LITE Lumentum Holdings Inc.

bullish · high conviction track record → $860.62 -41.69 (-4.6%)
Mkt Cap $74B P/E 166.7 fwd 52.3 52wk $71.04 - $1085.68 13d ago
Insider selling: $34,003,095 sold by 7 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: +10.7% (18 up, 0 down in 30d)
Factor Model (net +2.3)

Factor Model

net +2.3 5.3 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.6
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
-0.0
Analyst Rev.
+1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Lumentum Earnings Beat, Joins Nasdaq-100 Index

Watch: Watch Q4 earnings for sustained revenue growth and margin expansion amid volatile AI optics profit-taking affecting shares.

Lumentum beat Q3 2026 EPS estimates at $2.37 and revenue at $808.4M, guiding Q4 revenue to $960M-$1B with EPS $2.85-$3.05. It joins the Nasdaq-100 Index effective May 18, with analyst targets lifted by Raymond James to $1,014 and Rosenblatt to $1,300. Despite a recent 9% share drop due to AI optics profit-taking, the stock is up 155.3% year-to-date amid strong AI infrastructure demand and margin gains.

Beating estimates and joining Nasdaq-100 validates Lumentum's premium valuation and market leadership in AI optics, backed by strong analyst upgrades and solid revenue guidance.

Evidence

4d ago Stocks In AI Bottleneck Soar 1,000%. Now Nvidia Is Demanding 20X More Supply yahoo-finance
6d ago Google, Meta, Amazon, and 6 other tech stocks powering the stock market's profit excitement yahoo-finance
13d ago Lumentum Holdings Stock: Analyst Estimates & Ratings yahoo-finance
13d ago Applied Optoelectronics Slumps 10%, Lumentum Dives 9%, Coherent Drops 6% as AI Optics Profit-Takers Strike - 24/7 Wall St. google-news-ai-infra
14d ago Lumentum (LITE) Joins Nasdaq-100 Index yahoo-finance
15d ago Why Everyone Is Talking About Lumentum Stock -- and Why Investors Should Care - The Motley Fool google-news-ai-infra
19d ago Coherent Lumentum stocks continues surge: how high can the AI trade go - Invezz google-news-ai-infra
19d ago Insider sell by LILLIE BRIAN J (LITE): $11,731,562
7 older signals
20d ago Which Optics Stock Has Dominated in 2026: Applied Optoelectronics, Lumentum, or Coherent? - 24/7 Wall St.
21d ago Lumentum (LITE) Shares Up Significantly After It Was Said To Have A Radical New Idea
21d ago Stocks making the biggest moves premarket: Moderna, Lumentum, Intel, monday.com & more
22d ago Is there any value left in the AI supply chain?
25d ago Barclays main LITE: Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
26d ago TD Cowen main LITE: Hold → Hold
26d ago Morgan Stanley main LITE: Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Lumentum Holdings Inc. Technology · Communication Equipment
Mkt Cap
$74B
P/E
166.7 fwd 52.3
Beta
1.53
52w Range
$71.04 - $1085.68
Short Interest
9.4M 13.42%
Days to Cover
1.6 -18%
Technicals downtrend
vs 20d MA
-4.2%
from 52w Hi
-14.3%
Vol (20d)
97%
1w return
+1.4%
1m return
+5.0%
Vol ratio
0.8x
Insiders
selling 0B / 15S
Analysts
bullish 1 up / 0 down
EPS Estimate
$2.96 +10.7% 30d 18up / 0dn
Est. Dispersion
6% 20 analysts
Analyst Target
$1105 $600 - $1400
Options P/C
0.70
Insider Cluster
strong sell 0B / 7S
Fund Convergence
strong Citadel, Renaissance, Two Sigma, Soros, D.E. Shaw
Financials
Revenue
$808M +90% YoY
FCF
$79M
Gross Margin
44%
Op Margin
22%
Momentum: decelerating
Top Holders
Citadel $400M
Renaissance $143M
Two Sigma $57M
Soros $52M
D.E. Shaw $44M
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 10
net selling · $34,003,095 sold
7 insiders · 10 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
SMALL IAN SEYMOUR · sell · $4,300,419
LILLIE BRIAN J · sell · $49,212
SMALL IAN SEYMOUR · sell · $3,189,108
KIM JAE · sell · $1,838,264
FLETCHER PAMELA · sell · $3,066,936
RETORT VINCENT D · sell · $3,036,423
WUPEN YUEN · sell · $3,062,180
ALI WAJID · sell · $2,372,474
KIM JAE · sell · $1,356,517
LILLIE BRIAN J · sell · $11,731,562
analyst rating 1
Rothschild & Co init → Buy 31d ago
Track Record (0/1 correct) ▾

Direction History

0/1 correct at 5 days
2026-05-11 bullish -16.0% ✗
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15 signals · latest 4d ago

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