SHEL Shell plc

neutral track record → $88.66 +0.66 (+0.8%)
Get emailed when SHEL changes direction
Mkt Cap $259B P/E 15.2 fwd 10.6 52wk $63.88 - $94.90 Earnings 2026-05-07 48d ago
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, analyst_revisions bullish vs options_sentiment bearish
Est. revisions: +28.2% (5 up, 0 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +2.8)

Factor Model

net +2.8 4.9 / 10
Est. Revisions
+1.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Analyst upgrades offset Q4 earnings miss for Shell

Watch: Monitor how Shell's dividend and shareholder returns evolve relative to cash flow in coming quarters. Analyst confidence may be tested if energy prices stay weak or capital discipline slips.

Shell reported Q4 2025 revenue of $64.09 billion, missing consensus by $1.72 billion and declining 3.3% year-over-year. Earnings per share came in at $1.14, $0.15 below estimates. Despite the stumble, JPMorgan and Berenberg both raised their price targets on February 26 — JPMorgan to 3,400 GBp from 3,200 GBp and Berenberg to 3,300 GBp from 3,250 GBp — both maintaining Buy ratings. The company generated $9.4 billion in operating cash flow and guided 2026 capital expenditure at $20-22 billion.

The analyst upgrades suggest investors are looking past the earnings miss and valuing Shell's cash generation and capital discipline. A $9.4 billion operating cash flow and measured CapEx guidance indicate the company can service shareholder returns even in a softer revenue environment.

Our Trades

Full track record →
-42.6%

Long Call · Trail Blazer

5d held
2026-04-20

Evidence

7h ago Scotiabank main SHEL: Sector Outperform → Sector Outperform
2d ago Trading Desks Boom While Big Oil Output Stalls yahoo-finance
11d ago Up 24% in 2026 and Yielding 3.1%, How Should You Play SHEL Stock Amid an Iran Ceasefire? yahoo-finance
12d ago Shell Prints Cash From Chaos yahoo-finance
37d ago Shell Sells Jiffy Lube and Premium Velocity Auto in $1.3B Deal yahoo-finance
38d ago BofA Lifts PT on Eni S.p.A. (E) to EUR 21 From EUR 18.50 – Here’s Why yahoo-finance
43d ago Trump Calms Oil Markets as Hormuz Crisis Persists yahoo-finance
44d ago Singapore Stock Market Today: STI Slides as Oil Surge Hits Banks and Airlines - TechStock² google-news-market
6 older signals
44d ago Citi Lifts PT on Cactus, Inc. (WHD) to $63 From $55 – Here’s Why
48d ago US-Iran war pulls European stock market to two-week lows; Shell, BP, TotalEnergies, other energy stocks buck the trend - Mint
48d ago Wells Fargo Lowers PT on PayPal Holdings, Inc. (PYPL)
48d ago JP Morgan makes two upgrades and continues to back Shell as Middle East war puts oil supply at risk
50d ago FTSE 100 Live: Iran war affects airlines and banks, natural gas prices soar
51d ago JPMorgan Raises PT on Shell plc (SHEL), Here’s Why
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Shell plc Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Mkt Cap
$259B
P/E
15.2 fwd 10.6
Beta
-0.21
Div Yield
325.00%
52w Range
$63.88 - $94.90
Short Interest
12.0M 0.77%
Days to Cover
1.4 +37%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-5.8%
1w return
-3.0%
Insiders
mixed 0B / 0S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$2.17 +28.2% 30d 5up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
37% 6 analysts
Analyst Target
$96 $77 - $120
Options P/C
1.35
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Bridgewater, Renaissance, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$64.1B -3% YoY
FCF
$4.2B
Gross Margin
11%
Op Margin
5%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $490M
Citadel $216M
Bridgewater $74M
Renaissance $65M
Two Sigma $15M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 4
net selling
4 insiders · 4 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
Taraporevala (Cyrus) · other
Godbehere (Ann Frances) · other
Hughes (Catherine J) · other
Lute (Jane H) · other
ae trade 1
14 signals · latest 7h ago

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