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We disagree with Wall Street.
Analyst consensus: bearish. Our position: bullish.
See factor model below for why.
Insider selling: $8,622,792 sold by 22 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence:
DIVERGENCE: price_momentum bullish vs analyst_revisions bearish
Est. revisions:
+0.1%
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net -0.3)
Factor Model
net -0.3 2.2 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.8
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0
Michael Burry buys 3.5% PayPal stake
Watch: Watch for upcoming PayPal Q1 guidance and any strategic updates from CEO Enrique Lores to gauge turnaround success and potential M&A catalysts.
Full analysis
Michael Burry opened a roughly 3.5% position in PayPal, seeing recent AI-driven sell-offs as technical rather than fundamental. He also holds Fiserv, Adobe, Autodesk, and Veeva Systems, with plans to add Salesforce. PayPal faces a down-to-neutral analyst trend and executive pressure after recent earnings misses and downgrades but benefits from investor interest amid a fragile tech sector. Insiders are selling, and institutional momentum is strong from funds like Citadel and Bridgewater.
Burry's buying signals confidence in PayPal despite bearish analyst revisions and insider selling, highlighting a potential undervaluation during sector weakness and execution concerns.
Evidence
2h ago
Michael Burry buys the dip in Salesforce and other software stocks after AI-fueled sell-off
cnbc-finance
10h ago
Mizuho down PYPL: Outperform → Neutral
7 older signals
40d ago
Coatue 13F (2025Q4):. New position in MTZ ($147,357,080) +12 more. Exited CRWV +
Fundamentals & Data ▾
PayPal Holdings, Inc.
Financial Services · Credit Services
Mkt Cap
$44B
P/E
8.8 fwd 8.2
Beta
1.41
Div Yield
124.00%
52w Range
$38.46 - $79.50
Short Interest
43.2M 4.69%
Days to Cover
1.6 -17%
Technicals
downtrend
from 52w Hi
0.0%
1w return
+8.1%
Insiders
selling
0B / 4S
Analysts
bearish
0 up / 1 down
EPS Estimate
$1.28
+0.1% 30d
0up / 27dn
Est. Dispersion
16%
36 analysts
Analyst Target
$53
$32 - $147
Options P/C
0.18
Insider Cluster
strong sell
0B / 7S
Fund Convergence
strong
Citadel, Bridgewater, Coatue, Two Sigma, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$8.7B +4% YoY
FCF
$2.2B
Gross Margin
46%
Op Margin
18%
Momentum:
accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel
$1.1B
Bridgewater
$194M
Coatue
$99M
Two Sigma
$22M
D.E. Shaw
$7M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade
97
net selling
· $8,622,792 sold
22 insiders · 97 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
HENRY ALYSSA · award
GILL MICHELLE · other
MILLER JAMIE S · other
KEREERE SUZAN · sell · $621,984
NATALI CHRIS · sell · $98,764
KELLER FRANK · sell · $1,361,370
GILL MICHELLE · other
WEBSTER AARON JAMES · other
KEREERE SUZAN · other
NATALI CHRIS · other
KELLER FRANK · award
KELLER FRANK · other
SCOTTI DIEGO · other
MILLER JAMIE S · other
KEREERE SUZAN · sell · $1,560,409
NATALI CHRIS · sell · $49,114
KEREERE SUZAN · other
KELLER FRANK · sell · $139,816
DORMAN DAVID WYATT · award
CHRISS JAMES ALEXANDER · other
WEBSTER AARON JAMES · other
NATALI CHRIS · other
KELLER FRANK · other
SCOTTI DIEGO · other
DORMAN DAVID WYATT · award
STANLEY DEIRDRE · award
LORES ENRIQUE J · award
GILL MICHELLE · other
MILLER JAMIE S · other
KELLER FRANK · other
KEREERE SUZAN · sell · $249,057
KEREERE SUZAN · other
WEBSTER AARON JAMES · sell · $615,310
KEREERE SUZAN · sell · $860,935
KEREERE SUZAN · sell · $347,622
NATALI CHRIS · sell · $94,987
SCOTTI DIEGO · sell · $264,702
CHRISS JAMES ALEXANDER · other
WEBSTER AARON JAMES · other
NATALI CHRIS · other
MILLER JAMIE S · other
KEREERE SUZAN · sell · $288,792
NATALI CHRIS · sell · $492,529
SCOTTI DIEGO · sell · $265,285
CHRISS JAMES ALEXANDER · other
WEBSTER AARON JAMES · other
NATALI CHRIS · other
STANLEY DEIRDRE · award
DORMAN DAVID WYATT · award
YEARY FRANK D · award
GILL MICHELLE · other
MILLER JAMIE S · other
MESSEMER DEBORAH M · sell · $277,036
KEREERE SUZAN · sell · $304,827
SCOTTI DIEGO · sell · $281,158
MESSEMER DEBORAH M · award
DI SIBIO CARMINE · award
CHIK JOY · award
SARNOFF ANN M · award
CHRISTODORO JONATHAN · award
MOFFETT DAVID M · award
MCGOVERN GAIL J · award
DORMAN DAVID WYATT · award
YEARY FRANK D · award
LORES ENRIQUE J · award
KELLER FRANK · other
KEREERE SUZAN · other
WEBSTER AARON JAMES · other
KELLER FRANK · other
SCOTTI DIEGO · other
GILL MICHELLE · other
MILLER JAMIE S · other
CHIK JOY · award
KELLER FRANK · other
MCGOVERN GAIL J · sell · $176,479
KEREERE SUZAN · other
SCOTTI DIEGO · other
DORMAN DAVID WYATT · award
YEARY FRANK D · award
LORES ENRIQUE J · award
GILL MICHELLE · other
MILLER JAMIE S · other
KELLER FRANK · other
CHRISS JAMES ALEXANDER · other
LORES ENRIQUE J · award
DI SIBIO CARMINE · award
MESSEMER DEBORAH M · sell · $272,616
MESSEMER DEBORAH M · award
SARNOFF ANN M · award
ADKINS RODNEY C. · award
CHRISTODORO JONATHAN · award
MOFFETT DAVID M · award
MCGOVERN GAIL J · award
DORMAN DAVID WYATT · award
YEARY FRANK D · award
DONAHOE JOHN JOSEPH II · award
LORES ENRIQUE J · award
analyst rating
1
Mizuho
down
→ Neutral
11h ago
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Filing analysis pending — next scan runs every 12 hours
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Transcript analysis coming soon
15 signals · latest 2h ago
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