAN ·135,666 shr
Other · RAWLINSON PETER DORE ·1,345,532 shr
Other · RAWLINSON PETER DORE ·672,766 shr
Other · WINTERHOFF MARC ·1,345,532 shr
Other · BOUSSAID TAOUFIQ ·1,336,228 shr
Exercise · RAWLINSON PETER DORE ·181,467 shr ·$150,618
Buy · PUBLIC INVESTMENT FUND ·396,188,386 shr ·$1,026,524,108
Other · DHINGRA GAGAN ·417,153 shr
Other · BACH ERIC ·1,001,168 shr
Sell · BACH ERIC ·89,959 shr ·$282,471
Other · LIVERIS ANDREW N ·96,822 shr
Other · WONG JANET S ·96,822 shr
Other · MAYNARD-ELLIOTT NICHELLE ·96,822 shr
Other · LAMBERT LISA MARIE ·134,476 shr
Other · ALNOWAISER TURQI A ·96,822 shr
Other · MARAKBY SHERIF ·96,822 shr
Other · WINITZER ORI ·96,822 shr
Other · NOURI CHABI ·96,822 shr
analyst ratings 2 ratings
TD Cowen Hold 5d ago
Baird Neutral 5d ago