Factor Model (net -2.9)
Factor Model
net -2.9 5.7 / 10Metallus posts 7% revenue growth; defense segment surges 19%
Watch: Watch Q1 results for confirmation of the guided EBITDA expansion and any updates on defense order book momentum. Melt utilization trending above 69% would signal pricing and volume traction in aerospace and defense, which is where the margin upside lives.
Metallus wrapped 2025 with $1.2B in full-year net sales, up 7% year-over-year, driven by an impressive 19% climb in aerospace and defense revenue to $160.6M. Shipments grew 14% to 631,700 tons while melt utilization held at 69%. Q4 brought a $14.3M net loss, though the company generated $156.7M in cash for the full year and posted $75.6M in adjusted EBITDA — positioning for sequential Q1 EBITDA expansion per management guidance.
The defense ramp is the real story here. A 19% jump in aerospace and defense revenue — now 14% of total sales — signals Metallus is capturing momentum in a structurally strong segment. Despite near-term Q4 losses, the cash generation and guidance for Q1 EBITDA growth suggest the company's turning the corner operationally.
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