Get emailed when FICO changes direction
Insider selling: $250,653,262 sold by 16 insiders (30d)
Est. revisions:
+3.0%
(4 up, 3 down in 30d)
Backed by structured data (insider trades, analyst ratings, or filings)
Factor Model (net +0.8)
Factor Model
net +0.8 3.1 / 10
Est. Revisions
+0.2
Insider Activity
+0.0
Momentum
+0.0
Analyst Rev.
+0.3
Narrative Gap
+0.0
FICO's revenue growth contrasts 40% stock drop
Watch: Watch upcoming quarterly results and regulatory updates for clarity on growth sustainability and risk mitigation.
FICO's revenue grew 16% year-over-year in Q1 2026 to $512 million, boosted by a 36% jump in B2B mortgage originations. Despite this, the stock has fallen about 40% year-to-date amid competitive, regulatory, and legal pressures. Insiders sold over $55 million recently, indicating caution. Forward P/E sits just under 24 with a PEG ratio of 0.91, reflecting valuation under stress despite earnings and revenue momentum.
The steep stock decline amid strong revenue growth and accelerating earnings revisions suggests market concerns on external risks outweigh current business momentum, challenging the company's valuation and volumes outlook.
Evidence
4d ago
Mizuho init FICO: Outperform
7d ago
Insider sell by SCADINA MARK R (FICO): $10,614,144
7d ago
Insider sell by DEAL RICHARD S (FICO): $18,678,098
7d ago
Insider sell by REY DAVID A (FICO): $10,945,475
7d ago
Insider sell by LANSING WILLIAM J (FICO): $10,843,451
7d ago
Insider sell by LANSING WILLIAM J (FICO): $10,624,574
7d ago
Insider sell by LANSING WILLIAM J (FICO): $11,639,842
Fundamentals & Data ▾
Fair Isaac Corporation
Technology · Software - Application
Mkt Cap
$24B
P/E
37.9 fwd 19.2
Beta
1.38
52w Range
$909.00 - $2217.60
Short Interest
1.4M 6.91%
Days to Cover
3.6 +2%
Technicals
downtrend
from 52w Hi
-2.6%
1w return
+6.2%
Insiders
selling
0B / 10S
Analysts
bullish
1 up / 0 down
EPS Estimate
$10.98
+3.0% 30d
4up / 3dn
Est. Dispersion
21%
17 analysts
Analyst Target
$1677
$1032 - $2400
Options P/C
0.50
Insider Cluster
strong sell
0B / 5S
Fund Convergence
strong
Citadel, D.E. Shaw, Bridgewater, Soros
Financials
Revenue
$512M +16% YoY
FCF
$165M
Gross Margin
83%
Op Margin
46%
Momentum:
accelerating
Top Holders
Citadel
$230M
D.E. Shaw
$63M
Bridgewater
$9M
Soros
Recent Filings & Data
insider trade
104
net selling
· $250,653,262 sold
16 insiders · 104 transactions (30d)
Recent transactions
ARREDONDO FABIOLA R · other
MANOLIS EVA · other
STANSBURY HENRY TAYLOE · other
REY DAVID A · other
KELLY BRADEN R · other
MCMORRIS MARC F · other
MANOLIS EVA · sell · $638,368
MANOLIS EVA · exercise · $128,866
REY DAVID A · exercise · $791,041
REES JOANNA · sell · $486,880
REES JOANNA · exercise · $140,182
WEBER STEVEN P. · other
WEBER STEVEN P. · other
WEBER STEVEN P. · sell · $2,581,060
MANOLIS EVA · sell · $951,257
MANOLIS EVA · exercise · $129,114
LEONARD MICHAEL STEPHEN · other
BOWERS THOMAS A · other
WEBER STEVEN P. · other
DEAL RICHARD S · other
BEHL NIKHIL · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · other
SCADINA MARK R · other
KELLY BRADEN R · other
BOWERS THOMAS A · sell · $8,386,603
KELLY BRADEN R · exercise · $361,074
MCMORRIS MARC F · sell · $434,287
MCMORRIS MARC F · exercise · $114,110
SCADINA MARK R · exercise · $714,293
LANSING WILLIAM J · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $4,158,921
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $8,062,065
LANSING WILLIAM J · exercise · $1,112,336
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $1,764,031
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $9,241,910
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $9,026,047
LANSING WILLIAM J · exercise · $1,112,150
STANSBURY HENRY TAYLOE · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $5,967,995
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $3,917,060
BEHL NIKHIL · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $10,624,574
WEBER STEVEN P. · sell · $1,738,250
BEHL NIKHIL · other
WEBER STEVEN P. · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $11,639,842
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $1,284,840
MCMORRIS MARC F · sell · $1,663,738
MCMORRIS MARC F · exercise · $362,739
BOWERS THOMAS A · exercise · $1,853,308
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $5,140,962
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $5,205,891
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $3,251,522
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $7,069,692
REY DAVID A · other
KELLY BRADEN R · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $10,843,451
WEBER STEVEN P. · sell · $273,054
LANSING WILLIAM J · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · other
MCMORRIS MARC F · sell · $1,119,336
MCMORRIS MARC F · exercise · $236,668
WEHMANN JAMES M. · sell · $6,585,568
LEONARD MICHAEL STEPHEN · other
BOWERS THOMAS A · other
WEBER STEVEN P. · other
DEAL RICHARD S · other
BEHL NIKHIL · other
LANSING WILLIAM J · other
SCADINA MARK R · other
WEHMANN JAMES M. · other
SCADINA MARK R · sell · $2,390
SCADINA MARK R · sell · $6,156,610
SCADINA MARK R · exercise · $1,295
WEHMANN JAMES M. · sell · $8,308,463
WEHMANN JAMES M. · sell · $8,121,429
KELLY BRADEN R · other
BOWERS THOMAS A · sell · $6,266,416
BOWERS THOMAS A · exercise · $1,358,519
STANSBURY HENRY TAYLOE · sell · $582,299
STANSBURY HENRY TAYLOE · exercise · $210,034
REY DAVID A · sell · $10,945,475
REY DAVID A · exercise · $794,809
KELLY BRADEN R · sell · $9,099,544
KELLY BRADEN R · exercise · $659,877
REES JOANNA · sell · $6,931,750
REES JOANNA · exercise · $878,502
STANSBURY HENRY TAYLOE · other
MCMORRIS MARC F · sell · $2,585,510
MCMORRIS MARC F · exercise · $702,730
BOWERS THOMAS A · sell · $5,145,806
WEBER STEVEN P. · sell · $3,123,000
SCADINA MARK R · sell · $5,999,620
SCADINA MARK R · exercise · $647,675
KIRSNER JAMES D · sell · $5,091,188
SCADINA MARK R · sell · $6,928,829
DEAL RICHARD S · sell · $18,678,098
SCADINA MARK R · sell · $10,614,144
MCMORRIS MARC F · sell · $2,261,117
MCMORRIS MARC F · exercise · $626,512
REES JOANNA · sell · $700,000
REES JOANNA · sell · $675,000
REES JOANNA · sell · $1,255,000
LANSING WILLIAM J · sell · $9,124,370
analyst rating
1
Mizuho
init
→ Outperform
4d ago
11 signals · latest 3d ago
Get alerted when FICO changes direction
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