AFRM

AFRM Earnings Preview

Affirm Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services · $21B

16d until earnings

AFRM Earnings

Thursday, May 07 2026
EPS Estimate
$0.68
$0.43 – $0.74
Revenue Estimate
$995M
Current Price
$67.06

Our Position

neutral

Morgan Stanley names Affirm top pick; shares +8%

structured data est. revisions rising (+1.5pp / 30d)

Morgan Stanley's bullish call injects short-term investor confidence, but insider selling and earnings estimate cuts suggest caution on Affirm's sustained growth and competitive positioning.

Watch: Q1 earnings will reveal if merchant wins can offset platform user churn and validate earnings optimism.

Data Signal Summary

1 bullish
2 bearish
Insider selling cluster Put/call 0.5 (bullish skew) Price downtrend

Key Context

Analyst Consensus
mixed
Insider Activity
selling
Price Trend
downtrend
From 52w High
0.0%
P/E Ratio
79.6
Est. Revisions (30d)
-1.0% 2up/3dn
Analyst Target (mean)
$79 $53–$100 +17%
Options P/C Ratio
0.48
Est. Dispersion
46% 6 analysts
Insider Cluster
strong sell
Fund Convergence
moderate Citadel, D.E. Shaw

Recent Activity

insider trades 124 transactions
Sell · RABOIS KEITH (Director) ·16,086 shares ·$1,002,413
Other · QUARLES CHRISTA S. (Director) ·60,445 shares
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH (Officer) ·1,401 shares
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN (Chief Operating Officer) ·2,335 shares
Other · MICHALEK LIBOR (President) ·2,335 shares
119 more
Other · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·11,547 shr
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·10,593 shr
Other · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·18,430 shr
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·11,717 shr
Other · MICHALEK LIBOR ·11,362 shr
Exercise · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·20,000 shr ·$980,000
Sell · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·666,666 shr ·$53,747,814
Exercise · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·666,666 shr ·$32,666,634
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·36,401 shr ·$2,912,080
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·36,401 shr ·$1,012,073
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·1,707 shr
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·2,336 shr
Other · MICHALEK LIBOR ·2,336 shr
Award · GALANTI RICHARD ALAN ·3,579 shr
Award · WATSON NOEL BERTRAM JR ·3,579 shr
Award · HUGHES BRIAN D. ·3,579 shr
Award · QUARLES CHRISTA S. ·3,579 shr
Award · RESES JACQUELINE D ·3,579 shr
Award · LIEW JEREMY ·3,579 shr
Award · SANCHEZ RODRIQUEZ MANUEL ·3,579 shr
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·8,189 shr ·$573,230
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·10,895 shr
Other · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·19,424 shr
Other · MICHALEK LIBOR ·11,363 shr
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·1,705 shr
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·1,706 shr
Sell · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·651,713 shr ·$58,175,590
Exercise · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·651,713 shr ·$31,933,937
Sell · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·12,500 shr ·$1,067,750
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·77,722 shr
Sell · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·25,533 shr ·$2,316,098
Exercise · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·25,533 shr ·$84,321
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·31,423 shr ·$2,617,473
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·43,120 shr ·$737,224
Sell · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·36,878 shr ·$3,503,410
Exercise · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·53,600 shr ·$861,101
Sell · QUARLES CHRISTA S. ·15,000 shr ·$1,395,000
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·25,031 shr
Other · MICHALEK LIBOR ·23,612 shr
Sell · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·22,725 shr ·$2,192,364
Other · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·11,545 shr
Sell · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·499,223 shr ·$40,022,708
Exercise · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·499,223 shr ·$24,461,927
Sell · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·167,443 shr ·$13,412,184
Exercise · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·167,443 shr ·$8,204,707
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·77,800 shr ·$6,231,002
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·77,800 shr ·$2,498,655
Sell · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·184,200 shr ·$14,752,578
Exercise · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·184,200 shr ·$992,838
Sell · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·14,953 shr ·$1,196,988
Exercise · LEVCHIN MAKSIM RAFAEL ·14,953 shr ·$732,697
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·11,405 shr ·$912,400
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·11,405 shr ·$567,358
Sell · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·10,800 shr ·$864,000
Exercise · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·10,800 shr ·$58,212
Sell · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·6,489 shr ·$486,675
Exercise · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·6,489 shr ·$151,388
Sell · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·60,596 shr ·$4,545,885
Exercise · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·62,302 shr ·$1,413,705
Sell · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·15,871 shr ·$1,190,325
Sell · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·57,102 shr ·$4,012,558
Exercise · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·57,102 shr ·$895,375
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·19,802 shr ·$1,386,734
Award · GALANTI RICHARD ALAN ·8,121 shr
Other · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·3,803 shr
Award · QUARLES CHRISTA S. ·670 shr
Sell · QUARLES CHRISTA S. ·754 shr ·$50,842
Award · RESES JACQUELINE D ·670 shr
Award · LIEW JEREMY ·670 shr
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·8,948 shr
Other · MICHALEK LIBOR ·10,784 shr
Sell · WATSON NOEL BERTRAM JR ·2,500 shr ·$152,147
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·6,959 shr
Other · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·14,516 shr
Other · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·13,324 shr
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·1,872 shr
Sell · RABOIS KEITH ·16,089 shr ·$820,589
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·1,871 shr
Sell · RABOIS KEITH ·16,088 shr ·$730,520
Other · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·3,802 shr
Other · MICHALEK LIBOR ·10,785 shr
Sell · WATSON NOEL BERTRAM JR ·2,500 shr ·$114,450
Sell · RABOIS KEITH ·16,088 shr ·$1,029,092
Other · JIYANE SIPHELELE N ·13,419 shr
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·6,957 shr
Other · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·14,517 shr
Sell · QUARLES CHRISTA S. ·5,000 shr ·$400,000
Sell · RABOIS KEITH ·16,086 shr ·$967,012
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·3,227 shr ·$210,791
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·932 shr ·$38,958
Sell · MICHALEK LIBOR ·188,952 shr ·$12,300,096
Sell · WATSON NOEL BERTRAM JR ·2,000 shr ·$110,000
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·6,541 shr ·$407,366
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·10,343 shr ·$133,920
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·8,947 shr
Sell · WATSON NOEL BERTRAM JR ·2,500 shr ·$180,135
Sell · QUARLES CHRISTA S. ·2,593 shr ·$180,756
Sell · RABOIS KEITH ·16,086 shr ·$1,109,657
Sell · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·400,000 shr ·$27,595,706
Exercise · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·400,000 shr ·$2,156,000
Award · WATSON NOEL BERTRAM JR ·3,015 shr
Award · HUGHES BRIAN D. ·3,015 shr
Award · QUARLES CHRISTA S. ·3,015 shr
Award · RESES JACQUELINE D ·3,015 shr
Award · LIEW JEREMY ·3,015 shr
Award · SANCHEZ RODRIQUEZ MANUEL ·3,015 shr
Other · LIEW JEREMY ·50,000 shr
Sell · MICHALEK LIBOR ·93,371 shr ·$6,722,712
Exercise · MICHALEK LIBOR ·93,371 shr ·$821,665
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·13,965 shr ·$957,549
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·21,993 shr ·$172,959
Sell · MICHALEK LIBOR ·9,476 shr ·$677,108
Exercise · MICHALEK LIBOR ·11,812 shr ·$83,389
Other · ADKINS KATHERINE ELIZABETH ·6,956 shr
Sell · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·120,097 shr ·$8,258,679
Exercise · O'HARE ROBERT WARREN ·120,097 shr ·$5,669,905
Sell · MICHALEK LIBOR ·197,153 shr ·$13,610,673
Exercise · MICHALEK LIBOR ·197,153 shr ·$1,734,946
Other · LINFORD MICHAEL ALAN ·47,842 shr
analyst ratings 2 ratings
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight 45m ago
Citizens Market Outperform 3d ago