YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima

bullish · high conviction track record → $43.12 +2.14 (+5.2%)
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Mkt Cap $18B 52wk $22.82 - $48.96 Earnings 2026-05-07 48d ago
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: analyst_revisions bullish vs estimate_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: -3.1% (2 up, 0 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net +0.8)

Factor Model

net +0.8 2.0 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.2
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

YPF locks 12M-ton LNG project, JPMorgan targets $54

Watch: Monitor FID confirmation and capex guidance in H2 2026. If the consortium locks timing and cost estimates, project financing announcements should follow — signaling institutional commitment and a potential share re-rating.

YPF signed a joint development agreement with Eni and XRG on February 12 to advance Argentina's flagship LNG project at Vaca Muerta, targeting 12 million metric tons of annual production via two floating liquefaction units. Front-end engineering is underway with a final investment decision planned for H2 2026. JPMorgan analyst Rodolfo Angele raised YPF's price target to $54 from $51, maintaining an Overweight rating and signaling 44% upside from current levels.

This agreement de-risks one of the world's largest undeveloped LNG projects and anchors a multi-decade revenue stream for YPF to global energy demand. An FID in H2 2026 would clear a critical execution hurdle and validate the project economics — a catalyst that could unlock project financing and re-rate YPF's long-term cash generation potential.

Evidence

35d ago HSBC Raises Its Price Target on YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) As Analyst Turn Bullish On The Stock yahoo-finance
48d ago YPF Signs Agreement to Advance LNG Project in Argentina yahoo-finance
Fundamentals & Data ▾
YPF Sociedad Anónima Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Mkt Cap
$18B
Beta
0.03
52w Range
$22.82 - $48.96
Short Interest
7.0M
Days to Cover
2.3 +8%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-2.4%
1w return
+2.4%
EPS Estimate
$0.99 -3.1% 30d 2up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
74% 4 analysts
Analyst Target
$52 $37 - $70
Options P/C
0.04
Financials
Revenue
$4.5B -4% YoY
FCF
$318M
Gross Margin
29%
Op Margin
10%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $64M
2 signals · latest 35d ago

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