V Visa Inc.

neutral SHIFT 1/3 shifts correct ↓ $326.36 +1.41 (+0.4%)
Mkt Cap $618B P/E 28.3 fwd 21.9 52wk $293.89 - $375.51 Earnings beating 12h ago
What We Found Primary source analysis others skip
SEC Filing Changes
MEDIUM
Regulatory Risks - Government-imposed Market Participation Restrictions

Prior filing listed China, India, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam as countries imposing market participation restrictions. The current filing added South Africa to this list.

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
MEDIUM
Financial Overview

Net revenue increased 11% from $35,926 million in 2024 to $40,000 million in 2025. Operating expenses increased significantly by 30% from $12,331 million in 2024 to $16,006 million in 2025, while net income increased slightly by 2% from $19,743 million in 2024 to $20,058 million in 2025.

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
MEDIUM
Financial Metrics

Non-GAAP operating expenses increased 11% from $11,609 million to $12,906 million. Non-GAAP net income increased 11% from $20,389 million to $22,542 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased by 14% from $10.05 to $11.47.

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
MEDIUM
Business Operations

In the current filing, net revenue growth for fiscal 2025 was attributed primarily to growth in processed transactions, nominal cross-border volume, and nominal payments volume, partially offset by higher client incentives. In the prior filing for fiscal 2024, net revenue growth was attributed to similar factors but with slightly different emphasis.

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
HIGH
Operating Expenses

GAAP operating expenses increased 30% driven by higher litigation provision and personnel expenses in 2025, compared to a 6% increase in 2024 driven by personnel, general and administrative, and marketing expenses, partially offset by lower litigation provision.

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
HIGH
New Financial Activity

The 2025 filing includes a new disclosure about releasing $1.4 billion of the as-converted value from series B and C preferred stock and issuing 40,080 shares of series A preferred stock in August 2025 related to the ninth anniversary of the Visa Europe acquisition. This disclosure is not present in the prior filing.

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
HIGH
Litigation

In 2024, there were additional accruals of $140 million for interchange multidistrict litigation and $1.5 billion deposited into a U.S. litigation escrow account. In 2025, there is a mention of higher litigation provision driving up GAAP operating expenses but no specific accrual or escrow amount disclosed.

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
MEDIUM
Regulatory Risks - Anti-Corruption, Sanctions

Prior filing included Syria in the list of countries subject to comprehensive OFAC trade sanctions. The current filing removed Syria from this list. Additionally, South Africa was added to the list of countries imposing regulations promoting domestic payment systems under government-imposed market participation restrictions (China, India, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, and South Africa).

10-K · Filed 2025-11-06
Material Events (8-K)
8-K
Authorization of Exchange Offer

Visa Inc.'s Board of Directors authorized proceeding with a successive exchange offer for Visa's outstanding Class B common stock, contingent on meeting conditions from a December 7, 2023 proxy statem...

Filed 2026-02-13 · Visa Inc. Board of Directors
8-K
Appointment of Director

On September 29, 2025, Visa Inc.'s Board of Directors increased its size from 11 to 12 members and elected Bill Ready as a new independent director. Mr. Ready was appointed to the Finance Committee an...

Filed 2025-09-29 · Bill Ready
Insider selling: $3,455,665 sold by 1 insider (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: analyst_revisions bullish vs price_momentum, filing_risk_change bearish
Est. revisions: +1.5% (22 up, 1 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net +0.7)

Factor Model

net +0.7 2.7 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.1
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.2
Analyst Rev.
+0.9
Narrative Gap
+0.0
Filing Risk
+8.0

Visa Trades Near Low Despite Strong Market Cap

Watch: Monitor Visa's next earnings report and any commentary on shipping and brokerage risks impacting transaction volumes.

Visa trades near its 52-week low of $294 while holding a $587 billion market cap. Recent legal shifts post-Supreme Court ruling increase freight brokerage risk, impacting carrier safety assessments in logistics, a indirect pressure on payment flows. Visa faces a mixed environment with steady fundamentals and new external legal risks affecting industry relations.

Legal changes elevate brokerage liability, introducing risk to Visa's shipment-related payment volumes, potentially pressuring short-term transaction growth despite solid fundamentals.

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
Visa Inc. Financial Services · Credit Services
Mkt Cap
$618B
P/E
28.3 fwd 21.9
Beta
0.78
Div Yield
82.00%
52w Range
$293.89 - $375.51
Short Interest
25.8M 1.56%
Days to Cover
3.5 +10%
Technicals uptrend
vs 20d MA
+0.3%
vs 50d MA
+3.5%
from 52w Hi
-8.5%
Vol (20d)
16%
1w return
-1.4%
1m return
-2.5%
3m return
+1.9%
Vol ratio
1.1x
Insiders
selling 0B / 10S
Analysts
bullish 2 up / 0 down
Earnings
beating 4B / 0M
EPS Estimate
$3.22 +1.5% 30d 22up / 1dn
Est. Dispersion
3% 28 analysts
Analyst Target
$399 $323 - $450
Options P/C
0.49 1C / 0P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 1S
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Elliott, Two Sigma, Renaissance
Financials
Revenue
$11.2B +17% YoY
FCF
$2.6B
Gross Margin
81%
Op Margin
67%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $3.2B
Citadel $3.1B
Berkshire $2.9B
Elliott $1.4B
Two Sigma $263M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 1
net selling · $3,455,665 sold
1 insider · 1 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
SUH CHRIS · sell · $3,455,665
material event 2

Visa Inc.'s Board of Directors authorized proceeding with a successive exchange offer for Visa's outstanding Class B common stock, contingent on meeting conditions from a December 7, 2023 proxy statement. Conditions include passage of one year since the initial exchange offer and a 50% or greater reduction in estimated interchange reimbursement fees related to unresolved U.S. litigation claims since October 1, 2023. More than one year has passed since the initial offer, advancing the process. SEC↗

On September 29, 2025, Visa Inc.'s Board of Directors increased its size from 11 to 12 members and elected Bill Ready as a new independent director. Mr. Ready was appointed to the Finance Committee and the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee. His term expires at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders. There are no special compensation arrangements or related transactions reported. SEC↗

filing change 8
MEDIUM Regulatory Risks - Government-imposed Market Participation Restrictions: Expanded list of countries imposing regulatory restrictions on payment systems.
full analysis

Prior filing listed China, India, Indonesia, Thailand, and Vietnam as countries imposing market participation restrictions. The current filing added South Africa to this list.

MEDIUM Financial Overview: Increase in net revenue, operating expenses, and net income for fiscal 2025 compared to fiscal 2024.
full analysis

Net revenue increased 11% from $35,926 million in 2024 to $40,000 million in 2025. Operating expenses increased significantly by 30% from $12,331 million in 2024 to $16,006 million in 2025, while net income increased slightly by 2% from $19,743 million in 2024 to $20,058 million in 2025.

MEDIUM Financial Metrics: Increase in GAAP and Non-GAAP operating expenses and net income for fiscal 2025 compared to fiscal 2024.
full analysis

Non-GAAP operating expenses increased 11% from $11,609 million to $12,906 million. Non-GAAP net income increased 11% from $20,389 million to $22,542 million. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share increased by 14% from $10.05 to $11.47.

MEDIUM Business Operations: Changes in transaction volume impact
full analysis

In the current filing, net revenue growth for fiscal 2025 was attributed primarily to growth in processed transactions, nominal cross-border volume, and nominal payments volume, partially offset by higher client incentives. In the prior filing for fiscal 2024, net revenue growth was attributed to similar factors but with slightly different emphasis.

HIGH Operating Expenses: Significant increase in GAAP operating expenses due to litigation provision and personnel expenses
full analysis

GAAP operating expenses increased 30% driven by higher litigation provision and personnel expenses in 2025, compared to a 6% increase in 2024 driven by personnel, general and administrative, and marketing expenses, partially offset by lower litigation provision.

3 more
HIGH Release of preferred stock in connection with Visa Europe acquisition anniversary
HIGH Changes in litigation provisions and escrow deposits
MEDIUM Removed Syria from list of countries under OFAC trade sanctions and added South Africa to government...
Track Record (1/3 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/3 correct at 5 days
2026-05-18 bullish -1.9%
2026-04-28 bullish +4.1%
2026-03-29 bearish +2.6%
15 signals · latest 13h ago

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