Get emailed when TE changes direction
Mkt Cap $2B
52wk $0.93 - $9.78
Factor Model (net -1.9)
Factor Model
net -1.9
Est. Revisions
-1.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0
Analysis pending — waiting for first signal cycle.
▼
$5.39
2026-04-26
Event Predictions
bearish
TE earnings on 2026-05-14
16d
TE likely to sell off post-earnings; heavy insider selling and collapsed estimates
-9.1%
$5.39
→ $4.90
Thesis
TE faces a 50% sell-the-news probability with the stock at 52-week highs and heavy insider selling ($38.97M, zero buys in 90 days). Estimate revisions have collapsed 200%, suggesting expectations have been severely reset downward. Extreme bullish options positioning (P/C 0.34) is a contrarian sell signal. With no earnings history to anchor upside expectations and the stock underperforming SPY by 4.1% over the past week, the risk/reward favors a post-earnings decline.
Evidence
15d ago
T1 Energy Announces Pricing of Upsized Public Offering of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2031
benzinga
16d ago
Insider buy by CALIO JOSEPH EVAN (TE): $249,446
16d ago
Insider buy by CALIO JOSEPH EVAN (TE): $903,276
Fundamentals & Data ▾
T1 Energy Inc.
Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Parts
Mkt Cap
$2B
Beta
1.82
52w Range
$0.93 - $9.78
Short Interest
38.8M 16.99%
Days to Cover
2.9 +14%
Technicals
downtrend
from 52w Hi
-9.1%
1w return
-3.7%
Insiders
selling
0B / 2S
EPS Estimate
$-0.10
-200.0% 30d
0up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
67%
2 analysts
Analyst Target
$9
$7 - $11
Options P/C
2.67
Fund Convergence
strong
Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$359M +12087% YoY
FCF
$25M
Gross Margin
-4%
Op Margin
-24%
Momentum:
accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel
$53M
Renaissance
$24M
Two Sigma
$9M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade
28
net selling
· $6,145,715 sold
· $1,152,722 bought
13 insiders · 28 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
TRINA SOLAR SCHWEIZ AG · award · $33,428,185
BARCELO DANIEL · other
CALIO JOSEPH EVAN · other
TRINA SOLAR SCHWEIZ AG · award
LIN MINGXING · other
TRINA SOLAR SCHWEIZ AG · other
ANDERSON W RICHARD · award
BARCELO DANIEL · award
MATRAI BALAZS PETER · award
STEINGART DANIEL · award
STRINE JESSICA WIRTH · award
SLETTEMOEN TORE IVAR · award
MANNERS DAVID J · award
LIN MINGXING · award
ENCOMPASS CAPITAL ADVISORS, L.L.C. · award
SLETTEMOEN TORE IVAR · sell · $1,479,291
SLETTEMOEN TORE IVAR · sell · $392,485
MATRAI BALAZS PETER · exercise · $838,407
KILDE EINAR · exercise · $34,015
BARCELO DANIEL · award
CALIO JOSEPH EVAN · award
SLETTEMOEN TORE IVAR · sell · $735,213
SLETTEMOEN TORE IVAR · sell · $1,925,583
CALIO JOSEPH EVAN · buy · $903,276
SLETTEMOEN TORE IVAR · sell · $1,613,143
CALIO JOSEPH EVAN · buy · $249,446
JENSEN TOM EINAR · exercise · $707,209
MATRAI BALAZS PETER · exercise · $1,414,419
event: -9.1% | 7 signals · latest 4d ago
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