MARA MARA Holdings, Inc.

bearish track record → $14.85 +0.47 (+3.3%)
Mkt Cap $5B 52wk $6.66 - $23.45 14d ago
Insider selling: $621,060 sold by 3 insiders (30d)
Factor divergence: DIVERGENCE: estimate_revisions, narrative_gap bullish vs price_momentum bearish
Est. revisions: +41.2%
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +1.7)

Factor Model

net +1.7 2.2 / 10
Est. Revisions
+1.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.3
Analyst Rev.
+0.0
Narrative Gap
+0.5

MARA dips 4% after 94% rally on BTC surge

Watch: Watch for MARA's test of $15 resistance and upcoming earnings for clues on sustained recovery and AI-related strategy progress.

MARA shares pulled back 4% after almost doubling from $7.00 in February to $13.62, driven by Bitcoin topping $80,000. The 20, 100, and 200-day EMAs are aligning bullishly for the first time since October 2025, signaling technical strength. Support zones sit near $12.03 and $10.99, with resistance around $13.62 and $15.00, despite lingering analyst caution from Morgan Stanley's underweight rating.

The BTC-driven rally and bullish EMA convergence highlight potential near-term momentum, though resistance and institutional skepticism temper enthusiasm amid financial stress.

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
MARA Holdings, Inc. Financial Services · Capital Markets
Mkt Cap
$5B
Beta
5.43
52w Range
$6.66 - $23.45
Short Interest
100.1M 30.11%
Days to Cover
2.2 -12%
Technicals mixed
vs 20d MA
+10.2%
from 52w Hi
0.0%
Vol (20d)
56%
1w return
+6.1%
1m return
+34.1%
Vol ratio
0.9x
Insiders
selling 0B / 19S
Analysts
mixed
EPS Estimate
$-0.30 +41.2% 30d 0up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
183% 3 analysts
Analyst Target
$18 $7 - $30
Options P/C
0.19 4C / 2P unusual
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 3S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, D.E. Shaw, Two Sigma
Financials
Revenue
$175M -18% YoY
FCF
$-328M
Gross Margin
74%
Op Margin
-148%
Momentum: accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $163M
Renaissance $17M
D.E. Shaw $3M
Two Sigma
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 3
net selling · $621,060 sold
3 insiders · 3 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
NOWAID ZABI · sell · $99,000
THIEL FREDERICK G · sell · $330,060
KHAN SALMAN HASSAN · sell · $192,000
Track Record (1/1 correct) ▾

Direction History

1/1 correct at 5 days
2026-04-24 bearish -1.6%
15 signals · latest 2d ago

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Direction shifts, insider clusters, filing red flags, and earnings call changes stay published on the site.