VST Vistra Corp.

neutral track record → $162.94 -1.03 (-0.6%)
Mkt Cap $54B P/E 72.6 fwd 14.1 52wk $103.34 - $219.82 Earnings 2026-05-07 3h ago
Insider selling: $336,096,201 sold by 18 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, price_momentum bullish vs analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions: +17.4% (1 up, 2 down in 30d)
Factor Model & Position History (net +1.6)

Factor Model

net +1.6 3.5 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.8
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.7
Analyst Rev.
-0.6
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Vistra Prices $4B Notes To Refinance Debt

Watch: Track April 22 closing and next earnings call for refinancing impact and updates on power purchase agreements.

Full analysis

Vistra priced $4 billion private senior notes across four maturities (2028, 2031, 2033, 2035) with coupons ranging from 4.55% to 5.55% on April 8, 2026. Proceeds will repay senior notes due 2027 and Term Loan B-3 Facility, closing expected April 22. Recent insider sales sum to over $75 million, indicating selling pressure despite refinancing.

This debt refinancing prolongs Vistra's obligations and may ease near-term repayment risk. Insider selling points to potential caution internally, while the transaction complements existing strong institutional holders and analyst optimism.

Evidence

2d ago Insider buy by CRUTCHFIELD LISA (VST): $29,969
2d ago Insider sell by MUSCATO STEPHEN J (VST): $33,413,260
2d ago Insider sell by KIRBY CARRIE LEE (VST): $13,793,828
2d ago Insider sell by HUDSON SCOTT A (VST): $18,878,250
2d ago Insider buy by PITESA JOHN WILLIAM (VST): $190,125
2d ago Insider sell by KIRBY CARRIE LEE (VST): $16,953,596
2d ago Insider sell by BURKE JAMES A. (VST): $12,925,332
7 older signals
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Vistra Corp. Utilities · Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Mkt Cap
$54B
P/E
72.6 fwd 14.1
Beta
1.50
Div Yield
59.00%
52w Range
$103.34 - $219.82
Short Interest
9.3M 3.19%
Days to Cover
2.0 -6%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-0.6%
1w return
+4.5%
Insiders
selling 1B / 11S
EPS Estimate
$1.55 +17.4% 30d 1up / 2dn
Est. Dispersion
101% 6 analysts
Analyst Target
$234 $97 - $318
Options P/C
0.33
Insider Cluster
buy cluster 2B / 6S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Appaloosa, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$4.6B +14% YoY
FCF
$596M
Gross Margin
34%
Op Margin
14%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $680M
D.E. Shaw $218M
Renaissance $168M
Appaloosa $152M
Bridgewater $50M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 112
net selling · $336,096,201 sold · $220,094 bought
18 insiders · 112 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · sell · $1,603,100
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · award
HUDSON SCOTT A · award
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · award
BURKE JAMES A. · award
MONTEMAYOR MARGARET M. · award
DORE STACEY H. · award
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · award · $13,634,179
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · award · $13,634,179
HUDSON SCOTT A · award · $20,136,518
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · award · $23,492,719
BURKE JAMES A. · award · $54,918,400
DORE STACEY H. · award · $23,073,279
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $701,500
BURKE JAMES A. · other
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $3,605,775
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · other
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · sell · $1,424,764
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · sell · $10,183,556
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · exercise · $1,339,160
HUDSON SCOTT A · sell · $9,456,160
HUDSON SCOTT A · exercise · $1,102,080
BURKE JAMES A. · other
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $4,091,536
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $1,853,964
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $189,735
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $4,169,122
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $433,176
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $7,520,634
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $865,920
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $4,080,205
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $519,552
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,808,937
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $944,640
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $9,068,012
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $17,211,819
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $2,079,100
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,381,573
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $905,280
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,728,944
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,738,255
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $7,724,187
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,617,418
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,629,458
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $771,456
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,993,908
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $727,680
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $9,072,362
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $9,106,407
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $8,817,276
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $1,124,603
BURKE JAMES A. · sell · $12,925,332
BURKE JAMES A. · exercise · $1,001,937
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · sell · $6,289,920
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · exercise · $853,738
SULT JOHN R · sell · $4,291,675
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD · sell · $8,637,400
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · sell · $5,650,225
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · sell · $7,200,000
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · exercise · $885,600
HUDSON SCOTT A · sell · $8,792,000
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · sell · $16,953,596
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · exercise · $2,125,440
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD · other
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD · sell · $3,135,960
LAGACY JULIE A. · award
PITESA JOHN WILLIAM · award
WALTERS ROBERT C. · award
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD · award
BARBAS PAUL M · award
SULT JOHN R · award
CRUTCHFIELD LISA · award
ACKERMANN HILARY E · award
BAIERA GAVIN R · award
ACOSTA ARCILIA C · award
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · sell · $1,546,950
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · exercise · $194,916
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · sell · $6,953,520
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · exercise · $658,598
PITESA JOHN WILLIAM · buy · $190,125
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · award
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · award
HUDSON SCOTT A · award
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · award
BURKE JAMES A. · award
MONTEMAYOR MARGARET M. · award
DORE STACEY H. · award
BARBAS PAUL M · sell · $5,985,015
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · award · $8,917,932
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · award · $8,917,932
HUDSON SCOTT A · award · $13,720,093
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E. · award · $1,920,693
BURKE JAMES A. · award · $37,816,838
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD · sell · $2,795,380
HUDSON SCOTT A · sell · $18,878,250
HUDSON SCOTT A · exercise · $2,263,200
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · sell · $13,793,828
KIRBY CARRIE LEE · exercise · $1,672,800
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · sell · $6,176,554
MUSCATO STEPHEN J · sell · $33,413,260
MUSCATO STEPHEN J · exercise · $3,448,814
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA · sell · $2,789,964
CRUTCHFIELD LISA · buy · $29,969
LAGACY JULIE A. · award
PITESA JOHN WILLIAM · award
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD · award
BARBAS PAUL M · award
SULT JOHN R · award
CRUTCHFIELD LISA · award
ACKERMANN HILARY E · award
BAIERA GAVIN R · award
ACOSTA ARCILIA C · award
Filing analysis pending — next scan runs every 12 hours
Transcript analysis coming soon
15 signals · latest 4h ago

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