BLMN

BLMN Earnings Preview

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · $497M

14d until earnings

BLMN Earnings

Wednesday, May 06 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.57
$0.42 – $0.61
Revenue Estimate
$1.0B
Current Price
$6.67

Our Position

bullish

Outback traffic turns positive, first time in five years

structured data est. revisions falling (-1.2pp / 30d)

Turning the traffic metric positive is the critical inflection point for a casual dining operator. If the turnaround sticks, BLMN could trade on earnings acceleration. But Q1 guidance topping estimates while full-year guidance comes in below suggests management is being cautious—either execution risk or realistic about comps tightening later in 2026.

Watch: Track same-store traffic trends in Q1 and beyond. If traffic stays positive and margins hold through the year, the full-year EPS range could reset higher. If traffic reverts to negative, this rally stalls.

Data Signal Summary

2 bullish
1 bearish
Insider buying cluster Put/call 0.0 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Insider Activity
buying
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
-0.9%
P/E Ratio
58.3
Est. Revisions (30d)
-0.6% 0up/2dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$7 $6–$11 +10%
Options P/C Ratio
0.02
Est. Dispersion
34% 14 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong buy (officer)

Recent Activity

insider trades 79 transactions
Other · SPANOS MICHAEL (Chief Executive Officer) ·86,021 shares
Other · LEFFERTS KELLY (Officer) ·18,576 shares
Other · PACE PHILIP J (Officer) ·8,213 shares
Buy · LAL ROHIT (Director) ·10,000 shares ·$56,900
Buy · KUNKEL JULIE T. (Director) ·1,000 shares ·$6,460
74 more
Other · LEFFERTS KELLY ·6,481 shr
Other · PACE PHILIP J ·3,240 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·4,861 shr
Other · HAFNER PATRICK M ·8,101 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·11,679 shr
Other · HAFNER PATRICK M ·13,867 shr
Other · LEFFERTS KELLY ·2,396 shr
Other · PACE PHILIP J ·2,462 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·3,921 shr
Other · HAFNER PATRICK M ·1,351 shr
Other · HAFNER PATRICK M ·8,325 shr
Buy · KUNKEL JULIE T. ·1,500 shr ·$9,555
Sell · HAFNER PATRICK M ·4,256 shr ·$27,281
Buy · CHRISTEL ERIC C ·150,000 shr ·$957,000
Other · GRAFF MARK E ·4,861 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·4,018 shr
Other · HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL ·8,101 shr
Other · SPANOS MICHAEL ·60,082 shr
Other · LEFFERTS KELLY ·12,962 shr
Other · PACE PHILIP J ·6,481 shr
Other · GRAFF MARK E ·9,721 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·9,721 shr
Other · HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL ·16,202 shr
Other · HAFNER PATRICK M ·16,202 shr
Other · PACE PHILIP J ·2,500 shr
Other · GRAFF MARK E ·5,972 shr
Other · DINKINS JAMES L. ·3,410 shr
Other · MOHAN RAJENDRA MICHAEL ·9,105 shr
Other · LEVY TARA WALPERT ·5,881 shr
Other · SAGAL JONATHAN ·5,881 shr
Other · MAREIN-EFRON MELANIE ·5,881 shr
Other · LAL ROHIT ·5,881 shr
Other · KUNKEL JULIE T. ·5,881 shr
Other · GEORGE DAVID C. ·5,881 shr
Other · MAHONEY JOHN J JR ·5,881 shr
Other · JACKSON LAWRENCE V ·5,881 shr
Buy · LAL ROHIT ·257 shr ·$2,103
Other · TREVISAN SUZANN ·9,721 shr
Buy · SPANOS MICHAEL ·118,000 shr ·$1,018,340
Sell · HAFNER PATRICK M ·9,555 shr ·$79,498
Other · LEFFERTS KELLY ·2,446 shr
Buy · LAL ROHIT ·10,000 shr ·$96,200
Other · PACE PHILIP J ·2,513 shr
Buy · KUNKEL JULIE T. ·1,500 shr ·$14,910
Other · TREVISAN SUZANN ·3,224 shr
Other · GRAFF MARK E ·2,001 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·2,001 shr
Other · HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL ·2,001 shr
Other · HAFNER PATRICK M ·3,113 shr
Other · LEFFERTS KELLY ·4,858 shr
Other · PACE PHILIP J ·3,661 shr
Other · TREVISAN SUZANN ·1,394 shr
Other · GRAFF MARK E ·6,742 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·7,153 shr
Other · HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL ·4,271 shr
Other · HAFNER PATRICK M ·3,577 shr
Buy · KUNKEL JULIE T. ·65 shr ·$967
Other · GRAFF MARK E ·3,901 shr
Other · HEALY WILLIAM MICHAEL ·5,568 shr
Other · TREVISAN SUZANN ·10,887 shr
Buy · KUNKEL JULIE T. ·1,000 shr ·$15,650
Other · BERENSTEIN PIERRE A ·3,576 shr
Other · GRAFF MARK E ·2,500 shr
Other · GONZALEZ LISSETTE R ·2,500 shr
Other · MOHAN RAJENDRA MICHAEL ·9,955 shr
Other · LEVY TARA WALPERT ·8,270 shr
Other · FITZJOHN DAVID ROY ·8,270 shr
Other · SAGAL JONATHAN ·1,492 shr
Other · MAREIN-EFRON MELANIE ·6,508 shr
Other · LAL ROHIT ·4,018 shr
Other · KUNKEL JULIE T. ·6,508 shr
Other · GEORGE DAVID C. ·1,492 shr
Other · MAHONEY JOHN J JR ·8,270 shr
Other · JACKSON LAWRENCE V ·8,270 shr