CG Earnings
Wednesday, May 06 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.97
$0.84 – $1.13
Revenue Estimate
$969M
Current Price
$52.55
Our Position
neutralBofA raises target as Carlyle doubles down on India housing
structured data
est. revisions falling
(-11.6pp / 30d)
The India play shows Carlyle chasing higher-growth emerging markets, but BofA's refusal to upgrade the rating despite raising the price target suggests the analyst sees this deal as a one-off bump, not a catalyst for sustained multiple expansion. The bet works only if Carlyle can extract outsized returns from Indian housing finance at a time when global credit spreads remain tight.
Watch: Monitor Carlyle's Q1 earnings call for management commentary on returns expectations and dry powder allocation to emerging markets. If management signals a strategic pivot toward India and Asia over traditional buyout markets, that could justify the higher valuation — or confirm BofA's skepticism.
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
3 bearish
Estimates down -11%
Insider selling cluster
Put/call 0.1 (bullish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-0.2%
P/E Ratio
22.6
Est. Revisions (30d)
-11.4% 0up/6dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$62 $48–$75 +18%
Options P/C Ratio
0.07
Est. Dispersion
30% 12 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Fund Convergence
moderate Citadel, D.E. Shaw
Recent Activity
insider trades
86 transactions
Other
·
RUBENSTEIN DAVID M (Director)
·100,000 shares
Sell
·
RUBENSTEIN DAVID M (Director)
·500,000 shares
·$23,340,000
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY (Chief Operating Officer)
·2,625 shares
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR (Officer)
·343 shares
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M (Chief Executive Officer)
·17,457 shares
81 more
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·9,114 shr
Award
·
PLOUFFE JUSTIN
·3,431 shr
Award
·
JENKINS MARK DAVID
·6,424 shr
Award
·
NEDELMAN JEFFREY
·6,507 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·1,070 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·127,121 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·23,240 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·286,938 shr
Award
·
PLOUFFE JUSTIN
·50,474 shr
Award
·
JENKINS MARK DAVID
·157,453 shr
Award
·
NEDELMAN JEFFREY
·230,268 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·27,643 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·183,655 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·550,965 shr
Other
·
RUBENSTEIN DAVID M
·625,000 shr
Sell
·
RUBENSTEIN DAVID M
·625,000 shr
·$35,343,750
Other
·
WELTERS ANTHONY
·12,906 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·620 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·220 shr
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
·28,519 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·3,730 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·928 shr
Other
·
CONWAY WILLIAM E JR
·2,000,000 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·496 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·177 shr
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
·22,884 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·2,992 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·744 shr
Other
·
CONWAY WILLIAM E JR
·1,000,000 shr
Sell
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·300,000 shr
·$19,088,342
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·688 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·302 shr
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
·31,709 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·5,490 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·1,368 shr
Award
·
WELTERS ANTHONY
·5,235 shr
Award
·
BESCHLOSS AFSANEH MASHAYEKHI
·5,235 shr
Award
·
FITT LAWTON WEHLE
·5,235 shr
Award
·
RICE DERICA W
·8,811 shr
·$140,036
Award
·
CHERWOO SHARDA
·5,235 shr
Award
·
FILLER LINDA
·5,235 shr
Award
·
HANCE JAMES HENRY JR
·5,235 shr
Award
·
SHAW WILLIAM JOSEPH
·5,235 shr
Award
·
ORDAN MARK S
·5,235 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·3 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·149 shr
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
·29,151 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·3,130 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·802 shr
Sell
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·250,000 shr
·$13,264,562
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·281,796 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·30,935 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·90,450 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·18,553 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·275,076 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·65,596 shr
Other
·
WELTERS ANTHONY
·13,280 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·4 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·146 shr
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
·36,555 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·2,870 shr
Sell
·
D'ANIELLO DANIEL A.
·495,542 shr
·$25,536,924
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·197 shr
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
·49,508 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·3,887 shr
Award
·
LOBUE LINDSAY
·6 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·1,007 shr
Award
·
ANDREWS CHARLES ELLIOTT JR
·176 shr
Award
·
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
·44,052 shr
Award
·
REDETT JOHN C
·3,458 shr
Award
·
FINN CHRISTOPHER
·3,458 shr
Award
·
FERGUSON JEFFREY W
·896 shr
Award
·
WELTERS ANTHONY
·5,004 shr
Award
·
BESCHLOSS AFSANEH MASHAYEKHI
·5,004 shr
Award
·
FITT LAWTON WEHLE
·5,004 shr
Award
·
RICE DERICA W
·5,004 shr
Award
·
CHERWOO SHARDA
·5,004 shr
Award
·
FILLER LINDA
·5,004 shr
Award
·
HANCE JAMES HENRY JR
·5,004 shr
Award
·
SHAW WILLIAM JOSEPH
·5,004 shr
Award
·
ORDAN MARK S
·5,004 shr
analyst ratings
1 rating
Evercore ISI Group
→In-Line
13h ago
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