TSCO Tractor Supply Company

bearish · high conviction track record → $31.53 +0.16 (+0.5%)
Mkt Cap $17B P/E 15.5 fwd 13.6 52wk $29.42 - $63.99 9d ago
Est. revisions: -1.1% (1 up, 14 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net -2.0)

Factor Model

net -2.0 5.3 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.1
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.7
Analyst Rev.
-0.9
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Piper Sandler Downgrades TSCO on Weak Pet Spending

Watch: Watch upcoming quarterly earnings for TSCO to confirm demand softness and guide adjustments reflecting the weak pet spending environment.

Piper Sandler downgraded TSCO to Neutral from Overweight on May 5, 2026, cutting price target to $36 from $51 due to weak pet spending and a disappointing Q1 report pressuring 2026 guidance. TD Cowen reinforced the cautious stance with a Hold rating and lowered target to $38 from $53. The stock faces slowing revenue growth at 3.6% and negative earnings revisions amid insider selling. The price trades 31% below its 52-week high within a downtrend.

The analyst downgrades and target cuts underscore growing skepticism on Tractor Supply's near-term growth, signaling possible margin and revenue pressure in specialty retail segments.

Evidence

9d ago Piper Sandler Sees Pressure on Tractor Supply (TSCO) from Weak Pet Spending Trends yahoo-finance
28d ago Piper Sandler down TSCO: Overweight → Neutral
36d ago TD Cowen main TSCO: Hold → Hold
39d ago Citigroup main TSCO: Buy → Buy
40d ago Evercore ISI Group main TSCO: Outperform → Outperform
40d ago Guggenheim main TSCO: Buy → Buy
41d ago Mizuho main TSCO: Outperform → Outperform
41d ago Morgan Stanley main TSCO: Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
7 older signals
41d ago Wells Fargo main TSCO: Overweight → Overweight
41d ago UBS main TSCO: Neutral → Neutral
41d ago Telsey Advisory Group main TSCO: Outperform → Outperform
41d ago DA Davidson main TSCO: Buy → Buy
41d ago Truist Securities main TSCO: Hold → Hold
41d ago Baird main TSCO: Outperform → Outperform
41d ago Piper Sandler main TSCO: Overweight → Overweight
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Tractor Supply Company Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Mkt Cap
$17B
P/E
15.5 fwd 13.6
Beta
0.50
Div Yield
306.00%
52w Range
$29.42 - $63.99
Short Interest
25.1M 5.47%
Days to Cover
1.9 -9%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+0.9%
from 52w Hi
-30.9%
Vol (20d)
40%
1w return
+0.4%
1m return
-9.3%
Vol ratio
1.1x
Insiders
mixed 0B / 0S
Analysts
bearish 0 up / 1 down
EPS Estimate
$0.86 -1.1% 30d 1up / 14dn
Est. Dispersion
7% 21 analysts
Analyst Target
$47 $36 - $60
Options P/C
0.22 2C / 1P unusual
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Renaissance, Bridgewater, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$3.6B +4% YoY
FCF
$-111M
Gross Margin
36%
Op Margin
6%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $1.1B
Citadel $81M
Renaissance $9M
Bridgewater $3M
Two Sigma $1M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 9
net selling
9 insiders · 9 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
CARDENAS RICARDO · award
HAM MARGARET M · award
MORRIS EDNA K · award
JACKSON DENISE L · award
HAWAUX ANDRE J · award
KRISHNAN RAMKUMAR · award
BROWN JOY TAYLOR · award
SYNGAL SONIA · award
WEIKEL MARK J · award
analyst rating 1
Piper Sandler down → Neutral 28d ago
15 signals · latest 9d ago

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