RACE Ferrari N.V.

bullish track record → $372.84 +4.24 (+1.1%)
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Mkt Cap $63B P/E 34.0 fwd 28.2 52wk $312.51 - $519.10 Earnings 2026-05-05 44d ago
Est. revisions: +3.7%
Factor Model (net +0.3)

Factor Model

net +0.3 1.3 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.2
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Ferrari builds order book into 2027 on new model launches

Watch: Track Q1 2026 delivery trends and whether the order book actually converts at guided margins. Any weakness in high-net-worth demand (discretionary spending, geopolitical shocks, rate volatility) would pressure the backlog-to-revenue conversion and test the EBITDA leverage thesis.

Ferrari closed 2025 with 7% revenue growth to €7.1B and a notable EBITDA surge of 38.8% to €2.8B, though Q4 disappointed. The company's real strength sits in the order book — demand stretches into end of 2027 across six new models launched in 2025, including the Luce electric vehicle. For 2026, management projects €7.5B in revenue and €2.93B in adjusted EBITDA, anchored by this forward visibility and 55% industrial free cash flow conversion (€1.5B+).

A luxury carmaker with two-plus years of booked revenue and expanding margins is essentially insulated from near-term demand risk. The EBITDA expansion despite modest top-line growth signals pricing power and mix management — the company is getting richer per car, not just selling more. New model velocity plus locked-in backlog reduce execution risk for 2026-27.

Evidence

20d ago Palantir (PLTR) Rated Outperform on Strong Enterprise Demand yahoo-finance
22d ago Chamath Palihapitiya Says 'Brands Go To Zero' As AI Abundance Erodes Pricing Power benzinga
23d ago Jim Cramer on Ferrari N.V.: “This Was a Very Hot Stock, and Somehow It Lost Its Mojo” yahoo-finance
24d ago Iran war wipes out $100 billion from luxury stocks - CNBC google-news-market
36d ago The Fastest Stock That Could Unlock Investor Riches ... Slowly yahoo-finance
46d ago Ferrari NV (RACE) Sits on Strong Order Book as New Models Win Traction yahoo-finance
50d ago Ferrari NV (RACE) Sits on Strong Order Book as New Models Win Traction yahoo-finance
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Ferrari N.V. Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Mkt Cap
$63B
P/E
34.0 fwd 28.2
Beta
0.60
Div Yield
122.00%
52w Range
$312.51 - $519.10
Short Interest
3.6M 3.2%
Days to Cover
5.2 -10%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-0.5%
1w return
+1.2%
EPS Estimate
$2.32 +3.7% 30d 0up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
7% 2 analysts
Analyst Target
$450 $408 - $541
Options P/C
0.39
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$1.8B +4% YoY
FCF
$269M
Gross Margin
52%
Op Margin
28%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $198M
D.E. Shaw $129M
Renaissance $30M
Two Sigma $11M
7 signals · latest 20d ago

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