CENX Earnings
Wednesday, May 06 2026
EPS Estimate
$1.77
$1.66 – $1.89
Revenue Estimate
$633M
Current Price
$61.33
Our Position
bullishGeopolitical turmoil cuts global aluminum supply 9%
structured data
est. revisions falling
(-4.3pp / 30d)
CENX trades directly into a genuine supply shock — not sentiment-driven volatility. A 9% global supply reduction is material enough to support prices structurally if the disruption persists. Aluminum trades around $2,900/ton; extended supply pain would flow through to CENX's margins and cash generation.
Watch: Monitor whether the Strait of Hormuz disruption extends beyond days into weeks — that timeline determines if this is a one-off bounce or a structural bull case for aluminum prices. Watch for CENX capacity announcements or guidance updates that reflect margin expansion from higher aluminum values.
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
2 bearish
Insider selling cluster
Put/call 0.3 (bullish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-9.7%
P/E Ratio
148.2
Est. Revisions (30d)
-0.8% 1up/0dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$79 $75–$86 +29%
Options P/C Ratio
0.29
Est. Dispersion
13% 2 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Recent Activity
insider trades
58 transactions
Sell
·
TRPKOVSKI PETER A (Chief Financial Officer)
·16,739 shares
·$845,487
Sell
·
GARY JESSE E (Chief Executive Officer)
·150,000 shares
·$8,320,500
Sell
·
CALLOWAY KENNETH L (Officer)
·18,000 shares
·$1,044,000
Sell
·
HOFFMAN ROBERT F (Officer)
·10,529 shares
·$594,994
Sell
·
HOFFMAN ROBERT F (Officer)
·10,000 shares
·$563,300
53 more
Sell
·
GLENCORE INTERNATIONAL AG
·6,315,245 shr
·$326,813,929
Sell
·
ABOUD MATT
·15,097 shr
·$793,098
Sell
·
HAFBERG AGUST F
·22,884 shr
·$1,172,576
Sell
·
GUDLAUGSSON GUNNAR
·43,000 shr
·$2,326,300
Sell
·
DEZEE JOHN
·66,000 shr
·$3,347,520
Sell
·
GARY JESSE E
·150,000 shr
·$7,228,500
Other
·
GARY JESSE E
·314,611 shr
Award
·
GARY JESSE E
·496,533 shr
Award
·
HOFFMAN ROBERT F
·36,772 shr
Award
·
GUDLAUGSSON GUNNAR
·98,418 shr
Award
·
DEZEE JOHN
·63,863 shr
Award
·
ABOUD MATT
·42,079 shr
Award
·
TRPKOVSKI PETER A
·31,748 shr
Award
·
CALLOWAY KENNETH L
·23,388 shr
Award
·
HAFBERG AGUST F
·36,116 shr
Sell
·
GLENCORE INTERNATIONAL AG
·9,000,000 shr
·$272,250,000
Other
·
GLENCORE INTERNATIONAL AG
·4,948,591 shr
Other
·
GLENCORE AG
·2,848 shr
Sell
·
HAFBERG AGUST F
·9,493 shr
·$264,950
Sell
·
CALLOWAY KENNETH L
·16,450 shr
·$452,375
Sell
·
ABOUD MATT
·12,027 shr
·$279,868
Other
·
GLENCORE AG
·16,477 shr
Award
·
BUSH JENNIFER MARY
·7,778 shr
Award
·
OLIVIER TAMLA A
·7,778 shr
Award
·
MICHELMORE ANDREW G
·7,778 shr
Award
·
GLASSER ERROL
·7,778 shr
Award
·
BERNTZEN JARL
·7,778 shr
Other
·
GLENCORE AG
·3,593 shr
Award
·
TRPKOVSKI PETER A
·12,455 shr
Sell
·
HOFFMAN ROBERT F
·5,000 shr
·$101,200
Sell
·
HOFFMAN ROBERT F
·2,500 shr
·$49,975
Other
·
GARY JESSE E
·127,216 shr
Award
·
GARY JESSE E
·269,886 shr
Award
·
HOFFMAN ROBERT F
·21,980 shr
Other
·
GLENCORE AG
·210,162 shr
Award
·
BIALEK GERALD C.
·17,534 shr
Award
·
GUDLAUGSSON GUNNAR
·59,781 shr
Award
·
DEZEE JOHN
·41,280 shr
Award
·
ABOUD MATT
·25,249 shr
Award
·
TRPKOVSKI PETER A
·10,670 shr
Award
·
CALLOWAY KENNETH L
·15,054 shr
Award
·
HAFBERG AGUST F
·22,091 shr
Sell
·
GARY JESSE E
·79,243 shr
·$1,478,740
Sell
·
GUDLAUGSSON GUNNAR
·20,000 shr
·$477,000
Other
·
GLENCORE INTERNATIONAL AG
·13,192 shr
Other
·
GARY JESSE E
·17,549 shr
Other
·
GLENCORE AG
·29,014 shr
Sell
·
GARY JESSE E
·60,000 shr
·$972,600
Award
·
BUSH JENNIFER MARY
·7,070 shr
Award
·
OLIVIER TAMLA A
·7,070 shr
Award
·
MICHELMORE ANDREW G
·7,070 shr
Award
·
GLASSER ERROL
·7,070 shr
Award
·
BERNTZEN JARL
·7,070 shr
analyst ratings
1 rating
Wells Fargo
→Overweight
5d ago
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