BYND faces mean reversion after 75% spike; estimates down 21%
Expected move: 15–30% from event-day close
Full thesis
Beyond Meat has surged 75.76% in one week to hit its 52-week high, but faces significant headwinds into earnings. Estimate revisions are down 21.1%, insiders have sold $2.98M with zero buying, and the stock's extreme momentum creates 30-40% mean reversion risk. With a 50% sell-the-news probability and options sentiment at bullish extremes (contrarian signal), the risk/reward favors a post-earnings pullback despite recent positive catalysts (beverage launch, retail distribution).
BYND Earnings
Wednesday, May 06 2026
EPS Estimate
$-0.10
$-0.14 – $-0.08
Revenue Estimate
$58M
Current Price
$1.16
Data Signal Summary
1 bullish
3 bearish
Estimates down -21%
Insider selling cluster
Put/call 0.2 (bullish skew)
Price downtrend
Key Context
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
0.0%
Est. Revisions (30d)
-21.1% 0up/0dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$1 $0–$1 -43%
Options P/C Ratio
0.18 2C/3P unusual
Est. Dispersion
57% 4 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Fund Convergence
moderate Citadel, D.E. Shaw
Recent Activity
insider trades
39 transactions
Other
·
BROWN ETHAN (Chief Executive Officer)
·418,542 shares
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A (Director)
·492 shares
·$484
Award
·
NELSON JONATHAN P. (Chief Operating Officer)
·493,420 shares
Award
·
LUFKIN PAUL ANDREW (Officer)
·493,420 shares
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A (Director)
·492 shares
·$427
34 more
Award
·
KUTUA LUBI
·5,440,719 shr
Award
·
WITTEMAN TERI L.
·3,726,520 shr
Award
·
AJAMI DARIUSH
·2,484,347 shr
Award
·
BROWN ETHAN
·19,874,772 shr
Award
·
KUTUA LUBI
·806,033 shr
Award
·
WITTEMAN TERI L.
·552,077 shr
Award
·
AJAMI DARIUSH
·552,077 shr
Award
·
BROWN ETHAN
·4,416,616 shr
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·492 shr
·$984
Award
·
KUTUA LUBI
·712,761 shr
Award
·
WITTEMAN TERI L.
·488,192 shr
Award
·
AJAMI DARIUSH
·488,192 shr
Award
·
BROWN ETHAN
·3,905,535 shr
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·492 shr
·$1,407
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·492 shr
·$1,279
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·492 shr
·$1,894
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·492 shr
·$1,722
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·1,125 shr
·$3,499
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·1,125 shr
·$2,858
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·1,110 shr
·$3,641
Sell
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·3,330 shr
·$10,956
Sell
·
BROWN ETHAN
·475,772 shr
·$1,810,394
Exercise
·
BROWN ETHAN
·966,006 shr
·$898,386
Award
·
MURRAY JOSHUA M.
·50,359 shr
Award
·
BAKHSHI NANDITA
·50,359 shr
Award
·
LANE RAYMOND J
·14,895 shr
Award
·
KOCH C. JAMES
·14,895 shr
Award
·
WALLER KATHY NADINE
·14,895 shr
Award
·
GRAYSON CHELSEA A
·50,359 shr
Award
·
JAY COLLEEN E
·14,895 shr
Award
·
GOLDMAN SETH
·14,895 shr
Award
·
LUFKIN PAUL ANDREW
·62,422 shr
Award
·
LUO YI
·24,969 shr
Sell
·
KUTUA LUBI
·419,042 shr
·$253,311
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