TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp.

bullish · high conviction track record → $31.68 +1.06 (+3.5%)
Mkt Cap $6B P/E 21.0 fwd 20.0 52wk $21.54 - $41.70 13h ago
Est. revisions: +7.8% (3 up, 1 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net +2.2)

Factor Model

net +2.2 4.4 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.5
Insider Activity
+0.5
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.8
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Elliott Management Backing Boosts TFPM Appeal

Watch: Watch the May 2026 Hope Bay project construction decision as a catalyst for project value realization and potential stock movement.

Elliott Management holds a $4.63 billion stake in Triple Flag Precious Metals, which finances mining projects and receives royalties across more than 230 assets globally. The portfolio mainly centers on gold, with 40% exposure each in North America/Australia and Latin America. TFPM has $1 billion cash ready for new acquisitions. A key construction decision at the Hope Bay project is due in May 2026.

Strong institutional backing and significant cash reserves position TFPM for growth through new deals and project expansions in a diversified mining portfolio.

Evidence

12d ago Short interest dropped 30% to 1,408,498 shares
34d ago Short interest surged 21% to 2,012,159 shares
49d ago Insider buy by Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM): $996,167
49d ago Insider buy by Bari (Eban) (TFPM): $1,260,300
49d ago Insider buy by Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp (TFPM): $937,440
3 older signals
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. Basic Materials · Other Precious Metals & Mining
Mkt Cap
$6B
P/E
21.0 fwd 20.0
Beta
0.30
Div Yield
75.00%
52w Range
$21.54 - $41.70
Short Interest
1.4M
Days to Cover
2.7 -30%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-2.0%
from 52w Hi
-12.9%
Vol (20d)
50%
1w return
-0.7%
1m return
+0.6%
Vol ratio
0.9x
Insiders
buying 2B / 0S
EPS Estimate
$0.35 +7.8% 30d 3up / 1dn
Est. Dispersion
62% 7 analysts
Analyst Target
$42 $40 - $44
Options P/C
0.01 1C / 0P unusual
Fund Convergence
strong Two Sigma, Citadel, Renaissance
Financials
Revenue
$147M +79% YoY
FCF
$84M
Gross Margin
72%
Op Margin
67%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Two Sigma $17M
Citadel $9M
Renaissance
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 2
net selling
1 insider · 2 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
Merrin, Patrick James · other · $76,209
Merrin, Patrick James · other
Track Record (0/1 correct) ▾

Direction History

0/1 correct at 5 days
2026-05-21 bullish -0.7%
11 signals · latest 14h ago

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