OXY Occidental Petroleum Corporation

bearish track record → $57.32 +0.43 (+0.8%)
Mkt Cap $57B P/E 77.5 fwd 14.7 52wk $38.80 - $67.45 5d ago
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We disagree with Wall Street. Analyst consensus: bullish. Our position: bearish. See factor model below for why.
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, insider_activity, analyst_revisions, narrative_gap bullish vs price_
Est. revisions: +9.6% (9 up, 4 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +2.6)

Factor Model

net +2.6 4.7 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.9
Insider Activity
+0.5
Momentum
-0.5
Analyst Rev.
+0.6
Narrative Gap
+0.5

Strait of Hormuz Closure Hits Oil Supply Hard

Watch: Monitor oil price trends and any resolution on Strait of Hormuz, as normalized supply is not expected before early 2027.

Oil market sees severe supply disruption as Strait of Hormuz has been closed since late February, causing loss over 1 billion barrels. Brent crude prices still below $100, with futures near $84 by November despite tightening supply. VLCC tanker rates surged to $445,000/day, up from $133,000 average in 2025. Morgan Stanley maintains Equal-Weight on OXY amid mixed analyst outlooks and ongoing geopolitical risks.

Persistent supply constraints amid geopolitical tensions may pressure Occidental's revenue and stock price, contrasting with prior bullish momentum tied to rising oil prices.

Our Trades

Full track record →
+52.2%

Long Call · Wide Runner — Passed screening filters.

7d · 2026-04-29
+52.2%

Long Call · Insider Edge — Passed screening filters.

7d · 2026-04-29
+52.2%

Long Call · Trail Blazer — Passed screening filters.

7d · 2026-04-29
+52.2%

Long Call · True Believer — Passed screening filters.

7d · 2026-04-29
+52.2%

Long Call · The Indexer — Passed screening filters.

7d · 2026-04-29

Evidence

4d ago Mizuho main OXY: Outperform → Outperform
5d ago Barclays up OXY: Equal-Weight → Overweight
5d ago OXY at $60 with oil at $107. GameStop 2.0? Here’s why I think the oil price is completely wrong and what I’m doing about it. reddit-stocks
8d ago Brent Crude Is Up 85% Since January. OXY, XOM, and CVX Are Playing It Very Differently. yahoo-finance
9d ago Morgan Stanley main OXY: Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
14d ago Chevron's CEO Is Warning of a 1970s-Style Oil Crisis. These 3 Energy Stocks Could Surge Before Summer. yahoo-finance
14d ago Where Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Be in 3 Years? yahoo-finance
15d ago Oil, Geopolitics, and Occidental Petroleum: Here's Where the Stock Could Be in 12 Months yahoo-finance
7 older signals
23d ago Truist Securities main OXY: Hold → Hold
27d ago Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: eBay, Norwegian Cruise Line, Coinbase & more
28d ago Occidental Petroleum AGM: CEO Vicki Hollub to Retire June 1, COO Richard Jackson to Take Over
39d ago Scotiabank main OXY: Sector Perform → Sector Perform
40d ago Occidental Petroleum Stock Is Off Its Peak - Time to Buy OXY or Short OTM Puts?
44d ago Stocks making the biggest moves midday: Royal Caribbean, Exxon Mobil, Critical Metals, Netflix & more
45d ago Thoughts on oil stocks?
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Occidental Petroleum Corporation Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Mkt Cap
$57B
P/E
77.5 fwd 14.7
Beta
0.17
52w Range
$38.80 - $67.45
Short Interest
110,396 0.02%
Days to Cover
0.0 +0%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-1.7%
from 52w Hi
-9.6%
Vol (20d)
44%
1w return
-6.3%
1m return
-0.7%
Vol ratio
0.9x
Insiders
buying 1B / 0S
Analysts
bullish 1 up / 0 down
EPS Estimate
$1.69 +9.6% 30d 9up / 4dn
Est. Dispersion
98% 18 analysts
Analyst Target
$65 $55 - $75
Options P/C
0.70
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$5.2B -8% YoY
FCF
$-273M
Gross Margin
36%
Op Margin
18%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Berkshire $10.9B
Citadel $420M
D.E. Shaw $28M
Renaissance $18M
Two Sigma $12M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 9
net selling
9 insiders · 9 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
GOULD ANDREW FREDERIC JAMES · award
GUTIERREZ CARLOS M. · award
POLADIAN AVEDICK BARUYR · award
BAILEY VICKY A · award
SHEARER BOB · award
ONEILL CLAIRE · award
ROBINSON KENNETH B. · award
KLESSE WILLIAM ROBERT · award
MOORE JACK B · award
analyst rating 1
Barclays up → Overweight 5d ago
15 signals · latest 4d ago

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