KTOS Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

bullish SHIFT track record → $74.41 -0.25 (-0.3%)
Mkt Cap $14B P/E 566.6 fwd 68.5 52wk $31.48 - $134.00 Earnings 2026-05-07 3h ago
Insider selling: $116,785,650 sold by 17 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions: -0.1%
Factor Model (net -1.4)

Factor Model

net -1.4 3.8 / 10
Est. Revisions
-0.0
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
-1.0
Narrative Gap
+0.0

Jefferies Upgrades KTOS on Valkyrie Ramp

Watch: Q1 earnings will reveal if cash flow improves and Valkyrie production scales faster, critical to sustain investor confidence and meet Jefferies' 26% upside.

Jefferies Analysts upgraded Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS) to Buy rating, expecting a 26% gain driven by Valkyrie drone production ramp and 31% CAGR in Government Solutions through 2028 fueled by hypersonic projects and Prometheus joint venture. US government policy boosts low-cost American drone deployment, enlarging KTOS market. Insider Eric DeMarco showed heavy selling but also minor recent buys; company still burns $126.9M free cash flow, highlighting operational risks.

This upgrade flags a key growth inflection with Valkyrie and hypersonics that could accelerate revenue and reduce reliance on cash burn, supporting KTOS's premium valuation despite insider sales.

Evidence

Fundamentals & Data ▾
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Mkt Cap
$14B
P/E
566.6 fwd 68.5
Beta
1.22
52w Range
$31.48 - $134.00
Short Interest
9.1M 4.98%
Days to Cover
1.9 +34%
Technicals downtrend
from 52w Hi
-0.3%
1w return
+8.9%
Insiders
selling 0B / 19S
EPS Estimate
$0.13 -0.1% 30d 0up / 4dn
Est. Dispersion
60% 16 analysts
Analyst Target
$117 $80 - $150
Options P/C
0.24
Insider Cluster
strong sell 1B / 7S (officer)
Financials
Revenue
$345M +22% YoY
FCF
$-12M
Gross Margin
24%
Op Margin
3%
Momentum: accelerating
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade 150
net selling · $116,785,650 sold · $500,700 bought
17 insiders · 150 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $296,625
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $348,130
HOGLUND WILLIAM A · sell · $2,171,297
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $487,120
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $307,103
JARVIS SCOT B · sell · $390,700
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $578,947
ANDERSON SCOTT I · sell · $1,336,715
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $134,883
CERVANTES DE BURGREEN MARIA · sell · $559,845
JARVIS SCOT B · sell · $443,000
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $533,739
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $341,422
FENDLEY STEVEN S · award
ROCK STACEY G · award
ADELMAN JONAH · award
CARRAI PHILLIP D · award
MILLS THOMAS E IV · award
LUND DEANNA HOM · award
DEMARCO ERIC M · award
CARTER DAVID M · award
MENDOZA MARIE C · award
CERVANTES DE BURGREEN MARIA · award
MILLS THOMAS E IV · sell · $525,454
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $456,395
DEMARCO ERIC M · other
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $361,104
JARVIS SCOT B · sell · $440,019
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $647,976
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $590,913
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $132,120
JARVIS SCOT B · sell · $442,000
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $349,593
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $484,363
JARVIS SCOT B · sell · $591,380
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $755,824
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $801,418
JARVIS SCOT B · sell · $600,900
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $201,422
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $2,355,667
DEMARCO ERIC M · other
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $1,228,117
MILLS THOMAS E IV · sell · $792,451
DEMARCO ERIC M · sell · $18,053,805
FENDLEY STEVEN S · other
ROCK STACEY G · other
ADELMAN JONAH · other
CARRAI PHILLIP D · other
MILLS THOMAS E IV · other
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $389,561
LUND DEANNA HOM · other
DEMARCO ERIC M · other
CARTER DAVID M · other
MENDOZA MARIE C · other
CERVANTES DE BURGREEN MARIA · other
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $535,962
DEMARCO ERIC M · sell · $16,106,552
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $610,831
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $455,451
ANDERSON SCOTT I · sell · $1,147,482
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $119,515
ROCK STACEY G · other
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $305,192
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $4,022,971
DEMARCO ERIC M · sell · $29,221,212
HOGLUND WILLIAM A · sell · $5,576,070
ZEGART AMY · sell · $741,672
ADELMAN JONAH · sell · $2,243,877
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $487,367
ANDERSON SCOTT I · sell · $258,370
CARRAI PHILLIP D · other
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $432,646
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $101,503
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $294,558
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $451,324
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $638,768
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $581,389
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $139,824
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $411,232
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $353,917
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $460,135
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $622,150
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $412,919
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $97,786
CERVANTES DE BURGREEN MARIA · sell · $437,202
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $274,806
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $256,754
HOGLUND WILLIAM A · other
MILLS THOMAS E IV · sell · $377,385
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $473,064
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $325,521
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $406,691
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $136,708
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $222,025
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $409,723
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $308,504
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $101,942
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $181,703
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $322,397
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $252,968
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $101,282
MENDOZA MARIE C · other
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $150,976
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $247,927
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $150,986
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $367,377
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $259,382
BOYD BRADLEY L · sell · $132,544
DOORENBOS BOBBI · sell · $175,018
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $515,511
BOYD BRADLEY L · other
DOORENBOS BOBBI · other
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $202,356
MILLS THOMAS E IV · sell · $191,588
ADELMAN JONAH · sell · $1,350,340
DEMARCO ERIC M · buy · $250,378
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $135,631
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $203,450
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $135,650
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $234,193
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $197,956
FENDLEY STEVEN S · other
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $117,093
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $175,660
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $117,114
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $206,135
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $188,298
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $63,699
FENDLEY STEVEN S · award
GOODWIN BENJAMIN M · award
ROCK STACEY G · award
ADELMAN JONAH · award
CARRAI PHILLIP D · award
MILLS THOMAS E IV · award
LUND DEANNA HOM · award
DEMARCO ERIC M · award
CARTER DAVID M · award
MENDOZA MARIE C · award
CERVANTES DE BURGREEN MARIA · award
CARRAI PHILLIP D · sell · $685,702
MILLS THOMAS E IV · sell · $81,876
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $106,012
LUND DEANNA HOM · sell · $158,986
DEMARCO ERIC M · buy · $250,322
CARTER DAVID M · sell · $106,025
FENDLEY STEVEN S · sell · $172,119
FENDLEY STEVEN S · other
MILLS THOMAS E IV · sell · $234,443
MENDOZA MARIE C · sell · $40,686
ROCK STACEY G · sell · $131,559
15 signals · latest 4h ago

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