MU Micron Technology, Inc.

bullish · high conviction 3/6 calls correct ↓ $465.66 +39.10 (+9.2%)
Mkt Cap $474B P/E 19.8 fwd 4.3 52wk $65.65 - $471.34 Earnings beating 1d ago
Avoided topics on last call (2026Q2): Specific terms of SCAs including price renegotiations and cancellation policies, Detailed fourth quarter gross margin guidance, Specific CapEx requirements tied to customer agreements
What We Found Primary source analysis others skip
SEC Filing Changes
HIGH
New Government Incentives Disclosure

The 2025 filing includes new detailed discussion about government incentives received and expected, including direct funding agreements under the CHIPS Act for U.S. fabrication facilities and expansion projects. It addresses risks associated with meeting conditions and milestones to qualify for these incentives and the consequences of failing to meet such requirements, none of which were disclosed in the prior 2024 filing.

10-K · Filed 2025-10-03
HIGH
New Specificity and Data

The 2025 filing provides quantitative data on five-year annual percentage changes in average selling prices ranging from plus low 40% to minus high 40% for DRAM, and plus low 30% to minus low 50% for NAND. It also describes conditions where prices have been below manufacturing costs and the effects thereof, which represents a significant increase in specificity compared to vague references in the 2024 filing.

10-K · Filed 2025-10-03
HIGH
Material Language Changes

The prior filing mentioned risks in general terms with minimal detail and no specific examples. For example, the 2024 filing briefly noted risks posed by tariffs and trade restrictions in international operations. The 2025 filing replaces that with extensive descriptions about the impact of the China cybersecurity review, export restrictions, specific trade and operational challenges, detailed pricing volatility data with numerical ranges, and strategic responses to competition including specific competitors named.

10-K · Filed 2025-10-03
HIGH
Removed Risk Factors

The 2024 filing included basic risk discussion around government actions, export restrictions, tariffs, trade protection measures, and laws and regulations related to international operations such as climate change, conflict minerals, and public health crises. These were generally replaced or heavily expanded in the 2025 filing with much more comprehensive and specific risks surrounding geopolitical issues, government restrictions particularly relating to China and Taiwan, and associated impacts on operations and sales.

10-K · Filed 2025-10-03
HIGH
New Risk Factors

The 2025 filing significantly expands the risk factors related to the volatility in average selling prices of semiconductor products, factors affecting gross margins, geopolitical and international operational risks, and competitive pressures. It includes specific data on price volatility ranges for DRAM and NAND products over the past five years, detailed challenges in manufacturing and production ramping, and new risks related to AI demand uncertainty. It also highlights risks from government incentives, capacity expansions, and supply chain issues that were not present or only minimally addressed in the 2024 filing.

10-K · Filed 2025-10-03
Insider selling: $15,329,462 sold by 3 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, price_momentum, analyst_revisions bullish vs filing_risk_change bear
Est. revisions: +82.5% (26 up, 0 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)

Factor Model

net +3.2 6.0 / 10
Est. Revisions
+1.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.6
Analyst Rev.
+1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0
Filing Risk
+5.0

Micron's AI-driven memory surge lifts shares 31%

Watch: Monitor Q3 revenue execution and ramp of new fabs to confirm sustained AI demand and margin gains amid supply constraints.

Full analysis

Micron's stock surged 31% in eight sessions amid a semiconductor rally triggered by geopolitical tensions. Fiscal Q2 revenue hit $23.9B, up 196% YoY, with DRAM revenue soaring 207%. KeyBanc raised its price target to $600, citing AI-driven demand and new long-term supply contracts with pricing floors. Despite a 2.12% dip after recent gains, the company is expanding capacity with a $2.75B plant in India and guiding for 81% gross margin in Q3. Insider sales totaled nearly $14M recently, while political insider buys signal mixed sentiment.

Micron's strong financial performance and strategic contracts underscore a durable AI memory supercycle and pricing power amid tight supply, supporting a multiyear growth and margin expansion outlook.

Position history (24d) bull bear neutral
2026-03-16 2026-04-14
All 24 daily readings
2026-04-14 bullish · high 6sig
2026-04-12 bullish · medium 8sig
2026-04-11 bullish · medium 11sig
2026-04-10 bullish · high 14sig
2026-04-09 bullish · high 14sig
2026-04-08 bullish · high 13sig
2026-04-07 bearish · medium 6sig
2026-04-05 bearish · medium 6sig
2026-04-01 bearish · medium 13sig
2026-03-31 bearish · medium 12sig
2026-03-30 mixed · high 13sig
2026-03-29 bearish · high 13sig
2026-03-28 bearish · high 10sig
2026-03-27 bearish · high 11sig
2026-03-26 bearish · high 13sig
2026-03-25 bullish · medium 8sig
2026-03-24 bullish · medium 6sig
2026-03-23 bullish · medium 10sig
2026-03-22 bullish · medium 18sig
2026-03-20 bullish · medium 32sig
2026-03-19 bullish · high 17sig
2026-03-18 bullish · high 11sig
2026-03-17 bearish · medium 13sig
2026-03-16 mixed · medium 8sig

Compare

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Ripple Effect

When MU goes bearish, NVDA follows 7x (29% same direction)

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Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
Micron Technology, Inc. Technology · Semiconductors
Mkt Cap
$474B
P/E
19.8 fwd 4.3
Beta
1.61
Div Yield
14.00%
52w Range
$65.65 - $471.34
Short Interest
29.4M 2.62%
Days to Cover
1.0 -5%
Technicals uptrend
vs 20d MA
+16.8%
vs 50d MA
+15.3%
from 52w Hi
0.0%
Vol (20d)
80%
1w return
+23.3%
1m return
+9.3%
3m return
+34.6%
Vol ratio
0.8x
Insiders
selling 0B / 15S
Analysts
mixed
Earnings
beating 8B / 0M
EPS Estimate
$18.88 +82.5% 30d 26up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
72% 27 analysts
Analyst Target
$534 $249 - $852
Options P/C
0.44 2C / 0P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong sell 1B / 8S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Renaissance, Two Sigma, Appaloosa
Financials
Revenue
$23.9B +196% YoY
FCF
$5.5B
Gross Margin
74%
Op Margin
68%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $6.7B
D.E. Shaw $1.0B
Renaissance $859M
Two Sigma $666M
Appaloosa $499M
Recent Filings & Data
earnings 4
EPS 12.2 (est 8.99091) · +0.4%
EPS 12.2 (est 9.15866) · +0.3%
EPS 12.2 (est 8.96977) · +0.4%
EPS 4.78 (est 3.96409) · +0.2%
insider trade 3
net selling · $15,329,462 sold
3 insiders · 3 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
CORDANO MICHAEL D · sell · $1,433,700
LIU TEYIN MARK · award
ARNZEN APRIL S · sell · $13,895,762
filing change 5
HIGH New Government Incentives Disclosure: New and expanded disclosures on government incentives including CHIPS Act funding, conditions for grant receipt, and pot...
full analysis

The 2025 filing includes new detailed discussion about government incentives received and expected, including direct funding agreements under the CHIPS Act for U.S. fabrication facilities and expansion projects. It addresses risks associated with meeting conditions and milestones to qualify for these incentives and the consequences of failing to meet such requirements, none of which were disclosed in the prior 2024 filing.

HIGH New Specificity and Data: Introduction of specific historical price volatility percentage ranges for DRAM and NAND products and detailed descripti...
full analysis

The 2025 filing provides quantitative data on five-year annual percentage changes in average selling prices ranging from plus low 40% to minus high 40% for DRAM, and plus low 30% to minus low 50% for NAND. It also describes conditions where prices have been below manufacturing costs and the effects thereof, which represents a significant increase in specificity compared to vague references in the 2024 filing.

HIGH Material Language Changes: Shift from general statements on regulatory risks and international operations to detailed, data-driven risk disclosure ...
full analysis

The prior filing mentioned risks in general terms with minimal detail and no specific examples. For example, the 2024 filing briefly noted risks posed by tariffs and trade restrictions in international operations. The 2025 filing replaces that with extensive descriptions about the impact of the China cybersecurity review, export restrictions, specific trade and operational challenges, detailed pricing volatility data with numerical ranges, and strategic responses to competition including specific competitors named.

HIGH Removed Risk Factors: Simplified and reduced risk factor discussion on laws, regulations, and geopolitical risks found in prior 2024 filing.
full analysis

The 2024 filing included basic risk discussion around government actions, export restrictions, tariffs, trade protection measures, and laws and regulations related to international operations such as climate change, conflict minerals, and public health crises. These were generally replaced or heavily expanded in the 2025 filing with much more comprehensive and specific risks surrounding geopolitical issues, government restrictions particularly relating to China and Taiwan, and associated impacts on operations and sales.

HIGH New Risk Factors: Expanded and detailed risk factors related to business, operations, and industry including product pricing volatility, g...
full analysis

The 2025 filing significantly expands the risk factors related to the volatility in average selling prices of semiconductor products, factors affecting gross margins, geopolitical and international operational risks, and competitive pressures. It includes specific data on price volatility ranges for DRAM and NAND products over the past five years, detailed challenges in manufacturing and production ramping, and new risks related to AI demand uncertainty. It also highlights risks from government incentives, capacity expansions, and supply chain issues that were not present or only minimally addressed in the 2024 filing.

transcript 6
2026Q2 · 7611 words
read transcript
Operator (Operator): Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us, and welcome to Micron Technology, Inc.'s fiscal second quarter 2026 financial conference call. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. I will now hand the conference over to Satya Kumar, Investor Relations. Satya, please go ahead. Satya Kumar (Investor Relations): Thank you, and welcome to Micron Technology, Inc.'s fiscal second quarter 2026 financial conference call. On the call with me today are Sanjay Mehrotra, our Chairman, President and CEO, and Mark Murphy, our CFO. Today's call is being webcast from our Investor Relations site at investors.micron.com, including audio and slides. In addition, the press release detailing our quarterly results has been posted on the website along with the prepared remarks for this call. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include statements regarding our future financial and operating performance, as well as trends and expectations in our business, customers, market, industry, products, and regulatory and other matters. These statements are based on our current assumptions, and we assume no obligation to update these statements. Please refer to our most recent financial report on Forms 10-K, Forms 10-Q, and our other filings with the SEC for more information on the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Today's discussion of financial results is presented on a non-GAAP financial basis unless otherwise specified. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our website. I will now turn the call over to Sanjay. Thank you, Satya. Sanjay Mehrotra (Chairman, President and CEO): With stellar records in revenue, gross margin, EPS, and free cash flow. Micron Technology, Inc. delivered an exceptional fiscal Q2. Quarterly revenue nearly tripled versus one year ago, and revenue for DRAM, NAND, HBM, and each business unit reached new highs. Our fiscal Q3 single-quarter revenue guidance exceeds the full-year revenue for every year in our company's history through fiscal 2024. For fiscal Q3, we anticipate exceptional growth across revenue, gross margin, EPS, and free cash flow. Reflecting confidence in the sustained strength of our business, I am pleased to announce that our Board has approved a 30% increase in our quarterly dividend. The step-up in our results and outlook are the outcome of an increase in memory demand driven by AI, structural supply constraints, and Micron Technology, Inc.'s strong execution across the board. Our memory and storage solutions are at the heart of this AI revolution. Memory makes AI smarter and more capable, enabling longer context windows, deeper reasoning chains, and multi-agent orchestration. As AI evolves, we expect compute architectures to become more memory intensive. This is why we strongly believe that Micron Technology, Inc. is one of the biggest beneficiaries and enablers of AI. AI has not just increased demand for memory; it has fundamentally recast memory as a defining strategic asset in the AI era. We continue to work with customers on strategic customer agreements, or SCAs, that are different from prior LTAs and have specific commitments over a multiyear time horizon for improved visibility and stability in our business model. These SCAs also provide customers greater certainty to plan their businesses while reinforcing long-term engagement across our broad product portfolio. We are excited to have signed our first five-year SCA. We are making excellent progress ramping our industry-leading 1γ DRAM and G9 NAND technology nodes. We expect 1γ to become the highest-volume node in Micron Technology, Inc.'s history. Our 1γ node was already the fastest ramp to mature yields, is ramping volumes faster than all prior nodes in our history, and is on track to become a majority of our DRAM bit mix by mid-calendar 2026. We plan to increase EUV adoption at the 1δ DRAM node, utilizing the latest-generation EUV tools. These more advanced EUV tools will help us optimize both cleanroom space efficiency and patterning when scaling to 1δ and beyond. In NAND, our G9 node also remains on track to constitute a majority of bits by mid-calendar 2026. We also achieved a record mix of QLC bits in the quarter. Looking ahead, we expect colocation of R&D and high-volume manufacturing at our Boise and our Singapore sites to speed up time to market for our leading-edge products. We see an unprecedented set of opportunities in memory and storage to enable the AI era across market segments and expect to meaningfully increase our R&D investments in fiscal 2027. Micron Technology, Inc.'s technology leadership, product excellence, and manufacturing execution is being recognized in quality scores from our customers. I am pleased to report that a clear majority of our customers rank Micron Te ... [transcript truncated at 5,000 chars — full text available via API]
2026Q1 · 8161 words
read transcript
Operator (Operator): Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Micron Technology, Inc.'s First Quarter 2026 Financial Call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press 11 on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you would like to remove yourself from the queue, please press the pound key. As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. And now I would like to introduce your host for today's program, Satya Kumar, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir. Satya Kumar (Investor Relations): Thank you, and welcome to Micron Technology, Inc.'s fiscal first quarter 2026 Financial Conference Call. On the call with me today are Sanjay Mehrotra, our Chairman, President and CEO, and Mark Murphy, our CFO. Today's call is being webcast from our Investor Relations site at investors.micron.com, including audio and slides. In addition, the press release detailing our quarterly results has been posted on the website along with the prepared remarks for this call. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include statements regarding our future financial and operating performance, as well as trends and expectations in our business, contractual terms, market, industry, products, and regulatory and other matters. These statements are based on our current assumptions, and we assume no obligation to update these. Please refer to our most recent financial reports on Forms 10-K, Forms 10-Q, and our other filings with the SEC for more information on the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Today's discussion of financial results is presented on a non-GAAP financial basis unless otherwise specified. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our website. I will now turn the call over to Sanjay. Sanjay Mehrotra (CEO): Thank you, Satya. Micron Technology, Inc. had an outstanding start to fiscal 2026, delivering fiscal Q1 revenue, gross margin, and EPS well above the high end of our guidance. This financial performance was driven by our strong execution across end markets and products in a tight supply environment. We achieved a number of records in fiscal Q1. Total company revenue, DRAM and NAND revenue, as well as HBM and data center revenue, and revenue in each of our business units also reached new records. We have completed agreements on price and volume for our entire calendar 2026 HBM supply, including Micron's industry-leading HBM4. We forecast an HBM TAM CAGR of approximately 40% through calendar 2028, from approximately $35 billion in 2025 to around $100 billion in 2028. This $100 billion HBM TAM milestone is now projected to arrive two years earlier than in our prior outlook. Remarkably, this 2028 HBM TAM projection is larger than the size of the entire DRAM market in calendar 2024. We are excited about our customized HBM4E customer engagements, which offer further differentiation opportunities to us, and we continue to make excellent progress on our HBM roadmap. Memory is now essential to AI cognitive functions, fundamentally altering its role from a system component to a strategic asset that dictates product performance from data center to the edge. This structural shift means that system capabilities heavily rely on advanced memory for real-time contextual processing, which is vital for achieving autonomous and intelligent behaviors in AI data centers as well as in applications ranging from self-driving cars to advanced medical diagnostics. With our technology leadership, differentiated product portfolio, strong operational execution, and solid balance sheet, Micron Technology, Inc. is in the best competitive position in its history and is one of the semiconductor industry's biggest enablers of AI. We anticipate substantial new records in revenue, gross margin, EPS, and free cash flow for both the second quarter and the full fiscal year 2026, and we expect our business performance to continue to strengthen through the year. Sustained and strong industry demand, along with supply constraints, are contributing to tight market conditions, and we expect these conditions to persist beyond calendar 2026. We are making progress with customers in our multiyear contracts with specific commitments. Simultaneously, we are focused on maximizing our production output from our current footprint, ramping our industry-leading technology nodes, and investing in new clean room space to add to our supply capability. Micron Technology, Inc.'s technology leadership is foundational to our strong competitive position. Micron Technology, Inc. has led the industry for four consecutive technology nodes in DRAM and three nodes in NAND with progressively faster yield ramps in every node. Our 1-gamma DRAM node ... [transcript truncated at 5,000 chars — full text available via API]
2025Q4 · 7447 words
read transcript
Operator (Operator): Thank you for standing by, and welcome to Micron Technology's Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star one one on your telephone. To remove yourself from the queue, please press star 11 again. I would now like to hand the call over to Satya Kumar, Investor Relations. Please go ahead. Satya Kumar (Investor Relations): Thank you, and welcome to Micron Technology's fiscal fourth quarter 2025 financial conference call. On the call with me today are Sanjay Mehrotra, our Chairman and President and CEO, and Mark Murphy, our CFO. Today's call is being webcast from our Investor Relations site at investors.micron.com, including audio and slides. In addition, the press release detailing our quarterly results has been posted on the website, along with prepared remarks for this call. Today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include statements regarding our future financial and operating performance, including our guidance as well as trends and expectations in our business, market, industry, and regulatory and other matters. These statements are based on our current assumptions, and we assume no obligation to update these statements. Please refer to our most recent financial report on Form 10-K and our other filings with the SEC for more information on the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Today's discussion of financial results is presented on a non-GAAP financial basis unless otherwise specified. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our website. I'll now turn the call over to Sanjay. Sanjay Mehrotra (Chairman, President and CEO): Thank you, Satya. Good afternoon, everyone. Micron had an outstanding finish to fiscal 2025, delivering fiscal Q4 revenue, gross margin, and EPS all above the high end of our updated guidance ranges, driven by pricing execution and strong performance across end markets. We achieved record revenue in Q4. In our March 2024 earnings call, we said that we expect Micron to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of AI in the semiconductor industry and that we expect to deliver record revenue and significantly improve profitability in fiscal 2025. I'm pleased to report that in fiscal 2025, Micron's revenue grew nearly 50% to a record $37.4 billion, and gross margins expanded by 17 percentage points to 41%. This performance was supported by the ramp of our high-value data center products and our broad-based DRAM pricing strength across end markets. The combined revenue from HBM, high-capacity DIMMs, and LP server DRAM reached $10 billion, more than a fivefold increase compared to the prior fiscal year. Our data center SSD business reached record revenue and market share in fiscal 2025. I want to thank our global Micron team for their focus and execution, which made these results possible. As we enter fiscal 2026, Micron is positioned better than ever. Our leadership in advanced technologies, including HBM, one gamma DRAM, and g9 NAND, enables a differentiated product portfolio that drives strong ROI. AI-driven demand is accelerating, and industry DRAM supply is tight. Our HBM performance has been strong, and robust demand, tight DRAM supply, and disciplined execution have significantly strengthened the profitability of the rest of our DRAM portfolio. In NAND, our higher mix to data center and improving industry conditions are contributing to profitability. Our fiscal Q1 guidance reflects new records for revenue and EPS. In addition to being a demand driver, AI is also a powerful productivity driver for Micron, contributing to our strong competitive position and financial performance. We are using AI throughout the company across product design, technology development, manufacturing, and other functional growth. We have seen strong adoption and as much as a 30 to 40% productivity uplift in select GenAI use cases such as code generation. In design simulation, AI is accelerating our silicon to systems design cycle to advance modeling and reduce iterations. In manufacturing, we have driven a fivefold increase in wafer images analyzed in the past year and doubled the amount of useful data and telemetry collected and analyzed from our fab tools, all of which improve our yield performance. These AI capabilities enable us to achieve superior product specifications, quality, and time to market at scale. Turning to technology and operations, we are proud to announce that our one gamma DRAM node reached mature yields in record time, 50% faster than in the prior generation. We are the first in the industry to ship one gamma DRAM and will leverage one gamma across our entire DRAM portfolio to maximi ... [transcript truncated at 5,000 chars — full text available via API]
2025Q3 · 6654 words
read transcript
Satya Kumar (Investor Relations): Thank you, and welcome to Micron Technology's Fiscal Third Quarter 2025 Financial Conference Call. On the call with me today are Sanjay Mehrotra, our Chairman, President and CEO; and Mark Murphy, our CFO. Today's call is being webcast from our Investor Relations site at investors.micron.com, including audio and slides. In addition, the press release detailing our quarterly results has been posted on the website, along with the prepared remarks for this call. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties. These forward-looking statements include statements regarding our future financial and operating performance, including our guidance as well as trends and expectations in our business, market, industry and regulatory and other matters. These statements are based on our current assumptions, and we assume no obligation to update these statements. Please refer to our most recent financial report on Form 10-K and our other filings with the SEC for more information on these risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Today's discussion of financial results is presented on a non-GAAP financial basis unless otherwise specified. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our website. We encourage you to visit our website at micron.com throughout the quarter for the most current information on the company, including information on financial conferences that we may be attending. You can also follow us on LinkedIn, X, and YouTube. I'll now turn the call over to Sanjay. Sanjay Mehrotra (Chairman, President and CEO): Thank you, Satya. Good afternoon, everyone. Micron's strong competitive position and solid execution delivered record revenue in fiscal Q3 with revenue, gross margin, and EPS all exceeding the high end of our guidance ranges. Data center revenue more than doubled year-over-year and reached a record level, and consumer-oriented markets had strong sequential growth. We generated substantial free cash flow in the quarter, even as we continue to make strategic investments critical to sustain long-term growth. I'm thankful to all our Micron team members for their focus and execution, which made these results possible. In fiscal Q3, DRAM revenue reached a new record driven by nearly 50% sequential growth in HBM revenue. We remain the sole supplier in volume production of LPDRAM in the data center. In NAND, we achieved a new quarterly record for market share across data center SSDs as well as client SSDs in calendar Q1. For the first time ever, during calendar Q1, Micron has become the number two brand by share in data center SSDs according to third-party data. Looking ahead to fiscal Q4, we see a robust demand environment and expect to grow revenue by 15% sequentially to a record $10.7 billion at the guidance midpoint. In June, we completed a strategic reorganization of our business units around key market segments to capitalize on the tremendous AI growth opportunity ahead. As high-performance memory and storage becomes increasingly critical to enabling AI-driven innovation, this new structure enhances Micron's ability to engage more deeply with customers by shifting more resources to AI-focused opportunities across our portfolio. We are making excellent progress on our 1-gamma DRAM technology node with yields ramping ahead of the record pace we achieved on our 1-beta node. We completed several key product milestones during the quarter, including the first qualification sample shipments of 1-gamma based LP5 DRAM. Micron 1-gamma DRAM leverages EUV, and the node provides a 30% improvement in bit density, more than 20% lower power, and up to 15% higher performance compared to 1-beta DRAM. We will leverage 1-gamma across our entire DRAM product portfolio to benefit from this leadership technology. In NAND, we reached a record-high mix of QLC bits in the quarter. We started qualifications for new high-performance SSD products based on our G9 2-terabit QLC NAND, and we continue to ramp our G9 node at a pace consistent with demand. We are making disciplined investments in our global operations network to add to supply in line with demand over time. Two weeks ago, with support from the Trump administration, Micron announced plans to invest approximately $200 billion in the U.S., which includes $150 billion in manufacturing and $50 billion in R&D over the next 20-plus years. As part of this $200 billion investment plan, Micron plans to invest an additional $30 billion beyond previously announced plans, which includes building a second leading-edge memory fab in Boise, Idaho; expanding and modernizing our existing fab in Manassas, Virginia, serving the automotive, aerospace, defense, and industrial markets; and bringing advanced packaging capabilities to the U.S. to support our long-term HBM growth plans after w ... [transcript truncated at 5,000 chars — full text available via API]
2025Q2 · 7238 words
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Satya Kumar (Corporate Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury): Thank you, and welcome to Micron Technology's Fiscal Second Quarter 2025 Financial Conference Call. On the call with me today are Sanjay Mehrotra, our Chairman, President and CEO; and Mark Murphy, our CFO. Today's call is being webcast from our Investor Relations site at investors.micron.com, including audio and slides. In addition, the press release detailing our quarterly results has been posted on the website, along with prepared remarks for this call. Today's discussion of financial results is presented on a non-GAAP financial basis, unless otherwise specified. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures can be found on our website. We encourage you to visit our website at micron.com throughout the quarter for the most current information on the company, including information on financial conferences that we may be attending. You can also follow us on X at MicronTech. As a reminder, the matters we are discussing today include forward-looking statements regarding market demand and supply, including demand for our products, our market share, market pricing and cost trends and drivers, our plans for manufacturing, the impact of developing technologies such as AI, product ramp plans, technologies and market position, expected capabilities of our future products, our planned investments and expenditures, our expected results and guidance, regulatory matters and other matters. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from statements made today. We refer you to documents we file with the SEC, including our Form 10-K, Forms 10-Q and other reports and filings for a discussion of risks that may affect our future results. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. We are under no duty to update any of the forward-looking statements to confirm these statements to actual results. I will now turn the call over to Sanjay. Sanjay Mehrotra (Chairman, President and CEO): Thank you, Satya. Good afternoon, everyone. Micron is in the best competitive position in our history, and we are achieving share gains across high-margin product categories in our industry. Our strong product momentum has enabled us to build deeper customer relationships, and Micron's industry-leading products are now more firmly entrenched in our customers' high-value product roadmaps. In fiscal Q2, data center DRAM revenue reached a new record. HBM revenue grew more than 50% sequentially to a new milestone of over $1 billion of quarterly revenue. Our HBM shipments were ahead of our plans, demonstrating strong execution of our ongoing ramp. The combination of our revenue from high-capacity DRAM modules and our industry-leading LPDRAM for the data center also exceeded the $1 billion milestone for the quarter. Micron remains the only company in the world to ship low-power DRAM into the data center in high volume, showcasing our pioneering innovation and deep partnership with our customers for differentiated solutions. As we build on this momentum, we expect fiscal Q3 revenue to be another record for Micron, driven by shipment growth across both DRAM and NAND. We see the combination of AI data center demand and the ramp of HBM and its associated trade ratio contributing to tightness at the leading edge and constraining non-HBM DRAM supply. We expect supply actions announced by NAND companies to improve the dynamics in the NAND market. Micron's 1-beta DRAM technology leads the industry, and we are extending our leadership with the launch of our 1-gamma node and the industry's first shipments of 1-gamma-based D5 products last month. Micron's 1-gamma is our first DRAM node incorporating EUV, and we have achieved 20% lower power, 15% better performance, and over 30% improvement in bit density compared to our 1-beta DRAM. Micron's leading-edge Gen9 NAND technology node delivers the industry's fastest TLC-based NAND, and we are managing the ramp of this node, mindful of the supply-demand balance in the industry. Micron continues to make disciplined investments that position us to capitalize on the significant growth opportunities driven by AI. We are focused on growing HBM capacity in our existing manufacturing facilities to meet requirements through 2026. In January, we broke ground on an HBM advanced packaging facility in Singapore. This investment allows us to meaningfully expand our total advanced packaging capacity beginning in calendar 2027. Our new DRAM fab construction in Idaho completed an important construction milestone that enabled the receipt of the first disbursement of funding from our CHIPS grant for the project during the quarter. This new Idaho fab will provide meaningful DRAM output starting in fiscal 2027. Turning to our end markets. D ... [transcript truncated at 5,000 chars — full text available via API]
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Cleo Fields (Democrat-LA) buy $100K-$250K of MU
Ro Khanna (Democrat-CA) sell $1K-$15K of MU
John Boozman (Republican-AR) sell $1K-$15K of MU
John Boozman (Republican-AR) sell $1K-$15K of MU
Ro Khanna (Democrat-CA) sell $1K-$15K of MU
Ro Khanna (Democrat-CA) sell $1K-$15K of MU
Ro Khanna (Democrat-CA) sell $1K-$15K of MU
Ro Khanna (Democrat-CA) sell $1K-$15K of MU
Transcript Analysis (2026Q2) ▾

Management is highly confident and specific in prepared remarks but demonstrates moderate hedging and some evasiveness on sensitive topics like strategic customer agreements during Q&A.

Hedging
0.30
Confidence
0.80 (high)
Specificity
0.75 (high)
Active Voice
0.70
Prepared vs Q&A Gap
-0.15
Question Avoidance
4 (high)
Avoided Topics
Specific terms of SCAs including price renegotiations and cancellation policies Detailed fourth quarter gross margin guidance Specific CapEx requirements tied to customer agreements
Key Language Changes
  • Repeated emphasis on confidentiality around strategic agreements
  • Strong focus on AI as a transformational secular driver supporting high margins
  • Significant specificity with multiple numeric details, highlighting strong execution
  • Moderate hedging through cautious language around future demand and margins, especially in Q&A
  • No mention of any negative macroeconomic or geopolitical risks in Q&A, signaling selective omission
Track Record (3/6 correct) ▾

Direction History

3/6 correct at 5 days
2026-03-31 bearish +20.4%
2026-03-26 bearish +3.1%
2026-03-18 bullish -17.2%
2026-03-16 bearish -8.5%
2026-03-15 bearish -0.8%
2026-03-10 bullish +14.5%
bullish for 6d | 15 signals · latest 10h ago

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