NKE NIKE, Inc.

bearish · high conviction track record → $44.20 +1.29 (+3.0%)
Mkt Cap $64B P/E 28.5 fwd 22.4 52wk $42.36 - $80.17 Earnings beating 1d ago
What We Found Primary source analysis others skip
Material Events (8-K)
8-K
Credit Agreement

Nike, Inc. entered into a 364-day credit agreement dated March 6, 2026, involving multiple banks including Bank of America, Citibank, JPMorgan Chase, Deutsche Bank Securities, Goldman Sachs Bank, and ...

Filed 2026-03-09 · Nike, Inc., Bank of America, N.A.
8-K
Organizational Restructuring and Cost Reduction Plan

NIKE's management approved a plan for organizational changes aiming to operate more efficiently and profitably. These changes, along with previously approved actions, are expected to result in pre-tax...

Filed 2026-03-05 · Matthew Friend, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Insider buying: $673,362 bought by 2 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -48.0% (1 up, 13 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)

Factor Model

net -4.2 5.8 / 10
Est. Revisions
-1.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.9
Analyst Rev.
-0.9
Narrative Gap
+0.0

HSBC cuts NKE target to $48, insiders buy

Watch: Monitor upcoming Q2 earnings and tariff policy updates for signs of margin recovery and demand stabilization.

Full analysis

HSBC downgraded Nike to Hold from Buy, slashing the price target to $48 from $90, calling the turnaround a "show me story" with no near-term catalysts. Nike lost nearly 70% of its value over five years amid steep margin pressure and rising competition, especially from Chinese brands. Insider purchases totaling over $673K by senior executives offer a bullish counterpoint amid broad investor skepticism. Potential tariff suspensions in 2026 could ease cost pressures and boost earnings.

The deep valuation decline and margin compression underline Nike's ongoing struggle, but insider buying and tariff relief talks provide potential stabilizing factors for revenue and margins.

Position history (4d) bull bear neutral
2026-04-05 2026-04-14
All 4 daily readings
2026-04-14 bearish · high 4sig
2026-04-12 bearish · high 4sig
2026-04-06 bearish · high 3sig
2026-04-05 bearish · high 3sig

Compare

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
NIKE, Inc. Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories
Mkt Cap
$64B
P/E
28.5 fwd 22.4
Beta
1.32
Div Yield
380.00%
52w Range
$42.36 - $80.17
Short Interest
42.7M 4.55%
Days to Cover
2.6 +7%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-12.8%
vs 50d MA
-23.7%
from 52w Hi
-44.9%
Vol (20d)
59%
1w return
-2.5%
1m return
-20.7%
3m return
-34.5%
Vol ratio
1.0x
Insiders
selling 3B / 7S
Analysts
bearish 0 up / 5 down
Earnings
beating 4B / 0M
EPS Estimate
$0.11 -48.0% 30d 1up / 13dn
Est. Dispersion
96% 21 analysts
Analyst Target
$64 $23 - $120
Options P/C
0.18 1C / 1P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong buy 5B / 7S (officer)
Fund Convergence
strong D.E. Shaw, Citadel, Bridgewater
Financials
Revenue
$11.3B +0% YoY
FCF
$284M
Gross Margin
40%
Op Margin
5%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
D.E. Shaw $2.0B
Citadel $1.6B
Bridgewater $4M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 2
net buying · $673,362 bought
2 insiders · 2 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES · buy · $500,002
ROGERS JOHN W JR · buy · $173,360
analyst rating 17
HSBC down → Hold 2d ago
Piper Sandler down → Neutral 5d ago
Goldman Sachs down → Neutral 12d ago
JP Morgan down → Neutral 13d ago
B of A Securities down → Neutral 14d ago
material event 2
Nike, Inc. entered into a 364-day credit agreement dated March 6, 2026, involving multiple banks including Bank of Ameri... SEC↗
NIKE's management approved a plan for organizational changes aiming to operate more efficiently and profitably. These ch... SEC↗
Filing analysis pending — next scan runs every 12 hours
Transcript analysis coming soon
bearish for 4d | 15 signals · latest 1d ago

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